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SCP-5752 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-5752
Expected annual
$5.8M
One-time setup
$19.4M
Annual recurring
$5.4M
Personnel
16
Initial one-time capital and program setup costs are dominated by mnestic stockpiling, contingency reserves, and optional multi-site scale-up (total one-time ≈ $19.4M). Recurring annual costs are driven by staff wages, legal/cover operations, logistics, and ongoing mnestic and monitoring maintenance (≈ $5.43M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $19.4M
Scale Up 10 Sites $10.0M
[#25] Program-level one-time scale-up to double readiness across 10 high-risk sites (midpoint of $5M–$20M estimate).
Contingency Reserve $3.0M
[#24] Insurance-equivalent reserve for emergency hires, contractors, travel, replacement equipment and unforeseen cascading costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.1M
[#6, #15] Mnestic production / GMP-capable facility setup (lab buildout) and initial R&D/software development costs for non-identification-based detection.
Mnestic Stockpile $2.0M
[#6] Stockpile purchase example (2,000 doses × $1,000/dose) for immediate response capability.
Equipment $1.1M
[#2, #13, #22, #23, #27, #28] Redundant camera/NVR install, secure freezer and incinerator procurement/installation, non-lethal / anti-self-harm hardware, communications setup, air-gapped logging hardware, and dedicated retrieval vehicle/equipment.
Facilities $575K
[#1, #11] Padded humanoid containment chamber construction/retrofit on Site-17 L3 and Basement L1–L5 lockdown/door upgrades (materials, labor, HVAC/electrical tie-ins).
Containment Termination Setup $450K
[#26] Development, training, and specialized equipment for termination/lethal-option protocols (development ~$100k–$500k + equipment ~$50k–$250k).
Mnestic Training Setup $74K
[#5] Program setup (~$50k) plus initial per-person courses for current guard cohort (7 personnel × ~$3.5k).
Access Control One Time $70K
[#16] One-time access-control redesign, policy implementation, and initial staff retraining budget.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#3, #8, #14] 24/7 guard staffing (6 guards + 1 supervisor incl. benefits ~ $495k), baseline monitoring analysts (~$150k), and core research team salaries (~$600k).
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#18, #30] Legal readiness, secrecy/cover operations, PR/ misinformation budget and incident response preparedness.
Logistics And Transport $600K/yr
[#7, #9, #28] Annual contingency for rapid administration teams, travel, cold-chain logistics, and routine field retrieval readiness (amortized contingency for occasional large deployments).
Breach Response Contingency $500K/yr
[#10] Annual contingency for breach mobilization, overtime, search teams and emergency response consumables (amortized).
Research And Monitoring $300K/yr
[#14, #15, #27] Non-wage recurring research costs: lab consumables, computational resources, data-labeling, and ongoing detection R&D maintenance.
Administrative Overhead $300K/yr
[#19] O5-level reviews, classified travel, meetings, executive oversight overhead.
Supplies And Consumables $250K/yr
[#6, #7, #12, #20, #13] Medical supplies, syringes, sterile kits, mnestic drug replenishment (outside major stockpile replacements), forensic consumables and disposables.
Global Surveillance Surge Contingency $200K/yr
[#9] Amortized annual reserve for potential cross-site manual scrubbing surges (example event cost was ~$1.48M).
Psychological Care $125K/yr
[#17] Employee assistance expansion, counseling, debriefs and additional sick-leave/HR costs.
Software Maintenance $125K/yr
[#15] Ongoing maintenance, validation and labeling costs for behavior-based detection software.
Amnesticization Operations $115K/yr
[#20] Routine amnestic administration operations (example: 100people/year at $300–$2000 each).
Hazard Pay Premium $105K/yr
[#4] Recruitment/hazard pay premium for specialized guards (~$10k–$25k/guard for 6 guards).
Public Incident Response Fund $100K/yr
[#30] Rapid-response misinformation/ social-engineering budget (amortized per-year readiness).
Facilities Maintenance $60K/yr
[#1, #11, #13] Ongoing maintenance for padded cell, lockdown systems, incinerator and structural/EM/ HVAC upkeep.
Containment Audits $60K/yr
[#21] Regular compliance audits, inspector time, corrective works and follow-ups.
Ethics And Consultant Fees $60K/yr
[#29] External ethical/scientific consultant honoraria and secure engagements.
Forensic Analysis $50K/yr
[#12] Annual budget for pathology/histology/proteomics and anomalous testing per recovered remains (per-event costs $25k–$150k).
Biohazard Storage Maintenance $50K/yr
[#13] Freezer maintenance, secure storage monitoring, and incinerator usage fees.
Mnestic Stockpile Maintenance $50K/yr
[#6] Secure storage, rotation, and destruction protocols for Class-W stockpile.
Access Control Training Recurring $40K/yr
[#16] Ongoing retraining and audits tied to revised access-control policies and escort rules.
It Logging Maintenance $25K/yr
[#27] Air-gapped archival media rotation, hardened server maintenance and logging integrity operations.
Containment Termination Maint $25K/yr
[#26] Recurring maintenance/training refreshes for termination-related protocols and equipment.
Mnestic Training Recurring $20K/yr
[#5] Annual refresher courses, assessments and program overhead.
Anti Self Harm Maintenance $12K/yr
[#22] Annual maintenance for secure storage, sensors and non-lethal anti-self-harm systems.
Field Retrieval Operational Costs $10K/yr
[#28] Per-deployment operational costs amortized for occasional retrievals/intercepts.
Secure Video Storage $6K/yr
[#2] Annual storage and maintenance for high-retention forensic video archives (per-cell baseline amortized).
Scale Up Recurring $0/yr
[#25] Recurring budget if multi-site scale-up is enacted (left at $0 for baseline year; major scale-up modeled in scenarios).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.4M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady containment, routine training, and no major uncontained events.
no_major_breach routine_training_and_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $6.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$700K vs baseline
Localized uncontained manifestation requiring site-level breach response, limited mnestic administration, and modest public/forensic action.
localized_breach limited_public_witnesses single-site_remains_recovery
🚨 Major Breach $9.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$3.9M vs baseline
Multi-site/uncontained manifestation requiring global manual surveillance sweeps, mass Class-W administration, extensive legal/cover operations and emergency hires.
global_uncontained_manifestation mass_mnestic_administration multi-site_searches
🚨 Research Scale Up $10.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Programmatic decision to scale research and multi-site readiness (major R&D and staffing expansion) even absent a breach.
policy_scale_up increased_manifestation_frequency major_R&D_push
👥 Personnel 16 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#3] Two guards outside the cell at all hours; 6 guards to cover shifts.
Security Supervisor 1 [#3] Single supervisor for guard rotation and oversight.
Monitoring Analyst 3 [#2, #8, #9] Site-level manual video-scrubbing and proactive footage review; analysts require Class-W protection/training.
Research Scientist 4 [#14, #15] PI and research staff studying antimemetic behavior, detection R&D and intelligence gathering.
Research Technician 2 [#14, #5] Lab technicians supporting mnestic production, sample processing and experiments.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from wide analyst ranges and scenario assumptions; SCP-5752's antimemetic properties and uncertain breach frequency create substantial uncertainty in both one-time and recurring budgets.
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