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SCP-5780 Euclid ? low confidence
SCP-5780
Expected annual
$40.4M
One-time setup
$1.0B
Annual recurring
$15.2M
Personnel
21
One-time setup costs are dominated by drone fleet and a large catastrophic contingency fund, producing approximately $1.01B in one-time expenditures; routine annual operations (monitoring, staff wages, maintenance, legal/cover operations and contingency reserves) run at roughly $15.2M/year, with expected annualized risk from potential Hachure Events driving the long-run expected cost toward ~$40.4M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.0B
Catastrophic Contingency Fund $1.0B
[#26] One-time reserve for catastrophic/full-scale Paris replication response (order‑of‑magnitude; placeholder for large national-level costs).
Contingency Fund Initial $5.0M
[#23] Initial insurance/contingency reserve for exposure, payouts, or large liabilities (lower-range set‑aside).
Equipment $4.5M
[#2, #5, #6, #7, #8, #11, #12, #20, #24] HVAC/generator installation, on-site incinerator, emergency containment tanks/kits, initial PPE purchase, drone fleet purchase (30–60 drones), CCTV/sensor suite, blackout/tooling setup, chemical storage cabinets, initial long-term sample storage equipment.
Facilities $475K
[#1, #19] Build/adapt avian containment module and Level‑5 secure archive/room (containment shell, double airlocks, quarantine suite, secure vault).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#17] Secure laboratory setup, instruments and initial controlled-experiment equipment for thaumaturgical/chemical analysis.
Initial Capture Ops $200K
[#21] Single capture logistics: sedation, crates, charters, deployment costs (documented capture ops).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $15.2M/yr
Catastrophic Contingency Annual Reserve $10.0M/yr
[#26] Annual reserve contribution toward catastrophic/full‑scale replication risk (large‑event reserve; supplementary to one‑time fund).
Staff Wages $1.7M/yr
[#3, #9, #10, #17] Animal handlers and vet retainer, drone operators/remote sensor analysts and maintenance crew, on‑site guards, and allocated research staff wages.
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#12, #14, #27, #28] Blackout/web removal and OSINT operations, local government liaison/cover story budgets, public relations/disinformation baseline, legal retention for international/property law.
Research And Monitoring $770K/yr
[#17, #13, #22, #19, #24, #11] Baseline research lab budget (non‑wage lab ops), satellite imagery tasking, secure data storage/forensics logging, secure archive maintenance, long‑term sample maintenance, CCTV/cloud storage maintenance.
Drone Maintenance And Repair $600K/yr
[#8] Annual maintenance, spare parts, repairs, insurance and R&D for hardened drone casings (10–20% fleet upkeep).
Insurance And Contingency Reserve $500K/yr
[#23] Ongoing insurance/contingency fund contributions for exposures or liabilities.
Emergency Response And Remediation $200K/yr
[#15] Annual reserve for emergency response, heavy equipment hire, structural remediation for moderate Hachure damage events.
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#5, #6, #29] Egg hazardous disposal contracts and transport, emergency containment/cleanup fund per‑event reserve, wastewater/utility rerouting reserve for urban incidents.
Administrative Overhead $150K/yr
[#30] Records management, special clearances processing, inter-site coordination and senior oversight incremental costs.
Training And Drills $75K/yr
[#25] Regular tabletop and live drills, SOP revisions and staff certifications.
Environmental Remediation $50K/yr
[#16] Environmental engineers, sanitation/pest control and medium-instance soil/leak remediation reserve.
Facilities Maintenance $22K/yr
[#2, #1] HVAC/humidity control energy and maintenance, generator/UPS upkeep for containment unit.
Instance Monitoring $20K/yr
[#18] Minimal monitored-instance (per-instance) monitoring/inspection cost — baseline small-fragment monitoring budget.
Supplies And Consumables $11K/yr
[#4, #7] Feed, bedding, enrichment, sanitation supplies and recurring PPE replacements/refresher training.
Chemical Storage Inspections $6K/yr
[#20] Recurring inspections, ventilation checks and small supply replenishment for flammable chemical storage.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $15.2M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with containment functioning, routine monitoring, egg destruction and no significant Hachure events.
regular egg production no Hachure events standard monitoring and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $15.9M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$700K vs baseline
Localized Hachure Event or containment breach causing modest cleanup, PR/legal responses and temporary operational surge.
small Hachure event (tens of meters) equipment damage to drones/CCTV discrete PR/legal actions
🚨 Major Hachure Event $19.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline
Significant Hachure Event affecting built structures requiring heavy remediation, large emergency response and extended local monitoring.
Hachure event causing building collapse extensive fluid contamination major environmental remediation
🚨 Catastrophic Paris Replication $50.0B/yr
0.1% probability / year +$50.0B vs baseline
Full-scale city replication or multi‑district Hachure Event demanding national/international-level response and reconstruction.
city-scale Hachure Event mass infrastructure failure international diplomatic crisis
👥 Personnel 21 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#10] Six guards across shifts assigned to the avian unit (wages included in staff_wages).
Animal Handler 2 [#3] Two dedicated animal handlers for three geese (wages included in staff_wages).
Medical Officer (Avian Veterinarian) 1 [#3] Avian vet on retainer (counts as one FTE equivalent in staffing).
Drone Operator / Remote Sensor Analyst 6 [#9, #8] Drone pilots and remote analysts to sustain 24/7 operations (part of drone operator wages allocation).
Engineer / Maintenance (Drone & Facilities) 3 [#9, #2, #8] Maintenance technicians for drones, generators and containment systems (wages included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist / Containment Scientist 3 [#17] Research staff (chemists/thaumaturgy specialists) whose wages are included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
High uncertainty in frequency/scale of Hachure Events and instance sizes (items #18, #26) drives low confidence; many cost ranges are order‑of‑magnitude estimates and depend on rare, high‑impact events.
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