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SCP-5786 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5786
Expected annual
$76.1M
One-time setup
$32.9M
Annual recurring
$75.8M
Personnel
210
Initial one-time infrastructure and buyouts are mid-tens of millions; recurring annual operations are dominated by market-subsidy programs, contingency reserves, and large regional rapid-response staffing, resulting in high ongoing costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $32.9M
Film Supply Buyouts $25.0M
[#10] Large-scale one-time buyout/acquisition of film supply chain (chosen representative mid-large buyout scenario within $10M–$100M range).
Facilities $4.5M
[#7, #15] Amnestic production facility build (~$2M–$5M midpoint) and secure containment/quarantine infrastructure (~$250k–$2M midpoint).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.0M
[#14] Forensic research lab buildout and initial instrumentation (~$1M–$3M).
Equipment $1.4M
[#1, #4, #5, #17] Webcrawler development (one-time dev cost), vehicles/equipment amortization for rapid-response, mobile film-handling kits, and one-time incinerator purchase.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $75.8M/yr
Market Subsidies $20.0M/yr
[#12] Direct subsidies/rebates and market-manipulation programs to influence digital camera affordability (large driver).
Staff Wages $11.4M/yr
[#2, #4, #7, #14, #18, #20, #13, #27, #15] Salaries for image analysts, regional rapid-response teams, medical/admin staff for amnestic administration and research personnel, cyber team wages, PR staff, social-infiltration payroll, outreach staff, and containment staffing portions.
Contingency Reserve $10.0M/yr
[#23] Liquid reserve for high-profile/viral incidents and large-scale surge responses.
Overhead $9.6M/yr
[#29] Operational management, accounting, HR, secure comms and administrative overhead (estimated ~15% of program recurring spend).
Covert Payments And Compensation $3.0M/yr
[#9] Payments to photographers, labs, witnesses, and family compensation contingency reserve.
Film Contracts Subsidies $3.0M/yr
[#10] Annual contracts/subsidies to labs and retailers to control film availability (small-scale recurring operations estimate).
Pr Ad Campaign $3.0M/yr
[#11] Foundation-owned media, paid advertisements, influencer placement promoting digital photography.
Long Term Mitigation Rnd $3.0M/yr
[#26] Multi-year programs for film-immune technologies and mitigation R&D.
Cover Story And Legal $2.3M/yr
[#3, #25] Legal retainers, takedown casework, insurance/legal contingency, and bribery/expediency funds.
Insurance And Bribery Included In Legal $2.0M/yr
[#25] (Split entry) Legal contingency, indemnities and non-public payments included under legal costs.
Outreach And Partnerships $2.0M/yr
[#27] Retail/manufacturer partnership spend and in-store promotions (non-payroll portion).
Research And Monitoring $800K/yr
[#14] Consumables, instrumentation upkeep, and non-payroll research operating costs for forensic experiments and analysis.
Deepfake And Replacement Ops $725K/yr
[#6] Contract image-editing (per-image replacement) and tooling/licensing for doctored replacements.
Crisis Pr Division Ops $700K/yr
[#20] Non-payroll content production, paid placements, and rapid-response narrative control operations (staff portion in staff_wages).
Logistics And Transport $600K/yr
[#22] Travel, lodging, rapid transport, rental vehicles, per diems, and surge logistics for on-site operations.
Archive Remediation $600K/yr
[#16] Annual budget for retrieval, sanitization, and remediation of family/museum/archive collections.
Social Infiltration Ops $500K/yr
[#13] Non-payroll operational costs for covert accounts, community monitoring and human-asset ops (payroll portion is in staff_wages).
Cyber Operations Ops $400K/yr
[#18] Non-wage operational costs for offensive takedown capability (zero-days, targeted ops); wages in staff_wages.
Secondary Market Monitoring $400K/yr
[#28] Monitoring and buy-back programs for printed photos in resale channels.
Amnestic Production And Qa $300K/yr
[#7] Annual production, QA, materials and non-payroll operating costs for Class‑C amnestic production (staff wages in staff_wages).
Supplies And Consumables $295K/yr
[#8, #17] Per-administration amnestic supplies and contracted hazardous-waste disposal budgets.
Facilities Maintenance $250K/yr
[#15] Recurring maintenance, utilities, and monitoring costs for containment/quarantine infrastructure.
Counseling Services $250K/yr
[#21] Training, counseling, and psychological services for agents and civilians involved in operations.
Rapid Response Training And Uniforms $200K/yr
[#4] Training, uniforms and recurring readiness costs for regional rapid-response teams.
Data Acquisition $200K/yr
[#24] API access, paid datasets and platform negotiations to accelerate detection.
Webcrawler Ops $180K/yr
[#1] Hosting, ops, and tuning costs for webcrawlers (monthly ops estimate ~$5k–$25k).
Servers And Cdn $150K/yr
[#19] Secure hosting, backups, CDN and mirrored distribution for replacement images and plausible-deniability infrastructure.
Insurance And Bribery Funds $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $75.8M/yr
86.1% probability / year
Normal year: ongoing takedowns, market nudges, routine research, and steady rapid-response posture with no major viral exposure.
routine detections scheduled PR campaigns standard field operations
🚨 Minor Incident $75.3M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$-500000 vs baseline
Localized corporeal manifestation or a small viral cluster requiring extra deployments, replacements, and legal/PR surge.
local funeral/wedding exposure dozens to low-hundreds of image takedowns
🚨 Major Breach $88.8M/yr
1.5% probability / year +$13.0M vs baseline
Widely shared images that evade initial takedowns, triggering extensive cyber ops, global PR surge, and large amnestic or replacement effort.
viral social spread cross-platform persistence high-profile personal images
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $123.8M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$48.0M vs baseline
High-profile global exposure (celebrity or mass event) requiring major market interventions, large buyouts, and emergency global operations.
celebrity funeral or mass-exposure event international legal/political scrutiny
🚨 Political Exposure $98.8M/yr
0.3% probability / year +$23.0M vs baseline
Governmental or public inquiry that forces expensive legal defense, additional covert expenditure, and accelerated mitigation programs.
government investigation leaks linking Foundation operations to public incidents
👥 Personnel 210 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 48 [#4] Rapid-response regional teams: 8teams × 6 people.
Research Scientist 8 [#14] Forensic/optical research staff assigned to lab experiments and mitigation R&D.
Image Analyst / Moderator 12 [#2] 24/7 human reviewers to triage crawler hits and validate instances.
Medical Officer 6 [#7] Medical staff for amnestic administration and QA during containment events.
Cyber Operator / Red Team 6 [#18] Offensive takedown and covert cyber operations team.
PR & Communications Staff 10 [#11, #20] Content production, crisis PR, and long-term narrative control staff.
Social Infiltration Operatives / Field Assets 100 [#13] Covert accounts and field operatives monitoring analog-photography communities and tipping labs.
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#17] Equipment and incinerator maintenance, field kit upkeep.
Administrative Staff 6 [#29] Management, accounting, HR and program administration.
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 [#29] Program directors and executive oversight.
Counselors / Psych Services 6 [#21] Counseling and resilience staff for agents and affected civilians.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling structured estimates; however many items have large ranges (market buyouts, reserves, incident frequency) and several allocations (wage vs non-wage splits) required judgment calls, so uncertainty remains.
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