SCP-5799 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-5799
Expected annual
$12.5M
One-time setup
$9.1M
Annual recurring
$12.4M
Personnel
40
Initial capital/setup is approximately $9,143,000 one-time, with annual operating costs roughly $12,420,000; the largest drivers are ongoing personnel costs, cover/legal suppression and outreach, and secure lab/containment plus research and emergency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $9.1M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6.7M
[#7, #8, #9, #17] Secure dental/biological lab build-out, specialized analysis instrumentation (SEM, micro-CT, tensile rigs), amnestic R&D/stockpile setup, and initial research program setup costs.
Equipment $1.8M
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #13, #16, #24, #14] Purchase and fitting of response vehicles, specialized containment units, initial MTF weapons/equipment, dental extraction kits, PPE/autoclave/sterilization outfitting, incinerator access/contract, initial surveillance kits, and comms hardware/software.
Training Program Setup $275K
[#12] Initial training program development and certification setup for dental extraction under cover, containment procedures, amnestic administration, and MTF tactics.
Infiltration Setup $200K
[#20] Initial costs to create fake businesses/IDs and initial infiltration payments to recruit local cooperation (dentists, officials, etc.).
Facilities $138K
[#23] Setup of security systems and initial facility modifications for leased properties.
Onboarding Credentialing $50K
[#2] Onboarding, credential replication, legal cover for embedded dental operatives.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $12.4M/yr
Staff Wages $5.5M/yr
[#1, #2, #5, #7, #15] Permanent field operatives in-city (~10 @ $120k), embedded dental operatives (~12 @ $150k), MTF-Phi-5 tactical team (~12 @ $140k), lab technicians/scientists (5 FTEs), and on-staff counselor(s).
Administrative Overhead $2.1M/yr
[#22] Program administrative overhead (approx. 20% of direct operating costs for HR, procurement, audits, and risk reserves).
Cover Story And Legal $1.6M/yr
[#10, #20, #21, #11, #18] Legal/PR retainers and monitoring, ongoing infiltration/retainers/payments, forensic/legal cleanup budgets, compensation/cover treatment and patient aftercare, and school/community outreach cover programs.
Emergency Surge Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#19] Annual allocation/maintained reserve for rapid surge deployment (renting additional teams, mass amnestics, large-scale disposal).
Supplies And Consumables $680K/yr
[#3, #5, #7, #13, #9, #16] Annual consumables: dental extraction disposables, MTF consumables/replacements, lab consumables/testing, PPE replenishment, per-administration amnestic consumables, and per-disposal costs for terminated instances.
Research And Monitoring $600K/yr
[#17, #8] Ongoing R&D into immobilization/neutralization and equipment service/maintenance contracts for SEM/micro-CT and tensile testers.
Facilities Maintenance $430K/yr
[#6, #23] Secure sample vault operations (power, monitoring) and utilities/site security for leased properties and safehouses.
Training And Certification $200K/yr
[#12] Ongoing annual training cycles, simulated extraction drills, safety training, and cover-story briefings.
Secure Comms And It $140K/yr
[#14] IT staff/cloud maintenance, secure communications upkeep, database hosting, backups, and IT security.
Logistics And Transport $110K/yr
[#4] Fuel, maintenance, and insurance for response vehicles and routine transport/logistics for samples/MTF movements.
Surveillance Monitoring $30K/yr
[#24] Recurring monitoring costs for covert home sensor kits and remote monitoring center.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $12.4M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady-state operations, no major incidents or large clusters.
steady low incident rate routine extractions and monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $12.9M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Local cluster or visible incident requiring targeted surge response, extra legal payouts and overtime.
small multi-host activation cluster local media leak requiring extra legal/PR response
🚨 Major Breach $16.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline
Large-scale cluster or sustained spread requiring full emergency surge, major legal/cover operations, and accelerated R&D.
widespread nocturnal predation cluster significant public exposure or discovery
👥 Personnel 40 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#5] MTF-Phi-5 tactical/termination team operators (on-call strike team).
Field Operative / Local Agent 10 [#1] Permanent field presence in Rexburg (8–12 operatives; midpoint used).
Embedded Dental Practitioner 12 [#2] One covert agent per clinic embedded in dental offices to monitor and perform extractions.
Research Scientist / Lab Technician 5 [#7] Lab staffing for analysis and testing (4–6 technicians; midpoint used).
Medical Officer / Counselor 1 [#15] On-staff counselor/medical oversight for agents and affected persons.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide many explicit line-item ranges (personnel counts, equipment lists), allowing mid-range estimates, but event frequencies, per-event disposal/legal costs, and multi-year R&D pacing are uncertain — hence medium confidence.
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