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SCP-5831 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5831
Expected annual
$28.0M
One-time setup
$52.0M
Annual recurring
$27.5M
Personnel
30
Establishing containment and reserves requires roughly $52.1M one-time (major drivers: facility fit-outs, heavy reserves/contingency, and equipment purchases) and ongoing operations cost about $27.46M/year, driven by offshore patrols, aerial support, staffing, and research.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $52.0M
Facilities $15.7M
[#3, #4, #6, #23, #25, #28] Arctic-site hardening/fencing, remote base fit-out, mainland facility fit-out, shoreline/penning systems, wastewater/treatment installation, and site sealing/vaulting.
Escalation Contingency Reserve $15.0M
[#30] Large emergency reserve for catastrophic escalation / full remediation (mid-range of $10–25M estimate).
Insurance Reserve $7.5M
[#18] Reserve fund for settlements, indemnities and emergency compensation (mid-range of $5–10M estimate).
Equipment $4.7M
[#2, #8, #9, #10, #12, #17, #22, #24, #27] UAV purchase, rapid-response equipment & training, PPE/decon fit-out, mobile incinerator, refrigerated transport units, cyber/OSINT setup, underwater detection hardware, fleet/small boats purchase, and archival system hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.5M
[#5, #11] Mobile BSL-3/4 upgrade & freezer fitment and specialized imaging / lab equipment for initial scientific analysis.
Medical Long Term Care Reserve $2.0M
[#19] Reserve for long-term care / disability for personnel exposed or permanently affected.
Diplomatic And Legal One Time $1.5M
[#13] Upfront diplomatic/legal negotiations, compensations and counsel setup for Svalbard/Norway arrangements.
Cover Story Initial $1.0M
[#14] Initial PR/misinformation campaign and staged contractor setup for 'Hazardous Waste Disaster' cover.
Fake Cleanup Initial $1.0M
[#15] Visible cleanup equipment rental and contractor staging to make the cover credible.
Incident Remediation Reserve $500K
[#16] One-time reserve for environmental incident remediation planning and contingency.
Community Compensation Pool $500K
[#29] Initial compensation pool for local residents and industries affected by exclusion zones.
Training Program Initial $200K
[#21] Initial SOP development, training program design and first full live drills.
Personnel Screening Initial $50K
[#20] Initial procurement / setup for neuropsych screening program and equipment.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $27.5M/yr
Logistics And Transport $12.8M/yr
[#1, #2, #10, #12, #24] Offshore patrol charters, UAV ops & helicopter standby, incinerator operating fuel/crew, refrigerated shipping/resupply, fleet fuel & maintenance.
Research And Monitoring $6.0M/yr
[#11, #16, #26, #5, #6] Annual scientific analysis budget (sequencing, imaging, histology), environmental monitoring, long-term research program funding (~$2M/yr), BSL validation/certification, and operational budget for mainland research facility.
Staff Wages $4.5M/yr
[#7] ~30 FTEs (MTF/security, scientists, medics, technicians, logisticians) at ~$150k fully-burdened / year.
Cover Story And Legal $2.2M/yr
[#13, #14, #15, #17, #29] Ongoing legal counsel & liaison, cover-story monitoring/upkeep, fake cleanup operational costs, cyber/OSINT takedown ops & analysts, community liaison/goodwill.
Facilities Maintenance $910K/yr
[#3, #4, #22, #23, #25] Fence/site repairs, base fuel/heating, satellite bandwidth, underwater sensor maintenance & redeployment, wastewater system operation.
Medevac And Medical $500K/yr
[#19] Medevac contract/standby and immediate emergency medical response costs.
Supplies And Consumables $250K/yr
[#5, #8, #9] Cryostorage running costs, ammunition/replacement gear, PPE rotation/consumables & biohazard disposal.
Personnel Health And Screening $200K/yr
[#20] Annual neuroimaging, psychiatric testing, counseling and replacement payroll for removed personnel.
Archival And Relocation $100K/yr
[#27] Ongoing relocation/compensation pool and archival/identity management operations for affected civilians.
Training And Drills $50K/yr
[#21] Annual refresher training, live drills and SOP updates.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $27.5M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Routine year with ongoing patrols, research, cover operations and no major incidents.
no_breach steady_operations routine_research
🚨 Minor Incident $28.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized incident: one or more SCP-5831-1 strandings requiring extra recovery, legal payouts, surge medevac and PR mitigation.
localized_beaching emergency_recovery minor_public_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $47.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Significant escalation where instances reach the ocean or large public exposure occurs, requiring large-scale remediation, settlements, and emergency operations.
ocean_entry regional_exposure large_civilian_casualties
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#7] On-site armed interdiction teams and patrol operators; part of the 30 FTE complement.
Research Scientist 6 [#7, #11, #26] Xenobiologists, neurologists and research leads supporting analysis and long-term programs.
Technician / Lab Tech 4 [#5, #11] Lab technicians for BSL mobile lab, cryostorage and sample processing.
Medical Officer 2 [#7, #19] On-site medics and clinical staff; coordinate medevac and acute care.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#4, #24] Facility, vehicle and sensor maintenance staff for base and field equipment.
Logistician / Field Support 2 [#1, #12, #24] Coordination of patrol charters, shipping, and field operations.
Administrative Staff 1 [#13, #14] Legal/administrative support for permits, compensation and cover-story coordination.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#6, #7] Overall site leadership and liaison to Foundation command and external authorities.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on detailed analyst line-items but include large discretionary reserves and operational uncertainties (patrol cadence, diplomatic negotiations, and escalation outcomes), so figures are approximate.
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