SCP-5870 — SCP-5870 | Cost Breakdown

Read on SCP Wiki ↗

SCP-5870 Keter ? low confidence

SCP-5870

Expected annual

$364.8M

One-time setup

$2.9B

Annual recurring

$357.8M

Personnel

532

Initial capital costs are on the order of multiple billions (roughly $2.87B) driven by large infrastructure programs (flood relief, habitat engineering, Project JALIGER) and contingency/reserve. Recurring annual costs are substantial (~$358M/yr), driven by long-term stewardship, research programs, security and field operations.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.9B

Flood Relief Emergency $600.0M

[#16] Immediate emergency relief for displaced population (temporary housing, logistics) ~$600M initial estimate.

Economic Mitigation $550.0M

[#30] Opportunity costs / economic mitigation (tourism losses, compensation programs; midpoint used).

Contingency Reserve $425.0M

[#28] Contingency & escalation reserve (~15–25% recommended; midpoint reserve used).

Project Jaliger Capital $300.0M

[#14] Initial tranche capital for Project JALIGER (rehab, nurseries, large-scale remediation; conservative ~$300M).

Habitat Engineering $275.0M

[#17] Long-term habitat engineering capital (waterholes, levees, recharge projects; midpoint estimate ~$275M).

Emergency Public Health Initial $175.0M

[#25] Initial emergency public health & social stability programs (~$50–300M; midpoint used).

Amnestic Program Development $150.0M

[#24] Development/distribution baseline for large-scale amnestic/covert ops (~$50–250M; midpoint used).

Research Program Initial $100.0M

[#19] Initial R&D program funding for SCP behavior/neutralization (~$50–200M; midpoint used).

Equipment $79.1M

[#3, #5, #13] PANOPTICON drone fleet ($40M), mini GPS trackers for koalas ($34.1M), ground fleet vehicles ($5M).

Deextinction Facility $50.0M

[#20] De-extinction / cloning central facility (~$25–75M; midpoint ~$50M).

Cultural Liaison Fund $30.0M

[#22] Initial community funds / consultation compensation (~$10–50M; midpoint used).

Cover Story Production $27.5M

[#23] Public relations / cover-story production (~$5–50M; midpoint used).

Air Support Purchase $26.0M

[#12] Purchase of 4–6 medium helicopters (midpoint ~$26M).

Gps Deployment Logistics $17.5M

[#6] GPS-tag deployment logistics (field teams, helicopters, vets) estimated campaign cost (~$10–25M; midpoint used).

Zoo Sanctuary Upgrades $15.0M

[#8] Zoo & sanctuary security upgrades hardware (~$15M).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $10.0M

[#18] Akiva detection & shielded lab capability build (~$10M).

Wildlife Centers Buildout $10.0M

[#10] Expansion / build-out of regional koala triage/rehab centers (8–12 centers; midpoint ~$10M).

Data Infrastructure $10.0M

[#27] Centralized data/analytics infrastructure (~$5–15M; midpoint used).

Forensic Investigations $6.0M

[#26] Large-scale forensic/ecological investigation campaign (~$2–10M; midpoint used).

Facilities $5.8M

[#1] Monitoring station hardware procurement/installation for 23 sites (~$5.75M).

Biobanking $5.5M

[#21] Biobanking & sample collection infrastructure (~$3–8M; midpoint used).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $357.8M/yr

Long Term Stewardship $125.0M/yr

[#29] Steady-state long-term stewardship, rangers, habitat maintenance and monitoring (~$50–200M/yr; midpoint used).

Facilities Maintenance $67.8M/yr

[#2, #4, #12, #13, #15] Ongoing monitoring station ops/connectivity/spare parts, drone/helicopter maintenance, ground fleet fuel/maintenance, and large-scale reforestation maintenance (portion allocated here).

Research And Monitoring $47.2M/yr

[#19, #20, #21, #26, #27, #18] Ongoing R&D and monitoring programs, de-extinction research ops, biobank operations, forensic follow-ups, data operations, and Akiva detection testing (~aggregated).

Staff Wages $32.3M/yr

[#2, #4, #9, #11, #12] 24/7 monitoring staffing, drone pilots/analysts, zoo guards, field response team salaries, helicopter pilots portion (aggregated; split from larger ops totals).

Amnestic And Covert Ops $30.0M/yr

[#24] Recurring costs for covert teams, maintenance of amnestic capabilities and deniable operations (~$10–50M/yr; midpoint used).

Public Health And Social Support $30.0M/yr

[#25] Ongoing public health, social stability and economic support (~$10–50M/yr; midpoint used).

Cultural Liaison $12.5M/yr

[#22] Ongoing indigenous consultation, liaison, employment and partnership funding (~$5–20M/yr; midpoint used).

Cover Story And Legal $6.0M/yr

[#23] Ongoing PR, legal support and cover-story maintenance (~$2–10M/yr; midpoint used).

Supplies And Consumables $3.5M/yr

[#10] Wildlife veterinary consumables, medicines and mobile triage supplies (~$2–5M/yr; midpoint used).

Gps Replacement $3.4M/yr

[#7] Replacement and attrition for GPS trackers (estimated 10% replacement/year of initial purchase).

Logistics And Transport $0/yr

[]

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $357.8M/yr

91.5% probability / year

Routine year with no major SCP-5870 escalation; normal monitoring, research, maintenance and stewardship costs only.

no_large_manifestation steady_rainfall_and_monitoring

🚨 Minor Incident $382.8M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline

Localized reappearance/manifestation requiring surge response (regional drone sorties, extra tag redeployments, temporary humanitarian assistance).

localized_SCP-5870-1_activity concentrated_koala_retrieval_campaign

🚨 Major Manifestation $1.4B/yr

0.5% probability / year +$1.0B vs baseline

Widespread SCP-5870 activity / large-scale flooding & displacement requiring major emergency relief, accelerated remediation and large covert/PR response.

nationwide_SCP-5870_aggregation mass_displacement_and_public_exposure

👥 Personnel 532 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	300	[#8, #9] Zoo/sanctuary guards (2 guards/site × 150 sites = 300; matches recurring $12M/yr at $40k/guard).
Field Response Team (Ecologist / Wildlife Handler / Veterinarian / Technician)	150	[#11] Fauna preservation and rapid-response personnel (100–200; midpoint 150; ~$13.5M/yr at $90k loaded).
Drone Ops (Pilots, SOC, Data Analysts)	60	[#3, #4] PANOPTICON operations staff (pilots/analysts) estimated from drone operations wages portion (~$4.8M/yr).
Monitoring Station Staff	18	[#1, #2] Staff for 23 monitoring stations (on-duty headcount estimate; remaining monitoring ops wages portion allocated here).
Helicopter Pilot / Aircrew	4	[#12] Air support pilots (portion of recurring helicopter ops wages included in staff_wages).

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates rely on analyst midpoints from wide-ranging ranges and many hypothetical program choices; SCP is anomalous and uncertain, so cost precision is low.

← SCP-5869 ↑ All SCPs SCP-5871 →