SCP-5871 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-5871
Expected annual
$9.8M
One-time setup
$1.1M
Annual recurring
$9.7M
Personnel
21
One-time setup costs (~$1.05M) are driven by secure locker, ritual suite construction, and research instrumentation; annual recurring costs (~$9.67M) are dominated by research staff, legal/black-budget reserves, and contingency funds.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.1M
Facilities $608K
[#1, #5, #2, #22] Secure locker/vault modification, ritual execution suite construction, HVAC/environmental tie-ins for vault, and decommissioning/final-disposition planning (sums of individual mid-range estimates).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $350K
[#6, #12] Temporal/ontological monitoring instrumentation initial purchase and initial research/training program buildout.
Equipment $65K
[#14, #21] Initial data-logging/hardened archival hardware and off-site backup setup; initial biometric/badging hardware and mounts.
Redundant Power Installation $30K
[#15] Installation of UPS/generator and associated hardware to ensure uninterrupted power during ritual windows.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.7M/yr
Black Budget Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#25] Conservative thaumiel "black budget" reserve for unpredictable metaphysical/diplomatic fallout and rapid large-scale responses.
Cover Story And Legal $1.3M/yr
[#9, #18, #23] Legal/cover-up budget, retainers/indemnity/contractor costs, and media/public-containment / PR operations aggregated.
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#6, #7, #14] Ongoing calibration and maintenance of temporal/ontological sensors, salaries & overhead for specialized research staff (temporal/metaphysical team), and recurring secure archival/storage costs.
Emergency Contingency Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#17] Annual reserve allocation for rapid response to unintended retroactive consequences and activation of cross-site containment resources.
Staff Wages $350K/yr
[#3] Continuous site security staffing allocation for dedicated armed guards and roving response team (salaries, benefits, training).
Opportunity Cost Overhead $300K/yr
[#19] Internal opportunity cost allocation for diverted senior staff and managerial attention.
Logistics And Transport $100K/yr
[#10, #24] Annualized secure transport budget (per-use armored/airlift moves averaged) and cross-site coordination/operations for inter-site neutralizations.
Authorization Administrative Overhead $100K/yr
[#4] High-level authorization and administrative overhead (dual-authorization processes, meetings, senior staff time).
Ethics Oversight $100K/yr
[#8] Committee operations, independent reviewers, expedited review protocols, and ethics liaison staffing.
Training Recurring $50K/yr
[#12] Annual recertification, drills, simulations, and ongoing training program costs.
Psychological Care $50K/yr
[#13] Ongoing mental health care, screening, and counseling for personnel involved in rituals.
Forensic Audit Per Operation $50K/yr
[#20] Forensic audit and independent verification after use (annualized per-operation expectation).
Facilities Maintenance $11K/yr
[#2, #15, #21] Vault environmental maintenance and conservator inspections (humidity/temp), generator/UPS fuel & maintenance, and biometric/door hardware maintenance.
Conservator Materials Analysis $6K/yr
[#16] Routine conservator checks and periodic materials analysis for obsidian/gem integrity.
Ritual Consumables $5K/yr
[#11] Consumables and symbolic props for rituals (candles, inks, reagents, sterile disposables) annualized.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.7M/yr
95.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine maintenance, scheduled use, and no major incidents.
no major incidents scheduled/low-frequency use standard oversight
🚨 Minor Incident $9.9M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Limited inadvertent retroactive side-effect or minor exposure requiring targeted response.
limited containment anomaly targeted legal/PR response localized forensic audit
🚨 Major Breach $19.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant unintended retroactive consequences or containment/temporal breach requiring large-scale emergency response and extensive cover-up.
large-scale retroactive side-effects multi-site containment activation major legal/political exposure
👥 Personnel 21 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#3] Dedicated armed guards and roving response team (counts chosen to match security wage allocation).
Research Scientist 8 [#7] Specialized temporal/metaphysical senior researchers (salaries accounted for in research_and_monitoring).
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#15, #21] Equipment and facility maintenance staff for UPS/generator, HVAC tie-ins, biometric systems.
Administrative Staff 2 [#4] Authorization coordination, documentation, and administrative overhead.
Ethics Committee / Oversight Liaison 1 [#8] Ethics liaison and coordination (part-time/allocated).
Data / IT Technician 1 [#14] Secure logging, archival maintenance, and redundancy management.
Medical Officer / Psychologist 1 [#13] Psychological screening and ongoing mental health care for personnel.
📋 Confidence Notes
Core one-time and recurring line items are well-described, but large contingency/black-budget numbers and frequency-of-use assumptions are policy-dependent and introduce substantial uncertainty.
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