SCP-5895 the ~ medium confidence
SCP-5895
Expected annual
$9.3M
One-time setup
$136.7M
Annual recurring
$8.7M
Personnel
41
Baseline recurring operations are roughly $8.7M/year driven by staff (monitoring, security, MTF, medical, behavioral, research) and large recurring legal/cover-story expenses; one-time capital and contingency items (containment cell, active cancellation, vehicles, deep bunker, and large disaster reserve) drive one-time costs into the low hundreds of millions depending on risk appetite.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $136.7M
Emergency Disaster Reserve $105.0M
[#17] One-time capital reserve for regional disaster-response, evacuations, remediation, and large-scale containment/cover-up in the event of delta-class events (#17).
Facilities $28.8M
[#1, #13, #16] Includes dedicated soundproof containment cell construction (#1), portion of specialized ductwork and structural work for HVAC/redundant systems (#13), and deep-bunker / hardened subterranean facility contingency construction (#16).
Equipment $2.7M
[#2, #3, #6, #9, #10, #11, #12, #13, #14, #19] Secure instrument-proof lockers/access-control hardware (#2), high-dynamic-range audio & seismic monitoring arrays (#3), MTF kit/training equipment (#6), initial approved recreational electronics (#9), automated instrument-detection development & integration (#10), active sound attenuation hardware (#11), incinerator & HAZMAT kit (#12), generators/UPS (equipment portion) & related hardware (#13), servers/storage/analysis hardware (#14), and purchase/retrofit of vehicles (#19).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $162K
[#23] Initial predictive-analytics / ML development and initial research lab tooling for forecasting instrument-creation events (#23).
Medical Initial Supplies $15K
[#7] Small initial purchase of sedatives, emergency anesthesia, IV supplies, oxygen and related medical start-up inventory (#7).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.7M/yr
Cover Story And Legal $3.9M/yr
[#18, #24] Managed misinformation / PR / legal operations (#18) and contingent front-company / insurance / contractor buffers used for plausible deniability and payments (#24).
Staff Wages $2.8M/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #15] Salaries/benefits for 24/7 monitoring technicians (#4), dedicated security officers (#5), MTF Sigma-88 recurring payroll/training if team is dedicated (#6), on-site medical staff and replenishment (#7), behavioral/therapeutic staff and enrichment program (#8), and small research team support (#15).
Personnel Overhead $840K/yr
[#22] Personnel overhead (benefits, pensions, HR/admin) estimated as ~30% of recurring payroll based on analyst note (#22).
Research And Monitoring $425K/yr
[#10, #14, #15, #23] Ongoing maintenance & retraining for automated instrument-detection models (#10), server/software maintenance for secured audio/video analysis (#14), recurring research budget for mitigation/prediction work (#15), and ongoing predictive-analytics ops for forecasting instrument-creation (#23).
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#19] Vehicle/helicopter operation, leasing, fueling and logistics for rapid insertion/removal and evacuation (#19).
Miscellaneous Contingency $275K/yr
[#25] Small flexible fund for unanticipated failures, emergency repairs, or ad-hoc operational needs (#25).
Staff Vetting And Clearance $125K/yr
[#21] Ongoing vetting, polygraphs, psychological screening, background investigations and travel monitoring for personnel with access (#21).
Facilities Maintenance $90K/yr
[#12, #13] Annual maintenance/fuel for backup generators/UPS and specialized HVAC ductwork (#13), plus operation/disposal costs for incinerator/hazardous-material handling (#12).
Supplies And Consumables $33K/yr
[#9, #20] Replacement controllers/consoles/licenses and small electronics spares (#9), plus routine PPE, filters, acoustic tile replacements, cleaning and consumables (#20).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.7M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with regular monitoring, staffing, maintenance, research, and cover-story operations.
routine_operations no_instrument_incidents no_delta-class_tremor
🚨 Minor Incident $9.0M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized instrument creation by an instance requiring MTF response, on-site destruction, and limited repairs/medical treatment.
instrument_creation localized_tremor MTF_response
🚨 Major Breach $33.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Delta-class auditory tremor with regional effects requiring large-scale evacuations, remediation, extensive cover-up/legal operations, and major use of contingency funds.
delta-class_auditory_tremor regional_damage mass_evacuations
👥 Personnel 41 total
Role Count Notes
Monitoring Technician 8 [#4] 24/7 monitoring and control-room technicians (two-to-four per shift; mid-range staffing used).
Security Officer 16 [#5] Dedicated security officers for wing/perimeter (three-shift coverage; mid-range staffing used).
MTF Agent / Rapid-response Team 8 [#6] MTF Sigma-88 rapid-response team personnel (dedicated team roster assumed; salaries/training budget accounted in staff_wages).
Medical Officer 3 [#7] On-site medical team to sedate/treat instances and exposed personnel; small team assumed.
Behavioral Scientist / Psychologist 3 [#8] Behavioral/therapeutic staff and enrichment program personnel (2–4 professionals; mid-range used).
Research Scientist 3 [#15, #23, #14] Small research team supporting mitigation, predictive analytics and data analysis.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and reasonable ranges, enabling mid-range estimates; however large ranges for capital items (deep-bunker, disaster reserve) and uncertain incident frequencies make totals approximate, hence medium confidence.
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