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SCP-5894 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5894
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$1.3M
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
4
One-time capital costs for sensors, drones, vehicles and an optional in‑house lab total roughly $1.34M; baseline recurring operations (patrols, monitoring, liaison, comms, insurance, contingency) run about $1.38M/yr, driven mainly by field team wages, contingency reserve and helicopter/airlift retainer.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.3M
Equipment $592K
[#4, #5, #7, #8] Purchase and installation of remote sensor towers (cameras/thermal/IR/acoustic), long-endurance drones, ground & water vehicles and secure communications/IT hardware.
Specialized Recovery One Time $300K
[#22] Contingency cost for a specialist anthropological/biohazard recovery expedition into the valley (highly variable).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#9] Optional in-house small lab setup for GC-MS, sulfur assays and DNA/anthropological sample processing (alternate to recurring contracted analysis).
Decommissioning Costs $62K
[#25] Decommissioning/dismantling sensors, hazardous material disposal and final community reimbursements at program close.
Community Project One Time $60K
[#15] One-off community mitigation / compensation project (road repairs, clinic support) if chosen instead of recurring grants.
Training One Time $55K
[#16] Initial purchase of specialized mountaineering / jungle kits, PPE and intensive field-team training course.
Facilities $50K
[#14] Secure, climate-controlled evidence room / secure storage construction and any modest site infrastructure.
Public Outreach Setup $20K
[#13] One-time culturally-appropriate signage and initial outreach campaign materials and installation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $402K/yr
[#2, #3] Salaries, benefits and hazard/travel allowances for the 4-person covert field team (2 field operatives, 1 local liaison/operator, 1 team leader) and stipends aggregated here.
Research And Monitoring $238K/yr
[#1, #4, #5, #9, #10, #18] Strategic monitoring (satellite & HUMINT), sensor network maintenance, drone maintenance/pilot time, contracted lab analyses (if not in-house), anthropological research funding and analyst time for pattern study.
Contingency Reserve $200K/yr
[#23] Reserved funds (20–30% of ops) for rapid scale-up in response to increased manifestations, tourism or discovery of additional anomalies.
Logistics And Transport $168K/yr
[#6, #7, #20] Helicopter/airlift retainer and occasional missions, vehicle maintenance/fuel and annual rapid-response/extraction exercises.
Cover Story And Legal $155K/yr
[#12, #21] Local legal/diplomatic cover, permits handling and archive suppression / information-control campaigns to limit tourism and panic.
Supplies And Consumables $61K/yr
[#13, #16, #17, #24] Public-outreach upkeep, annual refresh of PPE and training consumables, power/battery replacements, fuel, food and office consumables.
Insurance And Evacuations $60K/yr
[#19] Field employee insurance, liability coverage and allocated emergency funds for rescues/compensation.
Medical And Psych $40K/yr
[#11] Emergency medical care, medevac co-pays, trauma counseling and infectious disease screening for staff and civilians.
Cultural Compensation $30K/yr
[#15] Annual small grants and community mitigation funds to reduce friction and provide plausible non-anomalous explanations for presence.
Communications And It $18K/yr
[#8] Satellite phone airtime, encrypted comms subscriptions, VPN/data transit and ruggedized field tablet data plans.
Facilities Maintenance $10K/yr
[#14] Climate control, physical maintenance and utilities for evidence storage / secure room.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, patrols, contracted analysis and no major incidents.
no major incidents routine civilian encounters only standard patrols and monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $1.6M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Small-scale incident requiring extra sorties, helicopter extractions, medical care and short-term outreach/legal response.
civilian group becomes trapped/follows lights localized media attention/tourism spike several medevacs or equipment losses
🚨 Major Extraction $1.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Deliberate recovery/extraction expedition into the valley requiring specialist teams, large logistic lift, conservation and diplomatic effort.
decision to attempt recovery/extraction missing person confirmed inside valley discovery of recoverable artifact or biohazard
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#2] Two field operatives (part of 4-person field team; salaries included in staff_wages).
Local liaison/operator 1 [#2] Local liaison/operator embedded in field team; salary/allowances included in staff_wages.
Team Leader 1 [#2] Team leader for the covert field team; salary included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are grounded in analyst ranges and typical operational costs, but many line items are broad ranges and depend on policy choices (observe-only vs active intervention) and localized contracting in Cuba; contingency and one-off expedition costs add uncertainty.
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