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SCP-5960 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5960
Expected annual
$5.5M
One-time setup
$2.3M
Annual recurring
$5.3M
Personnel
29
One-time containment and R&D setup costs are modest-to-mid (≈$2.32M) while annual operational costs are dominated by inventory buyback, staff wages, monitoring, and cover operations (~$5.33M/year). The largest recurring drivers are large-scale product acquisition/recall and ongoing personnel for recovery, monitoring, and response.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.3M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#11] Analytical chemistry and lab R&D equipment purchase and lab buildout (GC-MS/LC-MS/NMR/HPLC/etc) to support isolation and analysis.
Amnestics Initial Stock $500K
[#10] Initial stockpile purchase/manufacture of Foundation-grade amnestic doses (thousands of doses).
Legal Reserve $500K
[#18] One-time legal-risk/fines/settlements reserve for pre-existing exposures.
Clinical Trials $200K
[#13] One-time controlled internal clinical testing / human-subject trial setup, oversight, and initial execution.
Replication Program $200K
[#14] Replication/synthesis program startup costs (pilot formulation labs and pilot batches).
Recall Settlements $200K
[#16] One-time potential recall settlements / negotiated reimbursements for localized to regional recalls (conservative mid-range estimate).
Equipment $135K
[#3, #7, #21] Secure vehicle purchase and fit-out, one-time audiovisual/monitoring retrofit equipment for PoI cell, and initial recordkeeping/IT hardware deployment.
Facilities $46K
[#4, #24] One-time storage/shelving modifications and archival shelving for evidence reference samples. (Excludes equipment purchases and cell retrofit.)
Sop Development $30K
[#20] One-time SOP creation and training material development for recovery, testing, storage, amnestic administration, and media handling.
Cover Company Setup $10K
[#19] Initial setup for shell corporations, trademarks, bank accounts (cover-company formation costs).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.3M/yr
Staff Wages $2.1M/yr
[#3, #6, #7, #8, #9, #11] Salaries for drivers/escorts, security guards and admin, PoI-6223 containment guards and psychologist, media/monitoring analysts, rapid-response clinicians and agents, and laboratory staff (chemists/techs).
Inventory Buyback $1.0M/yr
[#1] Recurring acquisition/buyback of commercial SCP-5960 jars from retailers/resellers/private owners (medium-distribution assumption ~100k jars).
Cover Story And Legal $600K/yr
[#16, #17, #19, #23] Ongoing legal retainer/recall coordination, disinformation/PR campaign costs, corporate maintenance/overhead for cover companies, and public health coordination expenses.
Opportunity Cost Overhead $500K/yr
[#25] Program overhead representing diverted researcher time and lost opportunity from unsuccessful replication or ongoing containment efforts.
Logistics And Transport $420K/yr
[#2, #3, #15] Targeted recovery operations (field teams, travel, per-op logistics), per-transfer transport budgets, and transport related to disposal where applicable.
Supplies And Consumables $265K/yr
[#15, #10, #14, #12] Disposal/incineration contracts, amnestic replenishment, replication/synthesis materials, and allergy/epinephrine supplies and training consumables.
Research And Monitoring $200K/yr
[#8, #11] Media/broadcast monitoring tools/subscriptions and contracted analytical chemistry runs / lab consumables (non-staff costs).
Incident Response Fund $200K/yr
[#22] Ready-access contingency fund for emergency broadcast takedowns, mass amnestic deployment, or emergency product purchases.
Facilities Maintenance $78K/yr
[#5, #4, #7, #21, #24] Climate control and utilities for storage, inventory management software license, monitoring/cell maintenance, IT hosting/backups, and archival storage upkeep.
Training And Sop Refreshers $15K/yr
[#20] Recurring staff training refreshers and SOP update sessions.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.3M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing recovery, monitoring, and cover operations; no large public incidents.
steady_state_recovery ongoing_disinformation
🚨 Minor Incident $5.6M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$310K vs baseline
Localized Shell-Event or sudden infomercial spot causing a small surge in public exposures requiring targeted ops and amnestic deployments.
local_shell_event viral_infomercial_resurfacing
🚨 Research Scaleup $6.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Decision to scale replication/synthesis and run expanded clinical trials, requiring significant additional R&D and pilot production spending.
successful_replication program_scaleup_decision
🚨 Major Breach $10.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$4.8M vs baseline
Widespread national rediscovery or mass distribution event requiring large-scale buyback, legal settlements, and aggressive disinformation and response.
nationwide_distribution_spike mass_shell_event
👥 Personnel 29 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 9 Includes 3 site storage guards and 6 PoI-6223 containment guards (two per shift) covering 24/7 access control and PoI security. [#6, #7]
Security Admin / Access Control 1 Badge control, CCTV admin, and inventory access administration. (Approx. 0.5–1 FTE) [#6, #21]
Driver / Transport Escort 2 Secure vehicle drivers/escorts for transfers and recovery transport. [#3]
Research Scientist / Chemist 3 Analytical chemistry staff and lab techs supporting R&D and sample analysis. [#11]
Monitoring Analyst 4 Media/broadcast/social monitoring analysts triaging alerts and new appearances. [#8]
Rapid-Response Clinician 3 Clinicians supporting amnestic administration, medical oversight, and witness care. [#9, #10, #12]
Rapid-Response Agent 6 Field recovery agents for targeted retrievals and amnestic operations. [#2, #9]
Psychologist / Handler 1 Assigned to PoI-6223 monitoring, behavioral assessment, and reintegration management. [#7]
Administrative Staff 1 Legal/coordination support for recalls, cover-company maintenance, and public health liaison tasks. [#16, #19, #23]
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges, but the biggest driver (number of jars released into commerce) is uncertain. Cost ranges therefore have moderate uncertainty; staffing and fixed equipment estimates are better-defined.
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