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SCP-6011 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-6011
Expected annual
$24.9M
One-time setup
$250.8M
Annual recurring
$23.2M
Personnel
66
Estimated one-time capital/setup ~$251M driven mainly by cavern excavation/sealing and associated civil works; recurring operations roughly $23.2M/yr driven by long-term maintenance, power/HVAC, staff wages and logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $250.8M
Facilities $165.5M
[#1, #2, #14, #26, #28] Cavern excavation and hermetic sealing (1), surface Provisional Site-044 construction (2), helipad/yard site works (portion of 14, 26), and seasonal/site protective structures (28).
Escalation Reserve $25.0M
[#30] Contingent reserve for unanticipated anomalous escalation or large-scale unexpected costs (30).
Equipment $23.8M
[#3, #4, #5, #11, #14, #15, #19, #20, #21, #25, #26] Powerplant/switchgear (3), environmental control hardware (4), vibration/EM isolation (5), initial security kit/training gear (11), vehicles/airlift hardware (portion of 14), comms hardware (15), clinic fit-out equipment (19), PPE/decon hardware (20), waste treatment equipment (21), site security technology (25), vehicle/shop equipment & spare-parts (portion of 26).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $18.5M
[#6, #7, #8, #9, #17, #22, #23, #24] Perpendicular monitoring rig and manipulators (6), specialized scientific instrumentation (7), BSL-3-like biosafety upgrades (8), sterile sampling equipment (9), geotechnical sensors (17), cultural/xenoanthropological program startup (22), data servers/initial archive (23), specialized instrumentation R&D start-up (24).
Emergency Response Fund $10.0M
[#18] One-time rapid-response/contingency escrow for collapse, contamination, or major failure (18).
Perimeter Exclusion Zone One Time $5.0M
[#12] Legal/administrative designation and one-time compensation/agreements to establish 10 km exclusion zone (12).
Cover Up One Time $3.0M
[#13] Initial government/cover-up negotiation, payments, and legal fees to establish cover story (13).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $23.2M/yr
Facilities Maintenance $11.2M/yr
[#4, #5, #16, #28] Long-term capital replacement/inspection reserve (16), HVAC/energy and environmental control operating costs (4), isolation/upkeep (5), and seasonal protective maintenance (28).
Staff Wages $5.5M/yr
[#10, #11, #19, #26] Salaries/benefits for on-site research team and lab techs (10), security personnel (11), medical staffing (portion of 19), and maintenance/operations staff (26).
Logistics And Transport $2.9M/yr
[#3, #12, #14, #26, #27, #15] Fuel, generator logistics and lift (3), perimeter patrols/exclusion enforcement operations (12), contracted airlift/vehicle operations (14), vehicle maintenance & spare parts (26), routine staff rotations and travel (27), and bandwidth/satellite link operating costs (15).
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#6, #7, #17, #22, #23, #24] Maintenance/calibration of monitoring rig (6), instrumentation service contracts (7), geotechnical/hydrogeological monitoring contracts (17), cultural/xenoanthropological programs (22), secure data storage & processing (23), and ongoing specialized R&D (24).
Supplies And Consumables $1.4M/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #20, #21] Lab consumables and service contracts (7), biosafety operations and PPE consumables (8), sterile sampling consumables (9), containment PPE replacements (20), and hazardous/waste treatment operation costs (21).
Cover Story And Legal $700K/yr
[#13, #29] Ongoing government liaison, legal fees, PR/cover-story maintenance and HQ administrative overhead (13, 29).
Security Operations $200K/yr
[#25] Recurring operations/maintenance for perimeter sensors, drones, UAV patrols and security technology (25).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $23.2M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with scheduled maintenance, routine research, and no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $25.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized equipment failure or monitoring rig malfunction requiring repairs, temporary PR response, and modest replacement purchases.
equipment_malfunction localized_containment_breach public_observation_event
🚨 Major Breach $83.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$60.0M vs baseline
Structural collapse, significant contamination, or catastrophic failure of hermeticity requiring large-scale remediation, reconstruction and extended cover-up.
cavern_collapse major_contamination extended_remediation
🚨 Political Exposure $35.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$12.0M vs baseline
Local/national political instability or leak forces expensive negotiations, relocations, or large cover payments.
government_dispute public_exposure forced_compensation
👥 Personnel 66 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 25 [#10] Head Researcher, xenoanthropologists, biologists, physicists, instrumentation engineers, lab techs — staffing estimate used in research salary line (~$2.5M/yr for 25 staff).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#11] On-site 24/7 physical security force (approx. 30 guards to cover shifts and response; wages part of staff_wages).
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#26] Site engineers and maintenance technicians responsible for plant, vehicles, and cavern monitoring; included in operations salary budget.
Administrative Staff 3 [#2, #29] Site administrative support and liaison officers; wages included in staff_wages and HQ overhead assumptions.
Medical Officer 2 [#19] On-site medics/clinicians (staffing & limited supplies budgeted as recurring; wages included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Reasonable detail provided in analyst notes and many line estimates; largest uncertainty remains karst/geotechnical scope (item #1) and political/cover-up risk which can cause large variance, so confidence is medium.
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