SCP-6119 — SCP-6119 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-6119 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-6119

Expected annual

$148.6M

One-time setup

$1.7B

Annual recurring

$141.1M

Personnel

254

Estimated one-time capital of approximately $1.67B driven primarily by a continuous perimeter wall, road/access infrastructure, legal/environmental compliance, and decommissioning reserves; recurring annual costs ≈ $141.1M/yr driven by perimeter repairs, MTF payroll, insurance/contingency provisioning, and emergency readiness.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.7B

Facilities $1.2B

[#2, #9, #15, #26] Perimeter wall, permanent site upgrade (S-281), road/logistics construction, and initial environmental mitigation and compliance work (midpoint estimates).

Legal Permit And Land Acquisition $125.0M

[#25] Up-front legal, permitting, Indigenous consultation, land access/acquisition/expropriation reserve (midpoint).

Decommissioning And Disposition Reserve $125.0M

[#30] Contingency reserve for decommissioning, demolition, environmental restoration, long-term disposition (midpoint).

Earthworks And Redirection Infrastructure $95.0M

[#14] Heavy equipment and earthworks to build redirection channels/berms/sacrificial zones (midpoint capital).

Equipment $77.0M

[#4, #12, #17, #20, #21, #16, #10] Sensor towers, unmanned systems and robotic platforms (capital), scientific instrumentation capital, secure communications hardware, initial vehicle fleet, helicopter purchases (capital), remote power infrastructure (solar/battery) capital.

Evacuation And Compensation Reserve $12.5M

[#24] Initial evacuation, civilian liaison and compensation fund (midpoint).

Secrecy And Cover Story Setup $12.5M

[#27] Initial cover-story/PR setup and disinformation campaign establishment (midpoint).

Site Survey And Geospatial Mapping $1.2M

[#1] Baseline LiDAR, aerial photogrammetry, geological and slope-stability surveys (midpoint).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $0

[]

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $141.1M/yr

Facilities Maintenance $35.0M/yr

[#3] Perimeter wall continual reinforcement, repairs and site infrastructure maintenance (midpoint recurring).

Insurance And Contingency Provisioning $30.0M/yr

[#28] Annual internal reserve provisioning for liability and catastrophic contingency (midpoint recurring).

Staff Wages $29.0M/yr

[#7, #8] MTF Upsilon-83 payroll, rotating perimeter security, plus on-site support personnel (scientists, engineers, medics, technicians, admin) recurring payroll and benefits (midpoint).

Emergency Response And Rapid Mobilization $10.0M/yr

[#23] Standing retainer and readiness for pre-contracted contractors, national guard/airlift, surge capability (midpoint recurring).

Research And Monitoring $7.8M/yr

[#17, #18] Ongoing experimental consumables and specialist instrumentation operation plus research program budget (midpoint totals).

Supplies And Consumables $4.0M/yr

[#22] Fuel for vehicles/generators, food, PPE, replacement sensors, shipping to remote site (midpoint recurring).

Vehicle Ops And Replacement Fund $4.0M/yr

[#21] Recurring fuel, maintenance and replacement provisioning for 4x4s, tracked vehicles and shop operations (midpoint recurring).

Aviation Operations $3.2M/yr

[#16] Helicopter/VTOL recurring operating costs (fuel, maintenance, pilots) (midpoint recurring).

Legal And Compliance $3.0M/yr

[#25] Ongoing monitoring, compliance, Indigenous relations and permit management (midpoint recurring).

Sensor Operations And Data Management $2.8M/yr

[#5] Sensor operations, data center, 24/7 analysts, cloud/satellite uplink fees and routine calibration/repairs (midpoint recurring).

Administrative Overhead $2.5M/yr

[#31] Centralized program office, accounting, audits, procurement staffing and management (midpoint recurring).

Cover Story And Legal $1.8M/yr

[#27] Ongoing cover-story, PR and document control budget (recurring portion, midpoint).

Power Operations And Fuel $1.2M/yr

[#11] Ongoing fuel deliveries, generator maintenance, battery replacements for remote power systems (midpoint recurring).

Unmanned Systems Maintenance $1.2M/yr

[#13] Maintenance, spare parts, batteries and contractor servicing for UAVs/robots (midpoint recurring).

It And Communications Ops $1.2M/yr

[#20] Recurring bandwidth, telemetry, SOC/IT support for secure comms (midpoint recurring).

Environmental Monitoring $1.2M/yr

[#26] Ongoing environmental monitoring and remediation obligations (midpoint recurring).

Training And Exercises $1.2M/yr

[#29] Regular MTF and site training, drills, and tabletop exercises (midpoint recurring).

Medical And Memetic Mitigation $1.2M/yr

[#19] On-site medical clinic, psychiatric counseling, memetic safeguards and medication stocks (midpoint recurring).

Satellite Tasking And Imagery $600K/yr

[#6] Commercial satellite tasking, EO/IR passes and imagery analysis (midpoint recurring).

Logistics And Transport $0/yr

[]

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $141.1M/yr

85.0% probability / year

Normal operational year with no major breach; recurring maintenance, staffing, monitoring, and contingency provisioning only.

stable_containment routine_repairs regular_research_activity

🚨 Minor Incident $166.1M/yr

12.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline

Localized breach or heavy-impact event requiring emergency mobilization, localized reconstruction, increased legal/compensation and temporary surge staffing.

localized_breach perimeter_damage infrastructure_repairs

🚨 Major Breach $291.1M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$150.0M vs baseline

Major breach with extensive infrastructure damage, civilian evacuations/compensation, large-scale reconstruction and extended emergency operations.

large_scale_breach town_damage_and_evacuations extended_reconstruction

👥 Personnel 254 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	200	[#7] MTF Upsilon-83 and rotating perimeter security teams; majority of staff_wages budget allocated here.
Research Scientist	12	[#8] On-site scientific team positions covered under support personnel recurring costs.
Engineer / Maintenance	10	[#8] Engineers and maintenance staff for infrastructure, sensors, power and vehicles.
Medical Officer	4	[#8, #19] On-site medical staff and psychiatric support (recurring medical program funding separate).
Technician / Field Operator	20	[#8] Field technicians for sensors, unmanned systems and vehicle operations.
Administrative Staff	8	[#8, #31] Program management, procurement, and administrative support.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates bracketed by wide ranges provided in analyst notes and significant uncertainty about LOC size, frequency/severity of collisions, and legal/environmental costs; many line items use midpoints where specific design/scale is undefined.

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