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SCP-6118 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-6118
Expected annual
$4.5M
One-time setup
$29.4M
Annual recurring
$3.0M
Personnel
14
Initial one-time capital of approximately $29,418,000 driven primarily by BSL‑4 suite construction, countermeasure seed funding and an outbreak contingency reserve; ongoing annual operating costs are approximately $3,048,000/yr driven by staff wages, research/biosurveillance, utilities, and consumables.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $29.4M
Outbreak Contingency Minimum $10.0M
[#27] Minimum one-time contingency reserve for localized outbreak response (seed level; full costs may be orders of magnitude higher).
Facilities $8.0M
[#1] Sealed BSL‑4 grade suite retrofit / new isolated wing construction.
Countermeasure Seed $5.0M
[#17] One-time seed funding for countermeasure R&D (preclinical/Phase I seed budget).
Equipment $3.2M
[#2, #4, #6, #8, #7, #9, #13, #18, #24] HVAC/install, redundant power installs, autoclave/effluent equipment, VHP system, initial PPE suits, IV pumps, CCTV/access control install, transport vehicle, IT setup.
Contingency Reserve $2.0M
[#23] One-time contingency/reserve (facility liability / indemnity seed).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#16] Initial genomics/characterization lab setup, instruments and initial consumables for BSL‑4 research phase.
Emergency Response Reserve $500K
[#26] One-time rapid-response / mutual aid reserve.
Initial Stockpile $150K
[#19] Initial 3–6 month stockpile of TPN, PPE, filters, spare parts.
Documentation Setup $50K
[#28] Initial SOP/protocol development, secure documentation creation and classification controls.
Furniture $6K
[#20] Specialized sealed mattress/pillow units and initial sterile textiles.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#10, #11, #12, #21] Nursing (2–4 FTE), infectious disease physician oversight (FTE/consult), security staff (4–6 FTE), decontamination technicians.
Research And Monitoring $600K/yr
[#14, #16] Ongoing biosurveillance, occupational testing, and continued characterization/genomics/pathogenicity research.
Supplies And Consumables $368K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #19, #20, #30] HEPA/ULPA filter replacements, contract disposal / waste treatment costs, PPE maintenance/parts, VHP/UV consumables, TPN/nutrition consumables, stockpile replenishment, sterile linen/book sterilization, general medical consumables.
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#2, #4, #13, #29] HVAC maintenance and calibration, backup generator/UPS maintenance, CCTV/access control maintenance, routine maintenance contracts.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#22] Legal counsel, regulatory compliance, cover/communications budgets and media management.
Insurance Premiums $150K/yr
[#23] Increased facility/staff insurance and indemnity premiums (annual).
Utilities $125K/yr
[#3] Electricity and continuous utilities for HVAC, filtration, monitoring and life‑support systems.
Logistics And Transport $80K/yr
[#18, #19] Vehicle maintenance, trained transport crew, routine secure sample/shipment operations and replenishment logistics.
Emergency Readiness Fund $50K/yr
[#26] Annual readiness funding for rapid-response consumables, surge PPE, and mutual aid coordination (if funded ongoing).
Training And Drills $40K/yr
[#15] Regular BSL‑4 training, PPE fit-testing, emergency drills and behavioral protocols training.
Psychological Care $25K/yr
[#25] Counseling, PTSD prevention and staff mental-health programs.
It Ops $20K/yr
[#24] Secure data hosting, classified records handling, backups and secure comms operations.
Documentation Updates $10K/yr
[#28] Periodic SOP updates, audits and classification control updates.
Countermeasure Development $0/yr
[#17] Large-scale countermeasure program not assumed in baseline; shown as a separate projectized spending possibility (annual cost set to 0 in baseline).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.0M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year: routine operations, scheduled maintenance, ongoing research at baseline scope.
no_incident scheduled_maintenance routine_research
🚨 Minor Incident $3.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure or minor containment breach requiring repairs, temporary quarantines, overtime and limited medical treatment.
localized_damage equipment_failure limited_exposure
🚨 Countermeasure Development $23.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Decision to ramp up countermeasure development to an aggressive, multi-year program (preclinical + early clinical scale-up) requiring substantial annual funding.
no_known_treatment strategic_decision_to_develop accelerated_R&D
🚨 Outbreak Response $103.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Containment failure with onward transmission (localized outbreak requiring mass response) leading to large public-health, containment, treatment and legal costs.
breach_and_transmission community_spread mass_hospitalizations
👥 Personnel 14 total
Role Count Notes
Nursing Staff (RN) 3 [#10] 2–4 FTEs indicated for daily IV setup and ongoing clinical care; 3 FTEs used for baseline staffing estimate.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 5 [#12] 4–6 FTEs recommended for 24/7 coverage; 5 FTEs used.
Decontamination Technician 2 [#21] 1–3 technicians recommended; 2 FTEs used in baseline.
Infectious Disease Physician 1 [#11] On-call/oversight specialist time represented as one FTE-equivalent for budgeting purposes.
Research Scientist 1 [#16] Research lead / scientist to oversee characterization work included in baseline staff costs.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#29] Responsible for HVAC/generator/autoclave maintenance and vendor coordination.
Administrative Staff 1 [#22] Site/project admin and liaison for legal/comms and procurement.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item estimates are grounded in standard BSL‑4 retrofit, PPE, and medical cost ranges provided in the analyst notes; however large uncertainties remain around countermeasure R&D scope and outbreak-scale impacts, so medium confidence is appropriate.
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