SCP-6152 Euclid ~ medium confidence
Alone with the Sakura Trees
Expected annual
$2.7M
One-time setup
$7.2M
Annual recurring
$2.6M
Personnel
17
Estimated one-time capital expenses of $7,242,500 driven primarily by property acquisition, greenhouse construction/ballistic panels, equipment (HVAC, suppression, sensors) and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs ~ $2,627,000 driven by staff wages, facilities/utilities, research/horticulture, insurance and ongoing monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.2M
Facilities $2.5M
[#2, #5, #17, #14, #18, #19, #20] Greenhouse shell construction (including framing/foundations, ballistic exterior panels), internal secure outbuilding fit-out, structural reinforcement and fast-release panels, climate-controlled archival vault fit-out, supplemental lighting installation, incinerator installation, and change-room/locker fit-out.
Equipment $1.3M
[#3, #4, #9, #10, #16, #26] Specialized HVAC installation and backup generator/UPS; fire detection, deluge and inert-gas suppression systems; CCTV/thermal/acoustic sensors and NVR servers; screening station hardware (X-ray, NIR spectrometer); emergency suppression/containment harnesses and custom capture equipment; UAV/drone fleet and pilot training.
Breach Contingency Reserve $1.2M
[#25] Containment breach / demolition & remediation fund reserved for large-scale cleanup, demolition, soil decontamination and neighbor compensation.
Property Acquisition $1.2M
[#1] Purchase or long-term lease of the Penny-Valley Estate, legal setup for shell ownership and closing/escrow fees (one-time capital).
Advanced Research Reserve $550K
[#30] Contingent advanced R&D reserve for behavioral manipulation / pyrokinetic countermeasure development (project-level funding).
Trees Acquisition $230K
[#11] Acquisition and staging of 24–36 mature Prunus serrulata specimens and planting/soil/root barrier/irrigation integration costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $142K
[#15, #14] Research lab setup and access (microscopy, chemical analysis, wet lab capacity) and conservation/stabilization work for SCP-6152-2 plates.
Replacement Tree Reserve $40K
[#13] Reserve for replacement mature trees (holding reserve for urgent replanting/quarantine for 4–10 replacements).
Installation Heavy Lift $35K
[#24] One-time heavy-lift/crane rentals and specialized transport for installation of trees, glazing panels and structural components.
Initial Training $25K
[#21] Initial mandatory training for staff (8–12 staff) and certification costs prior to operations.
Non Sakura Materials Premium $18K
[#27] Premium cost for certified non-sakura furnishings and materials procurement at construction time.
Administrative Setup $12K
[#28] One-time documentation, recordkeeping software/license and administrative setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.3M/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Salaries and benefits for continuous on-site staffing: horticulture/caretakers (6–8 FTE), security (6–8 FTE incl. supervisor) and containment researchers/incident response (2–4 staff).
Research And Monitoring $381K/yr
[#15, #12, #14] Annual research program budget (behavioral studies, pyrokinetic trials), ongoing horticulture/arborist maintenance and archival monitoring/maintenance for SCP-6152-2.
Insurance And Reserves $275K/yr
[#23] Insurance premiums or self-insurance reserve to cover property damage, liability, and legal defense.
Facilities Maintenance $258K/yr
[#3, #4, #9, #18, #19] HVAC energy & routine maintenance, backup generator fuel/maintenance, annual fire system testing/certification, sensor/CCTV maintenance and utilities-related maintenance plus permits & certifications.
Cover Story And Legal $148K/yr
[#1, #22] Legal retainer and cover-story management (absentee ownership legal fees, taxes) and neighbourhood/PR management budget.
Training And Psychological Support $72K/yr
[#16, #21] Annual emergency drills, training refreshers, and psychological counselling/support for staff exposed to the entity and recurrent hands-on training for suppression/restraint equipment.
Supplies And Consumables $64K/yr
[#5, #10, #20, #27, #29] Consumables and housekeeping for the internal outbuilding, screening/testing consumables (swabs/assays), laundry/service, ongoing procurement premium for certified non-sakura materials, and miscellaneous horticulture/maintenance tools.
Logistics And Transport $62K/yr
[#24, #26] Annual truck/crane contract retainers for logistics and emergency mobilization plus UAV/drone operational costs and maintenance.
Admin And Recordkeeping $25K/yr
[#28] Ongoing administrative costs for recordkeeping, audited signoffs, software licenses and enforcement of documentation policies.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.6M/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents; all recurring contracts and research budgets maintained.
uneventful_operations scheduled_research_and_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $2.7M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Limited containment incident (single mature tree loss, localized fire or small structural damage) requiring replacements, emergency response and short-term elevated legal/PR costs.
single_tree_death minor_fire localized_structure_damage
🚨 Major Breach $4.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.8M vs baseline
Major containment breach or destructive fire requiring demolition, large-scale remediation, legal settlements and extended loss of research operations.
greenhouse_destruction multiple_tree_losses fire_spread_to_neighbourhood
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Horticulture / Caretaker 7 [#6] Continuous 24/7 two-person coverage requires 6–8 FTE; mid-range staffing estimated at 7 full-time caretakers (vocational sakura/greenhouse specialists).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#7] Per-shift security coverage (2 guards + supervisor) with rotation and leave coverage: estimated 6–8 FTE; mid-range 7 full-time security staff.
Research Scientist / Incident Response 3 [#8] Dedicated Euclid containment researchers and rapid-response staff: 2–4 personnel; mid estimate 3 (includes site liaison duties).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and explicit cost drivers, enabling a mid-to-high fidelity estimate; uncertainty remains around low-probability, high-cost contingencies (pyrokinetic behavior, large-form events, legal exposures) and site-specific real-estate variance.
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