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SCP-6153 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6153
Expected annual
$29.9M
One-time setup
$83.6M
Annual recurring
$28.4M
Personnel
55
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $83,600,000 driven primarily by a pre-funded contingency fund, facility buildouts, and initial equipment purchases. Recurring annual costs are approximately $28,400,000/year driven mainly by staff wages, insurance/political risk management, psyops/disinformation, and ongoing research/screening operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $83.6M
Contingency Fund $50.0M
[#20] Pre-funded emergency global deniability / contingency fund (lower-bound selection: $50,000,000 of the $50M–$500M suggested range).
Equipment $13.8M
[#2, #3, #23, #14] Purchase of TEQ units and detectors (~$10,000,000 assumed initial buy), mobile detection vans (~$2,000,000 for 10), specialized capture/euthanasia/tracking hardware (~$1,000,000), and initial cybersecurity/hardware (~$750,000).
Facilities $10.2M
[#1, #27] Secure containment wing construction (~$7.5M midpoint of 3–12M) and secure archive vault/setup (~$2.75M midpoint of 0.5–5M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $8.5M
[#6] Lab buildout and secure server room setup (~$8.5M midpoint of 2–15M for mid-sized radiological/cryogenic lab and secure data center).
Cover Organizations Setup $1.1M
[#16] One-time setup of cover organizations / shell network (~$1.1M midpoint of 0.2–2M).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $28.4M/yr
Staff Wages $8.2M/yr
[#4, #5] Field operations salaries (40-person force, incl. 25% benefits) and research scientist salaries (10 senior researchers); remaining small administrative/support payroll included.
Insurance And Risk Management $5.0M/yr
[#21] Insurance premiums, risk pools and reserves to manage legal/diplomatic fallout (selected lower-bound $5M/yr).
Research And Monitoring $1.6M/yr
[#5, #25] Lab supplies/small equipment and data-analysis/false-positive mitigation efforts for TEQ/TR research (~$1.25M + $0.4M).
Cover Story And Legal $1.5M/yr
[#10, #13, #24] Legal retainers and litigation budgets plus PR/crisis retainer and ethical/legal research team support (~combined $1.5M/year).
Psyops Disinformation $1.5M/yr
[#11] Core psyops/disinformation team, content production and maintenance (~$1.5M/yr mid-range of $0.5M–$3M).
Intelligence Monitoring $1.5M/yr
[#19] Informant networks and dedicated human-intel monitoring ($1.5M/yr chosen in mid-range of $0.5M–$5M).
Facilities Maintenance $1.1M/yr
[#1, #6] Ongoing maintenance, utilities and specialized HVAC/EMP servicing for secure wing and lab/server hosting (mid-range estimates).
Screening Program $1.0M/yr
[#7] Targeted screening program costs (assumed targeted screening of ~10k/year at mid-range $50–$250/test).
Bribes And Payoffs $1.0M/yr
[#12] Local payments, payoffs and co-option budgets for regional operations (mid-range contingency).
Miscellaneous Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#28] Miscellaneous and unpredictable recurring reserves (whistleblower payouts, settlements, small buyouts).
Hospital Liaison $800K/yr
[#26] Public health and hospital liaison program retainers and per-case cooperation budgets (~$0.8M/yr).
Logistics And Transport $700K/yr
[#3, #22] Vehicle fuel/maintenance/insurance (~$200k) plus travel, rapid deployment and international liaison (~$500k).
Supplies And Consumables $600K/yr
[#2, #23] TEQ unit calibration/consumables (~$500k/yr) and specialized equipment consumables (~$100k/yr).
Cybersecurity Operations $600K/yr
[#14] Ongoing social-media monitoring, takedowns, secure comms operations (~$600k/yr midpoint).
Covert Termination Operations $500K/yr
[#8] Recurring operational costs for capture and humane termination in-field and on-site (mix of lower-cost in-containment and occasional field ops).
Cover Organizations Maintenance $500K/yr
[#16] Ongoing shell/company/network maintenance, banking and legal compliance (~$0.5M/yr).
Database And Redaction $450K/yr
[#15] FOIA/records redaction unit operational costs and per-response expenses (mid-range of $150k–$750k).
Training And Simulation $300K/yr
[#17] Annual training, simulations and legal/media role-play exercises (~$300k/yr).
Psychological Support $200K/yr
[#18] Counseling, burnout mitigation and reassignment budgets for involved operatives (~$200k/yr).
Archive Operations $175K/yr
[#27] Archive vault operations and integrity checks (~$175k/yr midpoint).
Mortuary Disposal $100K/yr
[#9] Mortuary, biohazard disposal, cremation and forensic clean-up (baseline recurring per-individual handling budget).
Specialized Equipment Consumables $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $28.4M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with targeted screening and no major public exposure.
targeted_detection routine terminations no large-scale disclosures
🚨 Minor Incident $31.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Localized exposure or high-profile arrest requiring emergency psyops, legal action and increased field ops.
localized leak publicized termination targeted media suppression
🚨 Catastrophic Exposure $148.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$120.0M vs baseline
Large-scale/global disclosure forcing activation of contingency fund, major legal/financial settlements and global PR campaigns.
viral global disclosure international legal action full contingency deployment
👥 Personnel 55 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 [#4] 40-person field force for detection, capture and transport (salaries included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist 10 [#5] Senior physicists/psychologists to study TEQ/TR (10 researchers; salaries included in staff_wages).
Administrative Staff 5 [#4, #6, #15] Small administrative/ops/support staff (site admin, records, minimal maintenance) covered within staff_wages residual.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and explicit line items but many items (screening scale, contingency deployment probability, and per-operation counts) are uncertain and wide-ranging, producing moderate confidence.
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