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SCP-618 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-618
Expected annual
$2.8M
One-time setup
$3.5M
Annual recurring
$2.8M
Personnel
3
Per-1,000,000 population, estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $3.50M driven primarily by research lab buildout, R&D and contingency reserves; ongoing annual costs are approximately $2.82M driven by research operations, surveillance/platform maintenance, program staff, and clinical/service delivery. Optional secrecy/containment choices (covert communications, secure suite) substantially increase both initial and recurring costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.5M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.8M
[#3] Lab buildout, imaging suite setup, calibration, child-friendly scanning rooms and research instrumentation for longitudinal study.
Facilities $500K
[#16] Construction/furnishing of child-friendly secure research/containment suite (optional high-control requirement).
Contingency Fund $375K
[#20] Reserve for unexpected scaling (cluster/region-specific epidemic or rapid research scaling).
Fortified Food R&D $325K
[#7] Product R&D and pilot manufacturing agreements for masked/fortified food alternatives.
Equipment $235K
[#1, #14] Epidemiological surveillance IT build components and initial data-archival hardware/system setup.
Public Health Communications Covert $175K
[#8] One-time setup costs for covert containment/cover-up communications operations (policy-dependent).
Public Health Communications Transparent $50K
[#8] One-time production of transparent public-health educational materials.
Legal Retainer Setup $38K
[#9] One-time legal retainer/setup for privacy, consent templates, FOIA processes.
Community Outreach Materials $30K
[#13] Development of initial outreach/printed materials and teacher resources.
Pediatric Screening Rollout $18K
[#2] One-time training materials and EHR template rollout for pediatric screening add-on.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.8M/yr
Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#3, #15, #14] Longitudinal study personnel/operations, outsourced assays/contract research, and long-term cohort follow-up/data maintenance.
Clinical Treatment Services $325K/yr
[#4] Pediatric feeding therapy / CBT capacity for persistent cases (~100 children/1M at $1,500–5,000 each).
Staff Wages $275K/yr
[#11] Compensation+benefits for 3 FTEs: program manager, data analyst, clinician liaison.
Public Health Communications Covert $275K/yr
[#8] Ongoing covert PR, online reputation management, legal/intel monitoring (policy-dependent alternative).
Epidemiological Platform Operations $125K/yr
[#1] Hosting, maintenance, incident support and security for surveillance platform (EHR integrations, dashboards).
Supplies And Consumables $110K/yr
[#6, #19] Nutritional supplementation for affected children (~$20/child/yr) and consumables for sensory/testing sessions.
School Meal Subsidies $110K/yr
[#5] Per-meal uplift and staff training for substitution in school meal programs (substitutes + staff training).
Facilities Maintenance $100K/yr
[#16] Operations, utilities and maintenance for secure research/clinic suite (if maintained).
Insurance Indemnity $100K/yr
[#17] Annual insurance/indemnity fund to cover rare adverse outcomes or liability claims.
Fortified Food Procurement $62K/yr
[#7] Procurement and small-scale rollouts of fortified/masked food products.
Logistics And Transport $55K/yr
[#10, #18] Incident response activations, travel/mobile clinic activations and vendor compliance audits.
Acute Care Utilization $55K/yr
[#12] Estimated ER/acute visits for severe gag/aspiration events (10–50 visits/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#9] Ongoing legal/compliance retainer costs for privacy/liability management and data access requests.
Public Health Communications Transparent $50K/yr
[#8] Ongoing updates, social media monitoring and transparent education campaign maintenance.
Pediatric Screening Recurring $30K/yr
[#2] Refresher training, QA audits, clinician incentives for pediatric screening add-on.
Community Outreach Program $20K/yr
[#13] Recurring teacher in-services, parent sessions and travel for outreach.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.8M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with transparent communications and routine surveillance, research, and service delivery; no major clusters or policy shifts.
routine_surveillance scheduled_research_activities no_major_clusters transparent_policy
🚨 Minor Incident $3.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Regional cluster detection requiring additional field investigations, mobile clinic activations, and surge research/assay work.
local_cluster extra_investigation mobile_clinic_activation
🚨 Covert Coverup $3.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Deliberate policy decision to pursue covert containment/cover-up, triggering higher PR/legal expenditures and initial setup for covert operations.
policy_change_to_covert initial_covert_R&D increased_PR_and_legal
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Program Manager 1 [#11] Oversees surveillance program, coordination with schools and research teams.
Data Analyst 1 [#11] Maintains epidemiological database, dashboards, and reporting.
Clinician Liaison 1 [#11] Coordinates with pediatric clinics, feeding therapy providers and research staff.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are mid-range, drawn from analyst-provided ranges and typical per-unit costs; reasonable fidelity for program planning but sensitive to policy choices (transparent vs covert), local labor/healthcare prices, and decisions on optional containment facilities.
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