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SCP-6306 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6306
Expected annual
$433K
One-time setup
$168K
Annual recurring
$430K
Personnel
1
One-time response, forensic testing, disposal, and documentation total approximately $168k, while recurring readiness, monitoring, opportunity cost from halted research, and a conditional containment program drive annual costs up to ~$430k per year. The largest drivers are the imposed opportunity cost of halted research and the contingency full-containment program if activated.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $168K
Contingency Full Containment Design Fitout $125K
[#15] Conditional design/fit-out for secure vault upgrade and dedicated lab space if active containment/research is required (scale-dependent; worst-case estimate).
On Call Contingency Reserve $18K
[#7] One-time reserve fund to enable rapid deployment / follow-up investigations if further anomalous activity is reported (reserve held; replenishment handled separately).
Forensic Analysis $8K
[#2] Ink chromatography, fiber/paper analysis, microscopy, latent prints, DNA swab, basic chemical screens (modest forensic package).
Coverup Minimal Ready One Time $5K
[#11] Minimal readiness for local cover-up / public information contingency: PR/legal/medical preparedness.
Incident Response Evidence Collection $4K
[#1] Initial onsite response team (1 IC + 2 agents ~8 hrs), travel/admin, PPE and evidence bags.
Evidence Locker $2K
[#10] Small archival safe / climate-appropriate evidence locker for retained fragments or residue.
Documentation Classification Redaction $1K
[#4] Incident dossiers, redaction, secure database entry, admin and legal review time.
Secure Disposal $1K
[#3] Chain-of-custody transport and incineration / hazardous-waste processing fees.
Counseling Initial $1K
[#9] Initial counseling and medical screening for involved personnel (a few sessions / exams).
Transportation One Deployment $1K
[#16] Secure transport cost for a single deployment (evidence/personnel escort).
Archival Ingestion Indexing $550
[#5] One-time ingestion and indexing of secure digital/physical storage for reports and logs.
Ppe And Evidence Supplies One Time $500
[#8] One-time kit: gloves, Tyvek suits, evidence bags, chain-of-custody forms, sealers.
Facilities $0
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Equipment $0
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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $430K/yr
Contingency Research Operations $350K/yr
[#15] Conditional recurring cost if full containment & active research are required: staffing & operations for dedicated program (~$200k–500k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $60K/yr
[#12] Opportunity cost from forbidding further research: ~0.25 FTE mid-level researcher ($30k) + lost grant/utilization (~$10k–50k); subtotal used here.
Staff Wages $12K/yr
[#6] Part-time investigator/analyst monitoring duty (~0.1–0.2 FTE pro rata; ~$30–90k FTE pro-rated).
Logistics And Transport $3K/yr
[#16] Annual secure transportation/courier and occasional travel budget (~$1k–5k/yr).
Chain Of Custody Audit Compliance $2K/yr
[#14] Periodic audits, compliance work, background checks (~$500–3,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $1K/yr
[#8, #17] Replenishment of PPE/consumables (~$100–500/yr) and petty/misc expenses (meals, printing, small replacements ~$300–1,500/yr).
Counseling Medical Screening $1K/yr
[#9] Ongoing counseling/medical screening if required (~$1,000/yr if care continues).
Archival Storage Recurring $650/yr
[#5] Secure server space, backups, access-control audits for digital/physical records (~$300–1,000/yr).
Insurance Liability Premium $600/yr
[#13] Marginal institutional insurance/liability premium increase (~$200–1,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Cover Story And Legal $0/yr
[#11] Recurring cover-story/legal costs are highly situational; baseline assumes no regular spend (preparedness handled via one-time readiness).
On Call Contingency Replenishment $0/yr
[#7] Replenishment of rapid-deployment reserve is situational; baseline assumes reserve held and not routinely replenished.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $430K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year: monitoring, record-keeping, reserve held; no additional incidents requiring major response or containment activation.
no new incidents Dr. Wettle prohibition maintained no public exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $454K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$24K vs baseline
Localized reoccurrence or report triggers an onsite response, follow-up forensic testing, disposal, and limited counseling/legal action.
new report/manifestation evidence recovered requiring forensics small number of witnesses
🚨 Major Containment Activation $630K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Object re-manifests or is determined to require active containment and research — triggers full containment program scale-up beyond baseline preparedness.
reappearance with active anomaly evidence of broader hazard need for dedicated lab & security
👥 Personnel 1 total
Role Count Notes
Investigator / Analyst (part-time 0.1–0.2 FTE) 1 [#6] Part-time monitoring liaison assigned to incident databases and reporting; staffing cost reflected in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst-provided line-item ranges give moderate resolution for budgeting; baseline recurring and one-time items are well-specified but conditional containment and opportunity-cost estimates have wide uncertainty, so confidence is medium.
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