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SCP-6308 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-6308
Expected annual
$4.0M
One-time setup
$3.6M
Annual recurring
$4.0M
Personnel
22
Estimated one-time startup (site acquisition, sealing, build-out, equipment, and initial R&D) is about $3.65M; recurring annual operations are roughly $4.0M, driven primarily by staff wages, long-term study/R&D, MTF support, and ongoing local cover/maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.6M
Facilities $1.3M
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #9, #26] Site acquisition/transfer, directional blasting/entrance burial, excavation/stabilization and structural build-out, trackwork portion of railway installation, and initial MTF base-camp setup; summary framing referenced.
Decommissioning Contingency $1.0M
[#24] Reserved one-time contingency for major escalation, decommissioning, diplomatic mitigation, or alternate sealing/evacuation scenarios.
Equipment $760K
[#4, #5, #6, #10, #11, #14, #15, #21, #22, #18] Rolling stock and onboard equipment for the railway, generator/battery capital, ventilation hardware, comms hardware, monitoring arrays, medical equipment, search-and-rescue gear, initial spare-parts stock, incident response kit, and data infrastructure hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $535K
[#12, #13, #20] Baseline radiometric/anomalous-signature instruments and initial R&D, benchtop laboratory equipment and specimen storage, and initial protocol/curriculum/manual development.
Legal And Pr One Time $30K
[#16] Initial legal/PR setup fees, cover-company incorporation/legal transfers and initial covert influence setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#8] Salaries, benefits, rotation costs for researchers, technicians, and rotating MTF/support staff (Foundation staffing model midpoint).
Administrative Overhead $522K/yr
[#25] Central administrative overhead, audits, compliance and insurance-equivalent fund; calculated as 15% of non-overhead recurring operations.
Long Term Study $300K/yr
[#23] Ongoing anthropological/archaeological projects, translation, controlled fieldwork, and publication suppression costs.
Mtf Support $250K/yr
[#9] Recurring support for MTF Alpha-25 base-camp operations, vehicles, fuel, armory and guard rotations.
Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr
[#7, #13, #21] Life-support consumables (food/water/sanitation), laboratory consumables/reagents, and spare-part replenishment rotation.
Research And Monitoring $190K/yr
[#11, #12] Ongoing monitoring hardware operation and focused radiometric/anomalous-signature R&D and calibration.
Media And Cover Reserve $150K/yr
[#22] Annual reserve for media suppression, cover contingencies, and rapid-response actions to disturbed entrance incidents.
Power Operating Costs $102K/yr
[#5] Diesel fuel deliveries and routine genset maintenance/oil/filter replacement for continuous underground power.
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#16] Ongoing payments, permits, local legal fees, and covert influence to maintain the 'abandoned mine' cover and suppress inquiries.
Cover Company Maintenance $60K/yr
[#1] Annual company filings, nominal payroll, local accountants, and payments to preserve the 'abandoned' corporate cover.
Facilities Maintenance $55K/yr
[#3, #6, #15] Routine structural/site upkeep, ventilation inspections and calibration, and periodic confined-space/safety inspections.
Comms And Cybersecurity $55K/yr
[#10] Satellite/failover data plans, leased lines, and cybersecurity/maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#7, #17] Surface trucking/warehousing, resupply handling from staging to railway head, and fuel for surface logistics.
Medical And Medevac $50K/yr
[#14] Medevac contract fees, medical refresher training, and on-site med supplies replenishment.
Railway Maintenance $30K/yr
[#4] Annual maintenance, spare parts, and inspections for locomotives, wagons, and track safety systems.
Data Storage And Analysis $30K/yr
[#18] Secure storage, backups, compute for continuous monitoring datasets, and archival management.
Training And Protocols $30K/yr
[#20] Ongoing training, drills, audits, and protocol updates specific to mine safety and anomaly operations.
Psychological Support $25K/yr
[#19] Counseling, rotation support, morale services and related programs for isolated underground personnel.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.0M/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; standard operations, scheduled research, and routine maintenance.
no breach regular resupply and maintenance routine research activities
🚨 Minor Incident $4.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized disturbance of the covered entrance or a small discovery requiring rapid cover response, minor resealing, and increased overtime.
entrance disturbance local media or civilian discovery small structural repair/rescue
🚨 Major Breach $6.0M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant exposure or discovery requiring reopening, large-scale resealing/decommissioning, international legal response, and escalated R&D.
major discovery/exposure international attention need for specialized labs or diplomatic mitigation
👥 Personnel 22 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 6 [#8] Permanent research staff conducting monitoring and analysis (salaries included in staff_wages).
Technician / Lab Technician 4 [#8] Technical support for instruments, maintenance, and underground station operations.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#8, #9] Rotating MTF/security presence responsible for perimeter security, cover operations, and rapid response.
Administrative Staff / Accountants 2 [#1, #16] Cover-company administration, local filings, and liaison work to maintain corporate/cover obligations.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#8] Senior on-site manager overseeing operations and coordination with regional command.
Medical Officer 1 [#14] On-site medical readiness and coordination with medevac contracts.
Data Analyst / Archivist 1 [#18] Data storage, analysis, and long-term archival management.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing midpoint estimates; wide local-cost variability and reliance on personnel model leave nontrivial uncertainty, so confidence is medium.
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