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SCP-6358 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6358
Expected annual
$3.8M
One-time setup
$3.3M
Annual recurring
$3.6M
Personnel
27
Upfront capital and setup costs are roughly $3.27M driven by containment, destruction, surveillance and legal/contingency reserves; steady-state annual operating costs are about $3.57M/yr dominated by personnel, cover/legal funds, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.3M
Scale Up Reserve $1.5M
[#25] Recommended contingency reserve ($1–2M recommended; midpoint used) for rapid scale-up if manifestation rate increases.
Equipment $640K
[#3, #4, #6, #8, #12, #13, #16] Vehicle purchase & fit-out ($80k), covert sensor installation ($75k), evidence/barcode system ($50k), industrial pulper/incinerator ($300k), field forensics kits ($15k), digital monitoring software license & setup ($100k), air-gapped hardware ($20k).
Legal Reserve $500K
[#20] One-time contingency reserve for legal defense / indemnity (initial reserve).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#10] Forensic laboratory capital upgrades, specialized instruments and controlled lab space.
Facilities $150K
[#7] High-security containment cabinet / installation and certification for Sector 14.
Cover Ops Setup $100K
[#14] Initial lobbying/PR campaign setup to create plausible public-health narrative / municipal ban support.
Legal Setup $50K
[#5] One-time legal drafting/negotiation cost for NDAs and agreements with stores.
Undercover Setup $50K
[#15] Initial infiltration safehouse setup and gear for GOI/field investigations.
Environmental Permit $30K
[#9] One-time environmental permits, engineering studies for destruction operations.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.6M/yr
Staff Wages $2.6M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #11, #13, #15] Salaries + benefits for MTF-κ-43 agents (12), Sector 14 armed guards (6), transport drivers (2), research staff (3), 2 digital analysts, and undercover/field operatives (partial wages).
Cover Story And Legal $555K/yr
[#5, #14, #19, #20] Store cooperation payments, ongoing cover/PR/lobbying liaison costs, annual emergency buyback/rapid-response fund, and legal retainer/ongoing legal contingencies.
Research And Monitoring $210K/yr
[#10, #13, #17, #18, #22] Forensic instrument service contracts/reagents, non-staff portion of digital monitoring (licenses/takedowns), training/drills and SOP development, medical/psychological monitoring programs, and intelligence subscriptions used for monitoring.
Logistics And Transport $125K/yr
[#3, #15, #21] Non-wage transport operating costs (fuel, vehicle maintenance), undercover field op travel/operational expenses, and miscellaneous vehicle/travel costs.
Facilities Maintenance $83K/yr
[#4, #8, #9, #23, #24] Recurring maintenance/cloud storage for covert sensors, incinerator fuel/maintenance, environmental compliance testing, hazardous ash handling, and annual containment certification-related facility upkeep.
Supplies And Consumables $17K/yr
[#6, #12, #16] Evidence consumables (bags, labels), field kit consumables, secure storage media refreshes.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.6M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing monitoring, periodic seizures limited in number, no major incidents or mass manifestations.
sporadic small seizures no public exposure standard operations
🚨 Minor Incident $4.1M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized spike in manifestations in Vancouver requiring additional seizures, temporary surge staffing, and expanded buybacks/destruction for several months.
localized manifestation spike increased retail discoveries short-term public buyback campaign
🚨 Major Breach $8.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Mass manifestation event (e.g. failed neutralization) producing hundreds of copies and household discoveries, forcing emergency scale-up, mass amnesticization, major legal/PR response and accelerated procurement.
failed containment/neutralization attempt city-wide mass manifestations widespread public exposure
👥 Personnel 27 total
Role Count Notes
MTF Agent (Regional / Field) 12 [#1] Dedicated MTF-κ-43 team permanently assigned to Vancouver; 12 full-time agents for coverage and surge.
Security Officer / MTF Guard 6 [#2] Sector 14 containment detail: minimal posture two guards per shift, rotations (~6 guards total).
Driver / Transport Operator 2 [#3] Two drivers for secure transfer operations.
Research Scientist / Forensic Analyst 3 [#11] 2–3 dedicated researchers (3 used in cost estimate) for attribution, memetic assessment and controlled trials.
Digital Analyst / Cyber Ops 2 [#13] Two analysts/ops for ongoing web/darknet monitoring, takedowns and digital detection.
Undercover Operative / Field Investigator 2 [#15] Undercover/infiltration operatives supporting GOI-5889 investigations and informant handling.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line-item estimates are provided explicitly in analyst notes (improves confidence), but manifest frequency, memetic behavior escalation risk, and some composite cost splits (staff vs. non-staff portions in mixed line items) require judgment calls, so overall confidence is medium.
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