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SCP-6359 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-6359
Expected annual
$576K
One-time setup
$911K
Annual recurring
$569K
Personnel
4.75
Initial one-time setup and contingency reserves dominate upfront costs (legal/PR reserves, equipment and archives), while recurring costs are driven by security wages, legal retainer/monitoring, transport and periodic viewing/research operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $911K
Legal Contingency Reserve $250K
[#14] One-time emergency settlement/containment reserve (lower-end conservative estimate from $250k–$1M range).
Contingency Anomalous Effects Reserve $250K
[#25] Contingency reserve for unknown anomalous medical/memetic response (lower-end of $250k–$500k range).
Equipment $100K
[#1, #2, #4, #5, #9, #20] Includes incremental safe/cabinet purchase (#1 $25k), tamper-proof cases (#2 ~$12k total for 2–3), access control install (#4 $6k), screening room equipment (#5 ~$47.5k), duplication media/containers (#9 ~$1.5k), and backup power hardware (#20 $8k).
Pr Emergency Fund One Time $100K
[#15] One-time emergency PR/cover-story fund (separate from retainer).
Outreach Shell Setup $100K
[#26] One-time setup for shell companies/covert liaison capabilities (midpoint of $50k–$200k range).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#6, #7, #16] Air-gapped server/NAS + LTO (~$27k), IT tools/licenses (~$5k), and initial forensic materials analysis (~$18.5k).
Pr One Time Retainer $50K
[#15] One-time PR retainer for covert cover-story capability.
Administrative Setup $10K
[#17, #18, #19] Initial documentation/redaction (~$2k), SOP development (~$1k), and tabletop exercise (~$7.5k).
Facilities $0
[#27] Existing Site-59 capacity assumed adequate; optional renovation/expansion (conditional) not budgeted here.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $569K/yr
Staff Wages $306K/yr
[#3, #12, #13] Security staffing (~4.0 FTE ≈ $240k/yr), research allocation (0.5 FTE ≈ $50k/yr), and part-time psychological counselor services (~$16k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#14] Legal retainer and monitoring / takedown readiness (~$100k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $34K/yr
[#10] Secure inter-site transport (quarterly transfers budgeted ~4/yr; midpoint estimate ~$34k/yr).
Contingency Reserve Annual $25K/yr
[#25] Annual reserve allocation to maintain contingency fund and readiness for anomalous/medical response (small replenishment).
Outreach Maintenance $25K/yr
[#26] Maintenance of covert liaison/shell operations and occasional covert contracts (~$25k/yr).
Emergency Drills $20K/yr
[#19] Annual leak-containment and response drills (~$20k/yr).
Viewing Party Operations $16K/yr
[#11] Event staffing, overtime, catering, security and AV technicians for quarterly viewing parties (~$12k–20k/yr; midpoint used).
Research And Monitoring $14K/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #16] Annual integrity checks/maintenance for air-gapped archive (~$1k/yr), software renewals and training (~$3k/yr), media integrity monitoring & recopy schedule (~$3k/yr), and follow-up forensic testing (~$7.5k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr
[#1, #4, #5, #20] Vault overhead/HVAC & monitoring (~$8k/yr), access-control maintenance/licenses (~$1.5k/yr), screening room maintenance and consumables (~$2.5k/yr), and backup power maintenance (~$0.5k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $9K/yr
[#21, #22, #23, #24] Consumable media replacements (~$2k/yr), energy for playback/vault HVAC (~$1k/yr), opportunity cost / scheduling overhead (~$4.5k/yr), and health & safety supplies (~$1.2k/yr).
Administrative And Documentation $4K/yr
[#17] Ongoing database/cataloging, redaction updates and admin overhead (~$3k–6k/yr; midpoint used).
Training And Sop Refreshers $2K/yr
[#18] Annual clearance training and SOP refreshers (~$2.5k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $569K/yr
95.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with scheduled maintenance, viewings, research and routine transfers; no major leaks or legal emergencies.
scheduled_viewings routine_transfers periodic_research_and_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $619K/yr
4.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Small unauthorized copy or limited leak requiring emergency transport, targeted legal/PR response and overtime operations.
limited_leak emergency_transfer targeted_legal/PR_response
🚨 Major Breach $1.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant public exposure or legal action requiring use of contingency reserves, large settlements, extended investigations and scaled-up operations.
public_leak high-profile_legal_action large_scale_containment_response
👥 Personnel 4.75 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4.0 [#3] 24/7 vault coverage approximated as 4.0 FTE (two guards per shift, three shifts).
Research Scientist 0.5 [#12] 0.5 FTE allocated for media analysis, annotation and segment review.
Medical Officer / Counselor 0.25 [#13] Part-time psychological screening and counseling (budgeted as ~16k/yr).
📋 Confidence Notes
Detailed line-item estimates were provided by the analyst, but several large items (legal/PR emergency funds, anomalous contingency reserves, outreach shell setup) remain range-based and policy-dependent; probabilities for breach/major events are judgment calls.
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