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SCP-651 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-651
Expected annual
$18.0M
One-time setup
$10.4M
Annual recurring
$17.4M
Personnel
18
Initial capital to establish a BSL-3/4-capable containment and medical suite is on the order of tens of millions; steady-state annual costs are dominated by contingency reserves, research funding, staff wages, and high-containment engineering maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $10.4M
Facilities $8.2M
[#1, #21] BSL-3/BSL-4 containment suite construction and autopsy suite upgrades (capital structural work).
Equipment $1.9M
[#3, #8, #9, #11, #12, #20, #24, #26] Isolation-room outfitting, CCTV installation, autoclave/incinerator capital, decon/linen equipment, vehicle purchase, imaging purchase, initial data-security hardware, redundant power hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $340K
[#17, #19, #29, #18] Initial genome sequencing/assay development, prototype specialized prosthetics development and first-run production, initial pharmaceutical stockpile and basic lab start-up costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $17.4M/yr
Contingency Reserve $10.0M/yr
[#30] Prudential institutional contingency reserve for worst-case escape/liability scenarios.
Emergency Response Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#22] Fund/reserve maintained for rapid-response containment operations (mobile decon, mass testing/quarantine).
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#6, #7] Dedicated medical team salaries, hazard pay, on-call coverage and continuous security staffing.
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#16, #18] Diagnostic reagents and routine surveillance testing plus active in-house R&D program for pathogenesis and countermeasure development.
Facilities Maintenance $795K/yr
[#2, #4, #26, #8, #10, #11, #21, #20] Annual HVAC certification/HEPA maintenance, per-room utilities & monitoring, generator/fuel maintenance, CCTV/VMS licensing, biohazard processing operations, decon/linen operations, autopsy disposal ops, imaging equipment maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $715K/yr
[#5, #15, #29, #19, #14] PPE/disposables, per-patient consumables (feeding/trach supplies), stockpile replenishment, prosthetic/device replacement sterilization, short-term surgical/emergency supplies.
Cover Story And Legal $550K/yr
[#23, #31] Legal/cover-up/public-affairs retainer and record-keeping/compliance costs.
Patient Palliative Care $450K/yr
[#28] Ongoing long-term nursing, medications, equipment replacement and direct patient-care costs for chronic SCP-651 patients.
Logistics And Transport $125K/yr
[#13, #32] Transport vehicle operating costs and certified shipping/courier costs for infectious samples.
Training And Certification $100K/yr
[#25] Staff fit-testing, PPE don/doff training, simulated breach exercises and medical procedure training.
Mental Health And Compensation $50K/yr
[#27] Counseling, screening, worker compensation reserves for exposed staff.
Data Security Ops $30K/yr
[#24] Ongoing classified records management, redaction workflows and secure archival operations.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $17.4M/yr
88.9% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major containment incidents; steady-state containment, care, and research expenditures.
no breaches routine operations scheduled maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $17.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized protocol breach or single-staff exposure requiring increased testing, quarantine and overtime.
protocol breach limited exposure contained staff infection
🚨 Major Breach $22.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant internal outbreak requiring mass quarantine, expanded patient care, large-scale testing and external coordination.
facility outbreak multiple patient infections external agency coordination
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $517.4M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
Uncontained public release with mass exposure requiring national/international response, indemnities and systemic mitigation.
public release widespread transmission multi-jurisdictional emergency
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Infectious Disease Physician 1 [#6] Senior medical lead for SCP-651 clinical management; included in staff wages.
ICU Nurse 5 [#6] Nursing staff for 24/7 care and high-acuity chronic patients; included in staff wages.
Respiratory Therapist / Technician 2 [#6] Airway management and ventilatory care; included in staff wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#7] Continuous security staffing and access control; included in staff wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are range estimates (capital and operational) and depend heavily on chosen containment level (BSL-3 vs BSL-4), patient load, and whether in-house research is pursued; contingency and breach probabilities are judgement-based, so confidence is medium.
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