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SCP-652 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-652
Expected annual
$576K
One-time setup
$338K
Annual recurring
$557K
Personnel
3
One-time startup costs are modest (~$338k) dominated by contingency, rare-language ramp-up, and legal retainer; recurring annual costs (~$556.7k/year) are driven primarily by personnel (handlers + research staff), ongoing research/analysis, and translation/processing services.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $338K
Escalation Contingency Reserve $138K
[#24] One-time reserve for anomalous escalation relocation/large-contingency actions (midpoint of $25k–$250k range).
Rare Language Fieldwork $55K
[#26] One-time ramp-up/project spend for rare-language fieldwork / cryptolinguistics (midpoint).
Legal Cover Retainer One Time $32K
[#20] Initial legal retainer and cover-story/PR setup costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $32K
[#10, #11, #16, #28] Initial medical imaging/diagnostics, genetic sequencing/histology, initial training/SOP development, and cryostorage/biobank setup.
Equipment $30K
[#2, #6, #15, #19] Cameras/DVR portion of perimeter/CCTV, audio capture hardware, initial approved footwear procurement, and secure safe purchase.
Software Development $25K
[#8] One-time custom development of automated phrase-detection/transcription software.
Facilities $20K
[#1, #2] Room retrofit ($3k–$12k midpoint) and perimeter fencing/gate portion of perimeter security ($15k–$45k split portion).
Evidence Processing Initial $6K
[#23] Initial forensic documentation, photography, and processing of seized documents/evidence.
Transport And Crate $2K
[#21] Secure transport and containment crate, sedation and chain-of-custody for transfer.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $557K/yr
Staff Wages $260K/yr
[#4, #5] Salaries and benefits for 2 dedicated handlers and core behavioral scientist research FTE (mid-range estimates).
Research And Monitoring $246K/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #17, #18, #28] Audio storage/backup, software maintenance, professional translation services, data-analysis/meteorological correlation, ongoing long-term research program funding (optional/scaleable), and bio-sample storage fees.
Cover Story And Legal $16K/yr
[#20, #27] Ongoing legal counsel, PR/cover-story maintenance, and liaison agreements with meteorological authorities.
Emergency Medical Reserve $9K/yr
[#13] Annual reserve for urgent surgeries, trauma treatment, sedation incidents.
Facilities Maintenance $7K/yr
[#25] Pro-rated share of utilities, HVAC, janitorial, and facility overhead.
Supplies And Consumables $7K/yr
[#12, #14, #15, #22] Routine veterinary consumables, grooming/uniform supplies, footwear replacements, PPE and biosecurity disposables.
Security Contracts $6K/yr
[#3] Outsourced perimeter monitoring/remote CCTV monitoring and alarm response (outsourced mid-range option).
Personnel Training $3K/yr
[#16] Annual refresher training and SOP updates.
Evidence Archival Processing $1K/yr
[#23] Yearly archival processing and duplication for chain-of-custody materials.
Secure Archival Maintenance $1K/yr
[#19] Recurring secure-monitoring/duplication fees for archived seized documents and evidence.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $557K/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with standard staffing, ongoing research and monitoring, and no major incidents.
routine_operations no_public_exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $607K/yr
4.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized leak/unauthorized observation or small-scale incident requiring additional security, legal work, and limited relocation or PR response.
minor_leak unauthorized_observation localized_medical_incident
🚨 Major Breach $857K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Significant exposure or retrieval attempt requiring relocation, major security upgrades, extensive legal action, and public-safety coordination.
major_breach public_exposure mass_retrieval_attempt
🚨 Research Scaleup $757K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Decision year to scale up research (large grants or program expansion), adding staff, equipment, fieldwork, and expanded analysis.
major_grant scale_up_research
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Animal Handler 2 [#4] Primary and backup handler positions (policy constraints applied).
Research Scientist (Behavioral) 1 [#5] Core behavioral/linguistic scientist FTE for transcription/analysis (0.5–1.0 FTE represented as 1 core hire).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst-provided ranges are detailed for most line items allowing mid-range estimates, but optional/contingent research spending and high-variance escalation reserves introduce uncertainty.
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