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SCP-6614 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-6614
Expected annual
$1.1B
One-time setup
$6.0B
Annual recurring
$1.0B
Personnel
109
Estimated one-time setup costs are roughly $6.0 billion driven primarily by robotic/orbital hardware, excavation infrastructure and capitalized contingency/reserve funds; recurring annual costs are roughly $1.03 billion driven by launch/propellant logistics, ongoing robotic/monitoring operations, and covert influence/disinformation/legal activities.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.0B
Equipment $4.1B
[#1, #3, #11, #14, #24, #26] Orbital reconnaissance constellation deployment (#1), SIGINT/RF platform setup (#3), robotic lander/rover program procurement (#11), lunar excavation development program capital (#14), telemetry/map alteration infrastructure build (#24), and per-AOI initial cataloging hardware/software for ~50 AOIs (#26).
Disclosure Reserve Fund $1.0B
[#29] Reserve fund for disclosure/catastrophic-failure restitution, legal defense, or accelerated containment programs (capitalized).
Contingency Fund Capitalization $500.0M
[#10] Rapid-response contingency fund capitalization to bribe/neutralize uncooperative state or large private actors (capitalized fund).
Facilities $270.0M
[#4, #15, #28] Hardened earthside operations center build (#4), secure on-Earth laboratories/vaults (#15), and initial propellant/refueling infrastructure (#28).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $61.0M
[#16, #19, #23] Initial laboratory instrumentation and specialist equipment (#16), research compute/data storage cluster capex (#19), and initial anomalous R&D program launch (#23).
Image Forgery Campaign Fund $1.0M
[#8] One-time forensic-grade imagery/data forgery budget for major campaigns (per-major-campaign tranche).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.0B/yr
Logistics And Transport $520.0M/yr
[#12, #28] Launch services for Foundation payloads and recurring in-space propellant/logistics operations (launch cadence and propellant supply).
Research And Monitoring $342.0M/yr
[#2, #3, #11, #19, #22, #25] Orbital satellite operations and imagery analysis (#2), SIGINT/RF ops (#3), recurring robotic mission operations program (~fleet ops) (#11), data/compute operations (#19), archive/translation research programs (#22), and baseline monitoring of commercial/amateur observers (#25).
Reserve Replenishment $50.0M/yr
[#29] Annual replenishment target for the disclosure/reserve fund if drawn.
Cover Story And Legal $32.0M/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #9, #24] Covert influence/lobbying (#6), disinformation and media-management baseline (#7), baseline image/data forgery capability (#8), legal/PR takedown and litigation budget (#9), and ongoing telemetry/map alteration operations (#24).
Contingency Fund Replenishment $25.0M/yr
[#10] Annual replenishment allowance for the rapid-response contingency fund as used.
Staff Wages $20.0M/yr
[#17, #18] Salaries and benefits for in-house specialized research personnel and on-site security/counterintelligence staff (does not include embedded agents paid externally).
Embedded Agents $15.0M/yr
[#5] Costs to recruit/place/maintain covert operatives inside space agencies and aerospace companies (salaries, covers, safe houses, operational support).
Facilities Maintenance $11.0M/yr
[#4, #15] Operations & maintenance for the secure mission-control/operations center (#4) and secure laboratories/vaults (#15).
Artifact Acquisition $10.0M/yr
[#21] Currency for acquisition/seizure of terrestrial documents, private journals and suspect artifacts relevant to SCP-6614 research and cover-ups.
Annual Audits $4.0M/yr
[#30] Annual internal audits, oversight, leak investigations and compliance teams.
Supplies And Consumables $2.5M/yr
[#16, #26] Lab consumables, specialist maintenance, and per-AOI routine consumables for ongoing cataloging/monitoring (#16, #26).
Personnel Mental Health $1.0M/yr
[#20] Ongoing personnel therapy, debriefing, amnestic/medical treatments, travel/quarantine and secrecy-maintenance support.
Physical Investigation Contingency $0/yr
[#27] Per-visit (robotic/human) physical investigation contingency; per-event costs are handled in scenario-specific deltas (robotic $150M–$500M; human $1B–$5B).
Excavation Deployment Per Use $0/yr
[#14] Per-deployment excavation/tunneling mission costs held as contingency (per-use $50M–$500M); baseline annual use assumed 0 unless triggered.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.0B/yr
84.0% probability / year
Normal year: ongoing monitoring, covert influence, routine robotic operations, and routine maintenance with no major incidents.
no unauthorized landings routine monitoring no major publications or exposures
🚨 Minor Incident $1.1B/yr
12.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Localized leak or independent detection requiring intensified PR/legal response and a targeted quick-response inspection.
amateur/independent discovery small media exposure need for targeted robotic inspection
🚨 Major Breach $2.5B/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.5B vs baseline
Unauthorized state or commercial mission approaches/lands inside an AOI, forcing major buyouts, accelerated robotic/ excavation missions and possibly crewed contingency.
state/private crewed/robust landing public disclosure risk direct confrontation with foreign actor
🚨 Political Exposure $1.4B/yr
1.0% probability / year +$350.0M vs baseline
Wide diplomatic/political exposure requiring large settlements, legal costs, reserve draws and emergency R&D/containment acceleration.
state-level whistleblow major investigative journalism breakthrough failure of disinformation/legal containment
👥 Personnel 109 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 60 Planetary geologists, astronomers, archaeologists and anomaly analysts included in staff_wages [#17].
Engineer / Maintenance 15 Robotics, avionics, and IT engineers for mission ops and lab support included in staff_wages [#17].
Security Officer / MTF Agent 25 On-site guards, counterintelligence and internal security staff included in staff_wages [#18].
Medical Officer 2 Medical and mental-health liaisons included in staff_wages and personnel_mental_health budget [#20].
Administrative Staff 6 Administrative, logistics and program management personnel included in staff_wages.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 Executive oversight included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on wide-range analyst inputs and major assumptions about program scale, frequency of incidents, and Foundation policy decisions; many line items (launch cadence, number of AOIs investigated, use of crewed missions, and contingency draws) are highly uncertain.
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