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SCP-6648 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6648
Expected annual
$17.3M
One-time setup
$98.4M
Annual recurring
$15.6M
Personnel
74
Initial one-time setup is approximately $98.4M driven primarily by the emergency contingency reserve, construction of a specialized containment building, and initial R&D; recurring operations run about $15.6M/year driven by research & translation staff, MTF operations, and cover-story/cyber/legal budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $98.4M
Emergency Reserve $75.0M
[#15] Initial Emergency global contingency reserve (ZK-class mitigation) recommended reserve; large one-time fund to be held for catastrophic response and major mobilizations.
Facilities $12.5M
[#1, #2] Provisional Site-61 construction (containment building, reinforced foundation, Faraday/EM shielding, airlocks, decon anterooms, crane/rigging capacity) and heavy lifting/site-preparation (cranes, seismic isolators, anchor systems, foundation reinforcement). Combined estimate uses midpoints from notes.
Reality Stabilization R And D $5.0M
[#4] Specialized R&D program for reality/Hume-field sensing and mitigation tech (initial recommended program budget used).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.5M
[#3] High-end analytical instrumentation and lab setup (ICP-MS, SEM/TEM, XRD, Raman, FTIR, gamma/X-ray detectors, vacuum chambers, thermal rigs).
Amnestic R And D $1.0M
[#13] One-time R&D/formulation cost for bespoke amnestic acquisition/formulation noted as applicable.
Transportation Purchase $875K
[#20] One-time purchase of transportation assets and vehicle fleet (discreet vans, drones, possible aircraft purchase) using midpoint of provided range.
Secure Data Setup $350K
[#17] Hardened servers, cold storage and air-gapped backup setup (one-time setup cost).
Training Development $200K
[#23] Initial curriculum development for undercover operations and social-engineering training (one-time).
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $15.6M/yr
Staff Wages $6.2M/yr
[#5, #6, #7] Core personnel wages: research & translation team (~$1.5M/yr), Site security staff (~$1.2M/yr) and dedicated MTF Phi-6 operational staffing (~$3.5M/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $2.1M/yr
[#12, #16, #24, #26] Digital evidence suppression & cyber ops (#12), covert identity/cover-story legal infrastructure (#16), legal/ethical oversight and liaison budgets (#24), and public relations / false-story seeding campaigns (#26).
Program Overhead $2.0M/yr
[#27] Annual program overhead, contingencies and inflation reserve (calculated at 15% of pre-overhead recurring budget per analyst guidance; midpoint of 10–20%).
Logistics And Transport $1.8M/yr
[#10, #11, #20, #21] Covert travel and cover ops budget (#10), allowance for sabotage/"reasonable accident" operations (#11), recurring maintenance/ops for transportation assets (#20 recurring), and remote housing/safehouse network leases/maintenance (#21).
Research And Monitoring $1.6M/yr
[#8, #9, #22] Ongoing global intelligence & tracking subscriptions and data access (#8), field surveillance hardware ops/installation baseline (#9), and translation/compute/archives access (#22).
Medical Care $500K/yr
[#14] Ongoing medical & psychological care for agents and witnesses, monitoring for temporal/aging effects and associated clinics/counseling.
Amnestic Program $400K/yr
[#13] Recurring production, purchase and administration of pharmaceutical amnestics and associated field medical teams and mobile appointment cover operations.
Facilities Maintenance $300K/yr
[#18] Utilities and routine site maintenance (power, HVAC, janitorial, routine building upkeep).
Training Programs $250K/yr
[#23] Ongoing training for undercover operations, social engineering and "Breakup" tactics (recurring training costs).
Supplies And Consumables $238K/yr
[#19, #25] Consumables and lab supplies (chemicals, PPE, filters) and routine hazardous-waste handling/disposal; midpoint estimates combined.
Secure Data Maintenance $112K/yr
[#17] Annual maintenance and off-site encrypted backups/disaster recovery for classified records and sample vaults (midpoint of provided range).
Offsite Facility Access $100K/yr
[#3] Recurring costs for periodic off-site facility access (e.g., synchrotron time, specialized external instruments) mentioned in instrument notes.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $15.6M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, translation progress and no major incidents.
no rendezvous events routine operations and research standard personnel rotations
🚨 Minor Incident $17.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized Rendezvous Event or public exposure requiring increased amnestic deployment, PR response and short-term team mobilization.
small rendezvous event evidentiary leak requiring suppression targeted amnestic administration
🚨 Major Breach $90.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$75.0M vs baseline
Severe Rendezvous Event approaching dangerous thresholds requiring large-scale mobilization, mass amnestics, evacuations and use/replenishment of emergency contingency funds.
approach below 20–30 km thresholds sustained entities continue to approach within meters ZK-class collapse mitigation mobilization
👥 Personnel 74 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 12 [#5] Multidisciplinary translation and research team (linguists, physicists, archaeologists, computational specialists) — midpoint of 8–15 FTE.
Security Officer / Site Guards 22 [#6] Site-61 security staff for 24/7 coverage including K9/response and tech; midpoint of 15–30 personnel.
MTF Agent (Phi-6) 40 [#7] Dedicated MTF Phi-6 members assigned for constant monitoring and deployment; midpoint of 30–60 personnel.
📋 Confidence Notes
Inputs come from detailed analyst notes with midpoints but large uncertainties exist around R&D program scale, frequency of Rendezvous Events, and the size/frequency of emergency reserve drawdowns; contingency/reserve figures dominate one-time uncertainty.
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