SCP-6786 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6786
Expected annual
$14.2M
One-time setup
$177.4M
Annual recurring
$11.7M
Personnel
8
One-time costs are dominated by contingency reserves and construction of a small permanent containment facility; recurring costs are driven by ongoing staff wages, amnestic administration, counter-memetic research, field monitoring and containment/capture operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $177.4M
Contingency Remediation Reserve $150.0M
[#25] Contingency reserve for catastrophic ecological remediation (large mid-range reserve).
Facilities $17.1M
[#6, #17, #22] Faraday/archival upgrades, construction of a small permanent containment wing and perimeter/fencing upgrades (mid-range estimates aggregated).
Insurance Liability Reserve One Time $5.0M
[#26] One-time insurance/legal liability reserve (conservative mid-range).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.0M
[#12] Counter-memetic research lab buildout and initial R&D instrumentation (mid-range estimate).
Equipment $1.5M
[#7, #15, #17, #28] Digital-forensics stations, field sensors/drones/vehicles, rapid-deploy mobile containment units, and communications/viewing equipment (aggregated midpoints).
Detection System Development $425K
[#1] One-time development of automated content-fingerprinting / NL/image/audio pattern recognition and crawler infrastructure (midpoint of range).
Stockpile Purchase $275K
[#11] Purchase of 100–1,000 doses of approved amnestics (midpoint purchase option chosen).
Detection Test Data Licensing $100K
[#1] Initial test data licensing and labeled dataset acquisition (midpoint).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.7M/yr
Amnestic Administration $1.5M/yr
[#10] Administration of amnestics, inpatient observation, follow-up therapy and cover logistics (assumes ~100 civilians/year example midpoint cost).
Capture And Containment Ops $1.5M/yr
[#16] Annual budget for recurring cryptid capture operations (typical per-capture costs aggregated to baseline yearly program).
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#12, #15, #27] Ongoing counter-memetic trials/staff, field ecological monitoring staff and sample processing, and long-term population modeling (aggregated midpoints).
Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr
[#5, #13] Legal retainers/rights-acquisition and public-relations/cover-story campaigns (combined mid-range estimates).
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#3] Salaries/benefits for 6–12 skilled analysts and 24/7 on-call rotation; includes secure office infrastructure line-item included in analyst estimate.
Logistics And Transport $820K/yr
[#8, #21] Expected annual cost of MTF deployment operations (avg. small + occasional major raids) and aviation/airlift standby contracts (aggregated).
Diplomatic And Covert Ops $800K/yr
[#23] Covert international liaison, diplomatic payments and cross-border takedown operations (mid-range).
Employee Health And Surveillance $500K/yr
[#24] Ongoing psychological screening, mental-health programs, PPE, monitoring and replacement staffing reserve (aggregated midpoint).
Insurance Reserve Contribution $500K/yr
[#26] Annual contribution to insurance/legal liability reserve and settlement fund (recurring contribution).
Tech Upgrade Reserve $500K/yr
[#30] Annual contingency for emergent technologies, rapid tooling and ad-hoc upgrades (midpoint).
Veterinary Care And Husbandry $400K/yr
[#18] Specialized veterinary team, diagnostics, diets and per-animal care (midpoint for a dedicated team).
Infiltration And Informant Program $300K/yr
[#4] Darknet/backroom infiltration, informant payments and bounty program to solicit takedowns/turn-ins (midpoint).
Mtf Training And Readiness $300K/yr
[#9] Standby readiness, training, drills and equipment replacement for a dedicated MTF rotation (midpoint).
Administrative Overhead $300K/yr
[#29] Administrative costs for cover identities, relocations, record-keeping and false-identity maintenance (midpoint).
Facilities Maintenance $150K/yr
[#6, #17, #22] Ongoing maintenance for archival safe/air-gap systems, containment facility utilities and fencing upkeep (aggregated midpoint).
Incident Response Costs $150K/yr
[#14] Expected annual cost for emergency call handling, reimbursements and local responder amnesticization averaged over incident frequency.
Secure Destruction And Admin $130K/yr
[#19] Per-seizure destruction costs averaged over expected seizures plus administrative overhead (aggregated).
Communications Operations $60K/yr
[#28] Operating costs for memetic-safe viewing facilities, screening rooms and specialized recording equipment (recurring operating midpoint).
Supplies And Consumables $55K/yr
[#11] Replenishment of amnestic stockpiles and consumable medical supplies (midpoint of recurring range).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.7M/yr
74.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, occasional small seizures and ongoing R&D without major incidents.
no_major_leaks occasional_seizures steady_field_monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $12.9M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Localized leak(s) or small public viewing event requiring multiple rapid deployments, extra amnestic administrations and PR responses.
small_regional_leak several_private_views localized_cryptid_spike
🚨 Major Incident $36.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Widespread viewing event or persistent regional proliferation necessitating large-scale capture operations, expanded containment and significant remediation spending.
widespread_streaming_release sustained_population_expansion multi-jurisdictional_response
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $211.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Persistent full-viewings resulting in uncontrolled, multi-region anomalous-species proliferation and large-scale ecological damage requiring contingency drawdown and multi-year remediation.
widespread_public_exposure regional_ecosystem_collapse long-term_remediation_required
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Digital Analyst 8 [#3] Skilled analysts/moderators to triage leads, operate detection systems and maintain 24/7 on-call rotation; headcount chosen to match the staff_wages estimate.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges enabling mid-range aggregation, but frequencies of incidents, per-incident counts and ecological escalation paths are highly uncertain; contingency/reserve sizing and incident probabilities are therefore approximate.
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