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SCP-6815 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6815
Expected annual
$26.9M
One-time setup
$16.4M
Annual recurring
$25.8M
Personnel
85
One-time capital of approximately $16,400,000 for facility build-outs, contingency reserve, vehicles/drones and R&D; recurring operating costs of approximately $25,780,000/year driven primarily by MTF salaries, propaganda/normalcy operations, legal/liaison, and liability/insurance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $16.4M
Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#18] Initial emergency reserve for escalation scenarios (maintained/replenishable fund).
Facilities $4.2M
[#5, #13, #15] Secure archive/lab build-out ($2,000,000), structural mitigation/exclusion zone build ($2,000,000) and shelving/space scaling ($200,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.1M
[#6, #17] Conservation and forensic lab equipment package ($150,000) plus seed funding for long-term neutralization/suppression research program ($3,000,000).
Equipment $2.7M
[#2, #3, #4] Tactical vehicles and transport purchase ($1,200,000), capture drones and prototype soft-net R&D ($1,000,000), and regional sensor grid hardware & integration ($500,000).
Propaganda Exhibit Build $500K
[#8] One-time branding/exhibit construction for Operation HINODE and museum displays.
Legal Curation Projects $300K
[#10] One-time fabrication/curation and archival alteration projects to seed preferred narratives.
Ppe Memetic Development $300K
[#16] Development and procurement of specialized PPE and memetic protection systems (one-time R&D/procurement).
Backup Generator Infrastructure $250K
[#24] Backup generator infrastructure and fuel reserve installation (one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $25.8M/yr
Staff Wages $8.9M/yr
[#1, #7, #5, #15, #9, #4] Rapid-response MTF personnel salaries (~$6,000,000), linguistics/history team (~$1,680,000), archive/security staffing (~$200,000), cataloging staff (~$400,000), monitoring center staff/tooling (~$500,000) and sensor-network monitoring staff (~$150,000).
Propaganda Operations $5.5M/yr
[#8] Operation HINODE annual festival staging and media buys (staging $4,000,000 + media buys $1,500,000 = $5,500,000/year).
Insurance Liability Fund $2.0M/yr
[#20] Annual reserve/self-insurance for civilian harm, settlements and PR remediation (~$2,000,000/year).
Media Monitoring $1.7M/yr
[#9] Social monitoring center staff & tooling ($500,000/year) plus ad/content buys and polling ($1,200,000/year) = ~$1.7M/year.
Intergovernmental Cooperation $1.5M/yr
[#11] Payments and liaison budgets to partner authorities and reimbursements (~$1,500,000/year).
Research And Monitoring $1.0M/yr
[#17] Ongoing long-term neutralization/suppression R&D, trials, model-city testing and associated research costs (~$1,000,000/year).
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#10] Ongoing legal and archival alteration program to suppress/publication control (~$1,000,000/year).
Hinode Production $750K/yr
[#21] Cultural consultants, artisans and production for three-city festival authenticity (~$750,000/year).
Cleanup And Disposal $500K/yr
[#14] Annual budget for mass clean-up, memetic-safe shredding/incineration and covert disposal (~$500,000/year).
Counter Radicalization $500K/yr
[#22] Monitoring/suppression of dissident groups and deradicalization programs (~$500,000/year).
Community Compensation $500K/yr
[#25] Discretionary compensation/hush payments to affected communities and businesses (~$500,000/year).
Translation And Suppression $350K/yr
[#19] Secure translation contracts and enforcement to suppress linguistics findings (~$350,000/year).
Public Safety $350K/yr
[#12] Firefighting readiness, medical standby and event PPE distribution (~$300,000 + $50,000/year).
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#23] Secure transport and contracted courier services for artifacts and specialists (~$300,000/year).
Supplies And Consumables $270K/yr
[#3, #6, #12, #16] Consumable nets & drone batteries (~$20,000/year), per-sample analysis consumables (~$200,000/year), PPE/event equipment (~$50,000/year) and ongoing PPE refresh/training (~$100,000/year allocated within consumables estimates).
Facilities Maintenance $260K/yr
[#5, #24] Climate control and archive power (~$60,000/year) plus ongoing energy/utilities for operations (~$200,000/year).
Event Structural Setups $250K/yr
[#13] Temporary per-event structural barrier and sound-baffle erection (~$50,000/event). Assumed 5 events/year => ~$250,000/year (assumption documented).
Vehicle Maintenance $120K/yr
[#2] Maintenance, fuel and routine servicing for tactical vehicles (~$120,000/year).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $25.8M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, capture operations, Operation HINODE festivals and no major incidents.
regular November manifestations no large-scale breaches stable political environment
🚨 Minor Incident $26.8M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized surge or several small Mezame Events requiring overtime, extra cleanup and short-term deployments.
clustered manifestations localized public disruption increased overtime and cleanup needs
🚨 Major Breach $45.8M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Mass-manifestation (up to ~10,000 lanterns/entities) or significant containment failure requiring large-scale emergency response and reserve drawdown.
mass manifestation (10k) widespread infrastructure damage large medical/cleanup operations
🚨 Political Exposure $35.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Major leak or political escalation forcing expanded propaganda, legal action, increased liaison payments and extended operations.
public leak international scrutiny escalation of censorship/legal operations
👥 Personnel 85 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 60 [#1] Rapid-response Omega-10 operators (dedicated tactical containment teams).
Linguist / Historian / Cryptographer 12 [#7] High-clearance linguistics & history research team under gag orders.
Cataloging / Archival Staff 4 [#15] Evidence storage scale-up and cataloging staff (4 FTE).
Monitoring Center Operator / Analyst 5 [#9] Social/media monitoring center staff included in media/monitoring budgets.
Facilities Security / Vault Staff 2 [#5] Archive/vault security staffing (~$200,000/year).
Sensor Network Technician 2 [#4] Connectivity and sensor monitoring staff for regional early-warning grid (~$150,000/year).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are drawn directly from analyst line items and conservative assumptions; many items (event frequency, political exposure, contingency draws) are uncertain, and some per-event assumptions were required, yielding medium confidence.
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