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SCP-6816 Anomalous ~ medium confidence
SCP-6816
Expected annual
$105K
One-time setup
$89K
Annual recurring
$102K
Personnel
3
One-time program setup costs are modest (~$89k) for IT tagging, pilot monitoring, supplies, training and a small escalation reserve; recurring annual costs are modest (~$102.5k/yr) driven by part-time research allocation, routine forensic testing and ongoing monitoring/administration.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $89K
Escalation Reserve $50K
[#17] One-time reserve for rapid escalation response if properties change ($50k–$250k; baseline sets minimal reserve).
Pr Legal Contingency One Time $10K
[#14] One-time contingency for legal/PR actions if external exposure occurs (low-end contingency).
Equipment $7K
[#4, #19] Pilot monitoring hardware (20 sensors/cameras at one site pilot ~ $7,000). Larger instrument purchases are optional and listed separately.
Facilities $5K
[#9, #10] One-off small structural/inspection work and minor remediation for discovered stashes or fire-safety upgrades (baseline small allowance).
Catalogue Storage Supplies $5K
[#6] One-time purchase of standardized lockable boxes, shelving, barcode tags aggregated as a modest program-wide baseline.
Sop Training Development $5K
[#13] One-time cost to draft SOPs and produce initial training materials (~$3k–$7k; midpoint used).
It Database And Asset Tagging $4K
[#1] One-time development and asset-tag creation in Foundation databases (dev + QA).
Renovation Discovery Contingency $2K
[#9] One-off small removal costs for typical small stash discoveries during renovation (typical $1k–$5k).
Fire Inspection And Remediation One Time $1K
[#10] One-time inspection / initial remediation if a hazard is discovered (~$500–$1,500).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[#3, #19] Dedicated new laboratory instrument purchases (benchtop FTIR/large instruments) are optional; baseline assumes none purchased.
Dedicated Instrument Purchase $0
[#3, #19] Optional purchase of dedicated forensic instrumentation (e.g., FTIR/GC-MS) — $150k–$500k if purchased; baseline assumes none.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $102K/yr
Research And Monitoring $42K/yr
[#3, #11, #13] Forensic/sample analysis budget (~$10k/yr), data analysis/pattern search analyst time and compute (~$22.5k/yr), plus recurring refresher training (~$10k/yr).
Staff Wages $20K/yr
[#2] Part-time research allocation (0.1 FTE equivalent, budgeted at ~$20,000/yr).
Misc Contingency $12K/yr
[#20] Pooled miscellaneous contingency for small unexpected contractor disputes, lost time, or minor disciplinary/admin costs (~$5k–$20k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $10K/yr
[#14] Ongoing legal retainer / OPSEC monitoring and small PR capability (~$5k–$15k/yr; midpoint used).
Administrative Overhead $10K/yr
[#18] Ongoing reporting, coordination, and administrative time across the organization (~$5k–$15k/yr; midpoint used).
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#5] Evidence collection consumables aggregated as an organization-wide baseline (~$500/site equivalent aggregated).
Logistics And Transport $4K/yr
[#12] Secure courier and inter-site sample shipping budget (~$2k–$5k/yr; midpoint used).
Inventory Reconciliation $2K/yr
[#8] Centralized procurement/inventory reconciliation and occasional audits (~$2k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $1K/yr
[#4, #6, #7, #10] Ongoing pilot sensor/storage maintenance and small replenishment (pilot data storage $500/yr, catalogue replenishment $200/yr, janitorial adjustments ~$300/yr; includes periodic safety checks).
It Database And Asset Tagging $1K/yr
[#1] Annual maintenance, storage, and QA for incident DB/asset tags.
Warehouse Storage Rental $0/yr
[#15] Warehouse/long-term storage rental is conditional; baseline assumes none (optional $5k–$50k/yr if used).
Stationery Procurement Savings $-5000/yr
[#16] Net savings to ordinary stationery procurement from manifested items (treated as negative recurring cost; midpoint negative saving used).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $102K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, sampling, and administrative overhead only.
no major discoveries routine sampling and admin
🚨 Minor Incident $106K/yr
4.0% probability / year +$4K vs baseline
Small stash discovered during renovation or localized accumulation requiring removal and minor remediation.
small stash discovered during construction localized remediation and disposal
🚨 Major Discovery During Renovation $132K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$30K vs baseline
Large stash discovered that halts contractor work, requires hazard assessment, extended removal and remediation.
large hoard found work stoppage and extended remediation
🚨 Research Scale Up Instrument Purchase $302K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Decision to purchase dedicated forensic instrumentation / scale up local testing capacity in a single year.
programmatic escalation purchase of dedicated instruments (FTIR, GC-MS)
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 0.1 FTE allocation to SCP-6816 investigation (budgeted at ~$20k/yr under staff_wages) [#2].
Research Analyst / Data Analyst 1 0.1–0.2 FTE equivalent for pattern-search and data analysis (budgeted within research_and_monitoring at ~$22.5k/yr) [#11].
Administrative Staff 1 Cross-site reporting and procurement reconciliation/admin time (budgeted under administrative_overhead and inventory_reconciliation) [#8, #18].
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling a mid-confidence estimate; uncertainty remains around site count scaling, optional instrument purchases, and frequency/severity of renovation discoveries, so figures use conservative midpoints and explicit optional/zero-baseline choices.
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