SCP-6820 Perfect ~ medium confidence
SCP-6820
Expected annual
$743.5M
One-time setup
$5.8B
Annual recurring
$673.0M
Personnel
220
One-time capital costs dominated by large contingency reserves, land acquisition for a 50-km exclusion zone, and specialized destruction / procurement programs (~$5.8B). Recurring annual costs are dominated by exclusion-zone operations, contingency fund allocations and classified overhead (~$673M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.8B
Contingency Fund Reserve $2.0B
[#21] Emergency contingency and catastrophe fund (capitalized reserve for CK-class or similar responses).
Destructive Program Procurement $1.0B
[#25] Advanced/black-science procurement & contingent weaponry one-time development/procurement costs.
Land Acquisition And Exclusion Zone $800.0M
[#9] 50-km exclusion zone land compensation/expropriation, legal/title work and initial signage/patrol base construction.
Power Generation Plant $600.0M
[#2] Dedicated redundant primary power plant (SMR or equivalent grid-hardened capacity, N+2 redundancy, UPS arrays).
Decommissioning Escrow $500.0M
[#24] Disposal / decommissioning planning & remediation escrow / contingent planning capital.
Facilities $200.0M
[#1] Hardened subterranean containment upgrades (structural reinforcement, blast doors, hermetic seals, sacrificial linings).
Classified Overhead Reserve $200.0M
[#14] Classified program overhead / black-budget accounting & covert procurement establishment costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $110.0M
[#12, #27] Scientific program establishment, lab buildout and computational resources (central HPC / secure compute hardware).
Reputation Reserve One Time $100.0M
[#29] Reputation & diplomatic damage-control reserve (initial capitalization for settlements/rapid responses).
Perimeter Defense Infrastructure $80.0M
[#10] Perimeter and airspace denial systems (radar, ground installations, fixed infrastructure).
Response Stockpile One Time $40.0M
[#19] Containment-breach rapid-response stockpile initial purchase (amnestics, mobile isolation units, quarantine supplies).
Remote Handling Systems $25.0M
[#6] Remote handling, robotics and automated interaction systems (heavy-duty manipulators, redundant control rooms).
Specialized Sensor Suite $20.0M
[#4] Specialized sensor, antimem & noösensory monitoring suite development and installation.
Legal And Coverup One Time $20.0M
[#15] Initial legal/diplomatic arrangements, settlements, and false-document infrastructure establishment.
Hazardous Waste Treatment Facility $15.0M
[#8] On-site hazardous waste processing and environmental remediation capability (treatment, long-term storage).
Life Support Facility $15.0M
[#23] High-security living quarters & life-support construction (food, water, waste systems, HVAC).
Public Cover Infrastructure $10.0M
[#20] Public-facing cover infrastructure (fake parks, research centers, restricted zone facades).
Backup Generators $9.0M
[#3] Backup fuel and generator systems (diesel/gas storage, automated switchover, tank farms).
Medical And Decon Facility $8.0M
[#16] Medical, psychiatric and decontamination facility construction (on-site wards, decon showers).
Secure Comm Vaults $8.0M
[#18] Secure communications, air-gapped backups, offsite redundancy vault deployment (tamper-evident archives).
Acid Handling Systems $6.0M
[#7] Acid handling & neutralization infrastructure (corrosion-resistant piping, neutralization tanks, effluent treatment buildout).
Memetic Countermeasures Infrastructure $3.0M
[#5] Memetic/cognitohazard countermeasure hardware and infrastructure (filters, isolation hardware, large amnestic stockpile initial purchase).
Initial Counterintelligence Setup $3.0M
[#26] One-time CI hardening, audits and initial counter-intelligence measures.
Environmental Sensor Deployment $2.0M
[#22] One-time sensor-net deployment for long-term environmental monitoring of the exclusion zone.
Training And Simulation Setup $1.0M
[#17] One-time curriculum, simulation systems and training program setup.
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $673.0M/yr
Exclusion Zone Operations $200.0M/yr
[#9] Recurring costs to police, monitor and maintain the 50-km exclusion zone (patrols, land management, surveillance).
Contingency Fund Annual $150.0M/yr
[#21] Annual appropriation/interest treatment and liquidity maintenance for the catastrophe reserve.
Staff Wages $58.0M/yr
[#11, #13, #12] Salaries: on-site security workforce (~#11), high-grade personnel hazard pay & retention (~#13), research staff salaries portion of scientific program (~#12).
Destructive Program Operational $50.0M/yr
[#25] Recurring operational costs for an active destruction/neutralization program (research, testing, contracts).
Airspace And Patrol Operations $40.0M/yr
[#10] Perimeter and airspace denial operations: UAV patrols, radar ops, enforcement missions and air-patrol logistics.
Classified Overhead $40.0M/yr
[#14] Classified program overhead, shell companies, covert payments and black-budget logistics recurring costs.
Facilities Maintenance $34.0M/yr
[#2, #4, #8, #23] Power plant O&M and grid hardening (#2), sensor maintenance & calibration (#4), hazardous waste monitoring/disposal (#8), living-quarters & facility upkeep (#23).
Cover Story And Legal $28.0M/yr
[#15, #29, #20] Ongoing legal/diplomatic cover-up operations (#15), reputation readiness maintenance (#29), upkeep of public-facing cover assets (#20).
Research And Monitoring $23.0M/yr
[#12, #22, #27] Recurring R&D activity, experimental costs and contracts excluding direct salaries (#12), long-term environmental monitoring (#22), recurring compute/maintenance costs (#27).
Decommissioning Setaside $20.0M/yr
[#24] Recurring planning, escrow servicing and safe-keeping costs for eventual dismantling/remediation planning.
Counterintelligence Operations $8.0M/yr
[#26] Ongoing intelligence, counter-intelligence and inter-agency liaison recurring expenses.
Supplies And Consumables $5.5M/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #28] Amnestic replenishment and filter updates (#5), robotics spare parts (#6), chemicals/neutralizers and effluent consumables (#7), general PPE & consumables (#28).
Response Stockpile Replenishment $4.0M/yr
[#19] Annual replenishment and readiness costs for amnestics, mobile isolation units and quarantine supplies.
Security Equipment And Contractors $3.0M/yr
[#11] Annual equipment replacement, contractors and tactical-response consumables for on-site security.
Senior Staff Training And Recruitment $3.0M/yr
[#13] Training, relocation and retention program recurring costs for Level 4/5 staff and memetic specialists.
Medical And Decon Ops $2.0M/yr
[#16] Medical, psychiatric care and decontamination operations for staff (long-term monitoring and care).
Personnel Training And Rotation $2.0M/yr
[#17] Ongoing memetic safety training, rotation logistics and attrition/replacement costs.
Logistics And Transport $1.5M/yr
[#3] Fuel rotation logistics, transport and automated switchover testing costs (#3).
Secure Comm Maintenance $1.0M/yr
[#18] Maintenance and rotation of air-gapped media, offsite vault upkeep and secure archival rotation.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $673.0M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; standard operations, maintenance, research and security activity.
no major breaches steady-state operations routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $678.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized breach/incident requiring emergency response, limited remediation, amnestic distribution and short repairs.
small containment failure localized memetic exposure limited environmental contamination
🚨 Major Breach $1.2B/yr
4.0% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach with structural damage, widespread contamination or loss of some exclusion-zone control requiring major repairs and legal/diplomatic payouts.
large structural failure major memetic spread loss of multiple sink units
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $5.7B/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0B vs baseline
CK-class or near-CK-class escalation requiring global response, mass amnestics, activation/liquidation of contingency fund and emergency international operations.
site-wide RAGE-STATE / multiple sink failures uncontrolled ontokinetic propagation need for global-scale emergency measures
👥 Personnel 220 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 100 [#11] On-site security workforce (50–150 personnel). Count chosen near midpoint; wages included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 75 [#12] Research staff supporting long-term R&D and monitoring; portion of research salaries included in staff_wages.
High-grade Personnel (Memeticists / Engineers / Level 4/5) 45 [#13] Senior technical staff, memeticists and engineers (30–60 senior staff); counts chosen to align with salary budget.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints from wide analyst ranges and a conservative split of recurring vs one-time amounts. Many line items are jurisdiction-dependent, contingent (political/legal actions, black programs, catastrophic reserves) or intentionally classified, producing wide uncertainty; numbers are order-of-magnitude estimates informed by the detailed analyst notes.
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