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SCP-6845 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-6845
Expected annual
$3.7M
One-time setup
$8.0M
Annual recurring
$3.7M
Personnel
40
Estimated first-year capital expenditures are approximately $8,010,000 with recurring annual costs of about $3,665,000; main cost drivers are site acquisition & perimeter upgrades, heavy contingency/reserve funds, a contained incinerator, robotics/surveillance equipment, and staffing.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.0M
Equipment $2.2M
[#3, #5, #10, #11, #17, #18] Surveillance & sensor installation, primary power/backup and comms hardware, contained incinerator, robotic exploration platforms, vehicles fleet, and sample/freezer storage hardware.
Contingency Reserve $2.0M
[#23] Reserved fund for high-severity events (legal crises, large-scale remediation, evacuation).
Heavy Breaching Contingency $1.5M
[#12] Provision for diamond-cutters, controlled demolition consultants, excavation/tunneling and associated environmental remediation in the event of a forced-access program.
Facilities $1.2M
[#1, #2, #4, #13] Site acquisition/seizure, perimeter fortification, onsite modular operations compound, and greenhouse/plant-containment buildout (midpoint estimates).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $355K
[#4, #9, #15, #19] Small wet-lab/container setup, initial bulk per-specimen forensic processing (initial batch), biohazard/PPE setup for lab, and specialized non-destructive material analyses.
Cover Story Setup $300K
[#21] Upfront expenditures to establish cover corporation/PR narrative (initial events, site façade, community compensation initiation).
Environmental Remediation One Time $200K
[#14] One-time remediation provisioning for soil/groundwater/air cleanup should anomalous contamination be discovered.
Records And Historical One Time $100K
[#20] Initial historical research, archives retrieval, and covert payments/fees to establish records baseline.
Eradication One Time Provision $100K
[#25] One-time provision for major eradication/clearing effort if an active eradication campaign is attempted.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.7M/yr
Staff Wages $2.2M/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Annual wages, benefits, and hazard pay for 24/7 security coverage (guards, supervisors), containment technicians, and scientific staff.
Administrative Overhead $300K/yr
[#24] Site administrative costs, classified procurement processing, payroll, and internal risk fund (10–20% of operations).
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#21] Recurring cover-story PR operations, community compensation payouts, and media/records management to maintain secrecy.
Mental Health And Hazard Pay $150K/yr
[#16] Ongoing counseling services, mandatory rotations, and hazard-pay pool for personnel regularly exposed to traumatic material.
Facilities Maintenance $110K/yr
[#2, #4, #5, #13] Ongoing perimeter repairs, modular compound utilities/maintenance, generator/fuel service, and greenhouse operations.
Supplies And Consumables $100K/yr
[#9, #15] Forensic consumables per-sample, PPE replacement, decon supplies, and routine laboratory consumables.
Incinerator Operations $100K/yr
[#10] Fuel, filter replacement, permits, ash handling, and hazardous-waste disposal tied to controlled incineration operations.
Law Enforcement Liaison $100K/yr
[#20] Ongoing covert liaison retainer, travel, and fees to manage missing-persons inquiries and covertly handle official interactions.
Research And Monitoring $80K/yr
[#8, #19] Ongoing specialist analyses, consultant lab time, and recurring research program costs not covered by staff salaries.
Biohazard And Decon $55K/yr
[#15] Recurring PPE replacement, decontamination consumables, medical surveillance, and disposal contract renewals.
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#17] Fuel, maintenance, insured registrations, and routine transport costs for vehicles/drones/ATVs.
Robotics Maintenance $50K/yr
[#11] Spare parts, specialist operator training refreshers, and maintenance for remote sampling/robotic platforms.
Environmental Monitoring $50K/yr
[#14] Regular soil, groundwater, and air quality sampling and routine laboratory analysis.
Surveillance And Data Storage $40K/yr
[#3] Maintenance, replacement, and offsite replicated storage costs for surveillance, thermal, seismic, and acoustic sensor networks.
Grounds Management $40K/yr
[#25] Regular vegetation control, path maintenance, and pumpkin growth management.
Training Drills $30K/yr
[#22] Annual tabletop and full-scale drills for containment breach, incineration, and medical incidents.
Sample Storage Maintenance $10K/yr
[#18] Electricity, backup power upkeep, and maintenance for refrigerated/freezer evidence storage.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.7M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: routine operations, monitoring, research, and maintenance only.
no breach routine discoveries regular research cadence
🚨 Minor Incident $3.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized discovery of multiple new remains or a small contamination event requiring extra forensic work and short remediation.
cluster of new remains minor soil/air contamination localized equipment damage
🚨 Major Breach $5.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or forced-access attempt requiring heavy engineering, major remediation, legal actions, and extended operations.
attempted forced entry substantial environmental contamination costly legal/PR crisis
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $7.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline
Severe failure requiring site evacuation, large-scale remediation, extended legal/class-action exposures, and replacement operations.
major structural failure widespread contamination public exposure / large litigation
👥 Personnel 40 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#6] 24 guards providing 24/7 perimeter patrols and gate control (three shifts).
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#6] Overall site commander / executive for site-level decisions and coordination.
Shift Supervisor 2 [#6] Shift-level supervision and oversight of security operations.
Research Scientist 3 [#8] Forensics/pathology, botanist/xenobiology, and materials specialist staffing for ongoing studies.
Containment Technician 5 [#7] Full-time containment techs for inspections, sample collection, sensor maintenance, and grounds upkeep.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#7] Electrician/welder/masons for perimeter and generator maintenance and ad hoc repairs.
Medical Officer 1 [#15] Medical surveillance, screening, and on-call medical support for staff.
Administrative Staff 2 [#24] Site administration, payroll, classified procurement, and liaison support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Mid confidence: many costs (staffing, surveillance, incinerator, vehicles) are well-bounded, but large uncertainty remains around forced-access/engineering (mausoleum) and potential major remediation/legal exposure which could drive costs far higher.
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