SCP-6844 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-6844
Expected annual
$15.7M
One-time setup
$44.0M
Annual recurring
$15.0M
Personnel
64
Initial one-time startup and contingency allocations are large (~$44M) driven by land acquisition, research build-out, resettlement/contingency reserves and electrification; recurring annual costs (~$15M/yr) are driven by staff wages, food/logistics, ongoing research/R&D and cover-story/legal operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $44.0M
Contingency Reserve One Time $9.0M
[#29] Emergency surge reserve (20–40% of first-five-year program) held for accelerated expansion or containment failure.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $8.0M
[#18, #22, #23] Research facility fit-out and capital scientific instruments plus HPC/Noosphere analysis cluster setup.
Resettlement Compensation Fund $7.5M
[#13] Long-term buyouts and permanent compensation fund if permanent closure/resettlement required.
Decommissioning Relocation One Time $6.0M
[#32] Budget for full relocation/decommissioning, demolition, environmental remediation and long-term exclusion if abandonment ordered.
Facilities $5.1M
[#1, #3, #17, #21] Site purchase/lease, perimeter construction, one-time power infrastructure (solar + battery) and secure off-site vault build/fit.
Evacuation Initial Relocation $3.0M
[#12] Resident evacuation, temporary housing and relocation for initial population relocation contingency.
Ev Charging And Fleet One Time $1.8M
[#16] One-time EV fleet purchases and charging infrastructure / staging pads if combustion engines/generators cannot be used in-zone.
Cold Chain And Kitchen One Time $1.2M
[#15] Purchase/lease of refrigerated electric trucks and off-site kitchen fit-out, meal sealing equipment.
Equipment $950K
[#4, #10, #28] Perimeter surveillance hardware, initial web-crawler/tooling setup, and drone/LiDAR hardware/initial subscriptions.
Liaison Legal One Time $650K
[#8] Initial negotiation, permits, archaeological clearance and legal groundwork with local/UNESCO authorities.
Archaeological Excavation One Time $650K
[#20] Initial controlled excavation and artifact stabilization campaign.
Initial Incident Remediation $125K
[#27] Initial sweep/disposal of failed cooking appliances and hazardous household material removal.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $15.0M/yr
Staff Wages $7.0M/yr
[#6, #7, #10, #19] On-site security guard wages (24–40 staff), tactical/containment specialists, web-crawler analysts and core research staff salaries.
Research And Monitoring $4.3M/yr
[#20, #22, #23, #28, #30, #26] Ongoing artifact conservation, laboratory consumables and experiments, HPC/cloud ops, recurring imagery/analysis subscriptions, long-term R&D program baseline and health/psych monitoring support.
Logistics And Transport $1.4M/yr
[#14, #16] Food supply logistics (pre-cooked sealed meals for staff/residents) and recurring EV charger electricity & maintenance / cold-chain logistics.
Cover Story And Legal $1.1M/yr
[#8, #9, #31] Ongoing liaison/legal reimbursements, PR/cover-story funding and legal/insurance/defense budgets.
Medical Readiness $400K/yr
[#24] Pre-sterilized surgical sets, chemical sterilants, emergency medical staffing and trauma evacuation readiness.
Facilities Maintenance $315K/yr
[#2, #17, #21] Annual property taxes/lease payments, ongoing power infrastructure maintenance and secure storage vault climate/security ops.
Amnestic Operations $200K/yr
[#11] Field amnestic campaigns, drugs, mobile units and follow-ups (baseline recommendation).
Surveillance Operations $162K/yr
[#5] Surveillance hardware maintenance, bandwidth/cloud for continuous streaming and monitoring operator costs.
Supplies And Consumables $125K/yr
[#25] Chemical sterilants, single-use kits and consumables required when heat-based sterilization is unreliable.
Incident Remediation Recurring $30K/yr
[#27] Ongoing small hazardous materials disposals and household appliance removals.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $15.0M/yr
81.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady containment, routine research progress and no major incidents.
no major breach regular operations routine research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $16.2M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Localized breach or equipment failure requiring tactical response, extra amnestics, temporary housing and equipment replacement.
small perimeter incursion localized expansion multiple appliance failures
🚨 Major Breach $23.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$8.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or expansion requiring partial resettlement, major R&D scale-up and large emergency logistics.
rapid boundary expansion multiple site failures large-scale public exposure
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $40.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Worst-case rapid expansion requiring mass relocation, full program scale-up and major international coordination.
uncontrolled expansion mass population impact international intervention required
👥 Personnel 64 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 32 [#6] 24–40 guards required to staff 24/7 shifts; baseline set at 32 to match wage estimate.
Tactical Response / Containment Specialist 10 [#7] Rapid response and containment specialists; baseline set at 10 within 8–12 range.
Research Scientist 18 [#19] Archaeologists, physicists, linguists and Noosphere specialists; 18 staff chosen to match research wage budget.
Web Analyst / Crawler Operator 4 [#10] Online monitoring and content takedown analysts (3–6 range), chosen as 4 for baseline.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates drawn from analyst ranges and recommended baselines but major uncertainties remain (notably whether combustion failures affect engines/generators, growth rate of the zone, and population/resettlement scale), so numerical choices reflect mid-range assumptions.
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