SCP-6853 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-6853
Expected annual
$3.2M
One-time setup
$300K
Annual recurring
$3.1M
Personnel
3
One-time setup costs are moderate (~$300k) for a secure locker, backup hardware, and initial lab/training; recurring annual costs are higher (~$3.15M/yr) driven primarily by amnestic/cover contingency, legal/PR, D-class program costs, staffing, and ongoing surveillance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $300K
Destruction Disposal Contingency $175K
[#23] Contingency for controlled destruction/disposal and remediation if required.
Facilities $50K
[#1] Hardened tamper-resistant locker construction sized for the device.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $34K
[#8, #20] Dedicated test bench, observer booths, instrumentation and SOP development/initial training.
Equipment $24K
[#2, #18] Secure-grade CCTV/sensors and encrypted archival/hardware modules.
Backup Power Hardware $10K
[#4] UPS/generator or redundant feed hardware to keep locker monitoring live during outages.
Web Analysis Retooling $8K
[#14] One-time retooling cost for Oscar-12 / DUNE-HUNTER adaptation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.1M/yr
Amnestic Cover Contingency $1.2M/yr
[#16] Standing contingency reserve for civilian amnestic/medical/relocation costs for moderate regional incidents ($500k–$2M recommended).
Cover Story And Legal $550K/yr
[#17] Legal/PR/cover expense baseline for covert payments, fake records and long-term retconning.
Staff Wages $350K/yr
[#6, #7] Dedicated Level-2 researcher and psychiatrist/medical monitoring team salaries and benefits (pro-rated/part-time arrangements included).
D Class Program Costs $275K/yr
[#10] Recruitment, housing, security and administrative costs for a small D-class pool to support testing and transport.
Field Surveillance Texas $250K/yr
[#15] Covert monitoring of Texan medical centers, hospital liaisons, informants and travel.
Misc Operational Overhead $200K/yr
[#25] Miscellaneous overhead, overtime, replacements and contingency reserve (10–20% buffer assumed).
Facilities Maintenance $125K/yr
[#5] Proportionate Site-73 overhead allocation: security, utilities, amortization for allocated space.
Web Analysis Bot Maintenance $50K/yr
[#14] Ongoing maintenance, compute, data feeds and analyst oversight for Oscar-12 / DUNE-HUNTER.
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#24] Travel, vehicle rental, per diem and lodging for personnel traveling to retrieval or testing locations.
Medical Followup $20K/yr
[#11] Baseline medical and psychiatric follow-up for D-class operators and post-exposure monitoring.
Containment Audit $20K/yr
[#22] Periodic independent containment audits / red-team assessments.
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#9, #21] Testing consumables, batteries, PPE, decon and medical disposables.
Secure Data Redundancy $6K/yr
[#19] Off-site backup, secure replication and periodic integrity checks.
Research And Monitoring $4K/yr
[#3] Continuous locker monitoring, 24/7 video retention, sensor telemetry storage and periodic review.
Training Refreshers $3K/yr
[#20] Annual refresher training and tabletop drills.
Backup Power Maintenance $1K/yr
[#4] Fuel, routine maintenance and testing for UPS/generator/system redundancy.
Per Incident Retrieval $0/yr
[#12] Per-incident armored retrieval / escort costs (estimated $15k–$60k per retrieval); budgeted in incident scenarios, not baseline recurring.
Incident Response Forensics $0/yr
[#13] Forensic/incident response costs (per-incident $20k–$150k); handled in incident scenarios.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.1M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major retrievals or public incidents; steady-state monitoring, staffing, surveillance and contingency reserves maintained.
no_rediscovery steady_surveillance routine_testing_only
🚨 Minor Incident $3.4M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$292K vs baseline
Rediscovery/retrieval requiring a single retrieval + forensic response and localized amnestic/cover operations.
rediscovery single_civilian_exposure local_hospital_reports
🚨 Major Incident $5.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.2M vs baseline
Regional outbreak or public exposure requiring multiple retrievals, extensive amnestic treatments, major legal/PR and heavy forensic response.
multiple_civilian_cases public_exposure large_scale_cover_up_required
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Level-2 Researcher 1 [#6] Dedicated Level-2+ researcher responsible for authorization and oversight of testing.
Psychiatrist 1 [#7] Psychiatrist on-call/present for testing and subject monitoring.
Medical Officer 1 [#7] Medical monitoring/support team member allocated to SCP-6853 operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and ranges are detailed in analyst notes, allowing reasonable mid-point estimates; however per-incident frequencies and contingency drawdowns are highly uncertain, so confidence is medium.
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