SCP-6857 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-6857
Expected annual
$2.0M
One-time setup
$812K
Annual recurring
$2.0M
Personnel
10
Initial one-time containment and lab setup is moderate (~$812k), while recurring annual costs are driven by specialized research staffing, security, epidemiological monitoring, consumables and contingency funds (~$2.00M/yr). Main drivers: embryology lab buildout and high-skill personnel, ongoing surveillance/research, and potential recall/amnestic/legal response costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $812K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $225K
[#5, #6, #8] IVF/embryology bench and instruments (#5), cryopreservation tanks and setup (#6), autoclave purchase and BSL-2 bench equipment (#8).
Facilities $150K
[#1] Construction/retrofit of a 10×10×10 m Safe-level enclosure: reinforced walls, tamper-proof door, antechamber, pass-throughs, pressure monitoring, decon fixtures, certification.
Long Term Research Setup $100K
[#20] Initial setup costs for a multi-year research program (project initiation, specialized assays procurement, animal model startup costs).
Equipment $77K
[#2, #3, #4, #23] Initial access-control/CCTV/biometric hardware (#2), environmental monitoring hardware (#3), tamper-evident vault/safe (#4), initial inventory/LIMS/RFID purchase (#23).
Contingency Reserve $75K
[#21] One-time funding set aside as a rapid-response reserve for accidental exposures, MTF deployment, emergency medical/amnestic operations.
Initial Recall And Buyback $50K
[#14] Localized product trace/recall/buyback logistics and retailer compensation for removing identical tests from circulation.
Legal One Time $50K
[#17] Initial legal counsel, agreements, recall/retailer negotiations, and settlement planning fees.
Public Cover One Time $20K
[#15] Initial public cover/PR/memetic/AMNESTIC operations setup costs (press, monitoring setup, initial misinformation prep).
Personnel Screening Rollout $20K
[#11] One-time HR policy rollout, medical screening program startup, records handling and legal compliance for "no personnel capable of childbirth" policy.
Sop And Training Initial $20K
[#12] Initial SOP writing, training program creation, ethics board setup and initial training sessions.
Initial Acquisition $10K
[#13] Covert purchase/retrieval operations (travel, surveillance, evidence processing, chain-of-custody) for SCP-6857.
Destruction Program One Time $10K
[#24] One-time validated neutralization/destruction program development (if chosen instead of indefinite retention).
Amnestic Supply Initial $5K
[#18] Initial stockpiling/acquisition of amnestic treatments and associated medical supplies (per-person treatments stocked).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#9, #10] Salaries, benefits and overhead for research team (PI, embryologists, geneticist, lab techs) and dedicated security guards plus minimal admin/medical oversight.
Research And Monitoring $438K/yr
[#16, #20, #12] Epidemiological monitoring, data analysis and subscriptions (#16), ongoing multi-year research funding/yearly allocation for sequencing/assays/animal studies (#20), annual refresher training/compliance costs (#12).
Compensation And Medical Followup $100K/yr
[#19] Ongoing compensation, secret medical care and pediatric follow-up costs for affected families arising during the year.
Replacement Staffing $80K/yr
[#22] Ongoing costs to hire/replace or pay overtime due to the exclusion policy (productivity loss/hiring/training).
Supplies And Consumables $57K/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Cryogenic liquid nitrogen refills and consumables (#6), embryology culture media and sterile disposables per-experiment budget (#7), biohazard waste removal contracts (#8).
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#15, #17] Ongoing PR/monitoring and recurring legal counsel/litigation management costs.
Amnestic Administration $50K/yr
[#18] Expected annual budget for administration of civilian amnestics, medical observation, interviews and record sanitization (scales with incidents).
Contingency Replenishment $25K/yr
[#21] Annual replenishment target for the rapid-response contingency fund.
Facilities Maintenance $22K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #23, #24, #25] Ongoing maintenance for access control/CCTV, HVAC/integration energy share, vault maintenance, inventory system upkeep, storage monitoring, and incremental energy/site overhead allocation.
Personnel Screening Testing $2K/yr
[#11] Recurring costs for routine pregnancy tests, audits and HR compliance sampling for personnel entering the enclosure.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.0M/yr
93.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine containment, research, monitoring and administrative activities.
no breaches limited testing routine surveillance
🚨 Minor Incident $2.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Localized accidental exposure or small cluster detected requiring targeted rapid response, limited amnestic use, and extra legal/medical follow-up.
single-device misplacement small cluster of affected civilians targeted amnestic deployments
🚨 Major Recall And Mass Amnestics $3.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Large-scale retail recall and mass amnestic/legal/medical campaign following discovery of multiple devices in circulation or wider outbreak.
regional/national product trace escalation dozens to hundreds of exposed civilians large-scale amnestic and legal response
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / PI 1 [#9] Senior PI to lead embryology/genetics research and protocols.
Embryologist / IVF Technician 2 [#5, #9] Core embryology staff to run IVF-grade testing and handle zygotes.
Geneticist / Bioinformatician 1 [#9, #20] Lead genetic analysis and sequencing, collaborate on mechanism research.
Laboratory Technician 1 [#8, #9] Lab tech for routine sample handling, autoclave operation and inventory.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#10] Dedicated guards for 24/7 enclosure coverage and rapid response.
Medical Officer 1 [#18, #19] Medical oversight for amnestic administration, follow-up care and triage.
Administrative Staff 1 [#11, #23] HR/records support for screening, LIMS/inventory records and legal paperwork.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and canonical containment procedures; many items (recall scale, number of affected civilians, research intensity) have wide ranges, so mid-range assumptions were used resulting in moderate confidence.
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