SCP-6861 — SCP-6861 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-6861 Neutralized ~ medium confidence

SCP-6861

Expected annual

$775K

One-time setup

$596K

Annual recurring

$769K

Personnel

7.5

One-time capital/setup costs estimated at $596,000 driven by construction of a large cold-storage chamber and specialized equipment; recurring annual costs are estimated at $768,800/yr driven primarily by security and research staffing, energy, and overhead.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $596K

Equipment $261K

[#2, #3, #4, #5, #8] Dedicated refrigeration plant and HVAC integration (#2), backup generator/ATS/fuel-handling hardware (#3), environmental monitoring hardware and integration (#4), physical security systems (CCTV, badge/biometric access, intrusion sensors) (#5), and specialized handling equipment/gantry/crane purchase (#8).

Facilities $200K

[#1] Construction/modification of a walk-in refrigerated/freezer room sized for a 12 m, 7-tonne carcass (insulation, lockable doors, foundation/site work).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $90K

[#14, #16] Initial forensic/scientific analysis program (imaging, histology, radiocarbon/aDNA, industrial CT/3D scans) (#14) and initial high-resolution scanning & archiving/scanning rigs for large specimen (#16).

Initial Transport $20K

[#9] Secure refrigerated heavy transport, crane/escort, permits and special convoy costs for initial acquisition/relocation.

Deaccessioning And Disposal $15K

[#22] One-time costs for decontamination, legal disposal, regulatory approvals and respectful transfer/disposal if specimen is deaccessioned.

One Time Legal And Redaction $10K

[#17] One-time redaction/records work, legal fees and initial cover-story/document preparation.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $769K/yr

Staff Wages $505K/yr

[#6, #7] Armed security staffing (6 guards, 24/7 posture) estimated at ~$360,000/yr and scientific staff (0.5 FTE senior paleontologist + 1 FTE technician) estimated at ~$145,000/yr.

Site Overhead And Amortization $75K/yr

[#20] Allocated share of facility rent/mortgage, campus utilities, institutional overhead, EHS and compliance amortized to the specimen.

Research And Monitoring $30K/yr

[#15] Ongoing research project funding, travel for visiting paleontologists, conference/publication support and follow-up studies.

Insurance Reserve $30K/yr

[#19] Annual reserve allocation/self-insurance fund for remediation, replacement or unexpected losses.

Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr

[#2, #5, #11] Annual maintenance and service contracts for HVAC/refrigeration (#2), security monitoring/maintenance (#5), and routine refrigeration/HVAC/equipment maintenance and calibration (#11).

Cover Story And Legal $25K/yr

[#17, #23, #18] Legal/compliance retainers, NDA/security clearance administration, cover-story maintenance, background checks/training and PR contingency planning. Includes ongoing legal/PR retainer and contingency planning.

Miscellaneous Contingency $20K/yr

[#24] Reserve for unexpected repairs, pest treatments, emergency medical responses and urgent conservation.

Energy And Power $15K/yr

[#10] Ongoing electricity costs to run refrigeration, lighting, sensors and security for a large walk-in cold room.

Logistics And Transport $10K/yr

[#9] Occasional secure refrigerated transport and relocation costs averaged over time (per-move costs amortized as an annual budget).

Contingency Cold Storage $10K/yr

[#12] Retainer/standby contract for off-site emergency cold-storage capacity (trucks or leased vault).

Backup Power Fuel And Testing $8K/yr

[#3] Fuel supply/contracted refueling, periodic load-testing and maintenance for backup generator/ATS systems.

Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr

[#13] PPE, disposable consumables, sampling kits, archival packaging, and conservation supplies.

Archival Storage $5K/yr

[#16] Long-term digital storage, secure backups, and administration for high-resolution images, 3D models and chain-of-custody logs.

Sample Processing Per Event $5K/yr

[#21] Average annual budget for periodic destructive sampling and lab processing (assumes ~1 sampling event/year at median cost).

Monitoring And Connectivity $800/yr

[#4] Connectivity and monitoring service fees for remote alerting, SMS/email alarms and data logging.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $769K/yr

95.5% probability / year

Normal year with no major incidents: ongoing staffing, maintenance, energy and research budgets only.

normal_operations scheduled_maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $849K/yr

3.0% probability / year +$80K vs baseline

Localized refrigeration/HVAC failure or short outage requiring emergency transfer and equipment repairs.

refrigeration_outage emergency_transfer_activation

🚨 Major Breach Or Catastrophic Failure $1.2M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$400K vs baseline

Catastrophic failure leading to specimen warming/thaw, large-scale remediation, rebuild and extensive legal/PR response.

extended_power_loss structural_failure catastrophic_equipment_failure

🚨 Public Exposure $919K/yr

1.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline

Leak or FOIA-triggered public exposure requiring intense legal and PR response, possible witness protection and expedited research/containment actions.

media_leak FOIA_request unauthorized_public_disclosure

👥 Personnel 7.5 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	6	[#6] 2 guards per shift × 3 shifts = 6 on-site security personnel (24/7 posture).
Research Scientist	0.5	[#7] 0.5 FTE senior paleontologist for authorized examinations and oversight.
Technician	1	[#7] 1 FTE technician for specimen handling, sampling, and routine support.

📋 Confidence Notes

Reasonable confidence on staffing, energy and major capital categories based on provided ranges and neutralized status, but many line items have wide ranges and event frequencies are uncertain (contingencies, sampling frequency, and rare catastrophic events), producing moderate overall confidence.

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