SCP-6888 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-6888
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$4.3M
Annual recurring
$1.3M
Personnel
12
One-time setup costs are driven largely by infrastructure, equipment and large contingency reserves for potential political exposure (~$4.26M). Annual operating costs are dominated by staff wages, site overhead and legal/cover operations, totaling roughly $1.31M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.3M
Exposure Contingency Reserve $2.8M
[#25] Large reserve for high-profile exposure / political fallout (stalling, negotiation, repatriation or staged disclosures).
Investigative Operations $875K
[#19] Cost reserve for exhumations/foreign operations, permits, travel, local contractors and possible covert investigations into origins.
Facilities $200K
[#1] Construct 15 m insulated cold-storage room to Foundation specs (food-grade insulation, stainless interior, flood containment, ice-making/dispensing integration).
Equipment $172K
[#2, #4, #11] Capital refrigeration plant and environmental controls (#2), backup generator/UPS capital (#4), and installation of secure CCTV/environmental alarm hardware (#11).
Contingency Reserve $100K
[#21] One-time contingency fund for emergency repairs, rapid contractor callouts, sensor/door replacement.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $98K
[#9, #15] Baseline forensic/laboratory analyses for specimens (#9) and purchase/install of small cryo/-80°C freezer for sample archive (#15) (one-time equipment and baseline assays).
Training And Sop Setup $35K
[#20] Development of SOPs, initial staff training programs and initial emergency response drills.
It And Custody Setup $18K
[#13] Secure chain-of-custody databases, physical evidence materials, labeling systems, and initial digital backup/IT setup.
Transport Capital $15K
[#17] Initial refrigerated vehicle and specialized transport equipment for retrieval and sample movement.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.3M/yr
Staff Wages $750K/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Security staff (7 FTE) plus containment/morgue technicians (2 FTE) and scientific staff/consultants (researchers/pathologist). Salaries, benefits and training.
Site Overhead $275K/yr
[#22] Allocated share of Site-07 utilities, janitorial, administrative support, insurance and facility depreciation.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#18] Legal counsel, cover stories, liaison work and minimal plausible-deniability operations to maintain secrecy.
Facilities Maintenance $56K/yr
[#3, #5, #15] Refrigeration energy and preventative maintenance (#3), backup generator testing/fuel/maintenance (#5), and LN2/electric maintenance for sample archive (-80°C/cryogenic) (#15).
Research And Monitoring $54K/yr
[#10, #12, #14, #24] Ongoing laboratory assays and reagents (#10), monitoring subscription/maintenance (#12), IT/data maintenance and cybersecurity (#14), and periodic integrity checks/long-term monitoring (#24).
Training And Drills $10K/yr
[#20] Annual refresher training and emergency drills (power loss, breach, spill response).
Psychological Support $6K/yr
[#23] Counseling services, rotation allowances and other staff mental-health supports for personnel exposed to anomalous human remains.
Supplies And Consumables $4K/yr
[#16] PPE, decontamination supplies, autoclave/disposal or contract biohazard waste disposal.
Logistics And Transport $3K/yr
[#17] Occasional refrigerated movement of specimens/samples, permits and chain-of-custody logistics.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.3M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine containment, monitoring and staff operations only.
no_incident routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Short refrigeration outage or equipment failure requiring emergency repair and temporary transfer of specimens.
refrigeration_failure short_power_outage emergency_repairs
🚨 Major Breach $2.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant containment failure or loss of multiple specimens requiring large-scale recovery, forensic effort and repairs.
structural_failure extended_power_loss security_breach
🚨 Political Exposure $2.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Leak or discovery linking specimens to living governments/relatives, triggering diplomatic/legal operations and cover-up costs.
identity_leak media_exposure foreign_government_interest
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $2.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.1M vs baseline
Decision to proactively investigate origins (exhumations/foreign ops) or scale research, triggering major one-time investigative expenses.
approval_for_foreign_operations large_scale_exhumations expanded_research_program
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#6] 24/7 posted guards (3 shifts; redundancy) as specified in staffing estimate.
Containment Technician 2 [#7] Daily handling, logging, temperature checks and specimen maintenance.
Research Scientist 2 [#8] Full-time researchers conducting assays and analysis.
Forensic Pathologist / Consultant 1 [#8, #9] Pathologist consultancy for detailed forensic analyses and oversight of specimen examinations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item ranges and clear operational requirements, enabling mid-confidence budgeting. Ranges on diplomatic/investigative actions and political exposure introduce substantial tail risk, reducing confidence to medium.
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