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SCP-6889 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-6889
Expected annual
$3.4M
One-time setup
$7.1M
Annual recurring
$3.2M
Personnel
10
One-time capital and contingency reserves total approximately $7,142,000, with recurring annual program costs of about $3,214,250 driven primarily by staff wages, legal/PR/cooperation expenses, and continuous monitoring/infrastructure.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.1M
Scale Up Reserve $3.0M
[#29] Reserve pool to enable rapid scale-up if SCP draws mass attention or operations must expand nonlinearly.
Corporate Acquisition $2.2M
[#2] Option to buy Homloch or shell company purchase including integration and ~ $200k legal fees (small-to-medium acquisition assumed here).
Contingency Reserve Emergency $1.0M
[#23] One-time contingency pool for emergency remediation (server seizures, emergency takedowns, large-scale seizures or specialized equipment deployments).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $370K
[#4, #10, #20] Air-gapped mirror/sandbox hardware and secure transfer (#4), development of content-scrubbing/memetic-filtering tools (#10), initial sensor R&D and research instrumentation for client-device detection (#20).
Cyber Offensive Initial Op $250K
[#7] Budgeted single cyber-offensive operation (red-team/contractor/zero-day procurement) as a one-time capability if covert credential acquisition via hacking is required.
Equipment $205K
[#3, #5, #12, #24] Server-side tap appliances and appliances deployment (#3), forensic/appliance licenses and hardware (#5), physical tap/colocation hardware (#12), secure comms systems/hardware (#24).
Covert Infiltration $75K
[#1] Covert access insertion costs: hiring/bribing/contractor placement or social-engineering/hacking campaigns (background checks, non-attributable payment channels).
Honeypot Initial $30K
[#21] Initial deployment/build of decoy pages/services to mimic SCP-6889 for device behavioural study.
Facilities $12K
[#16] Initial office/safehouse setup and physical site preparation near Homloch (furnishing, utilities, basic secure office fit-out).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.2M/yr
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#8, #9] Salaries + benefits for continuous monitoring personnel (sysadmins/network analysts) and intelligence/content analysts (memetics/linguistics).
Cover Story And Legal $505K/yr
[#6, #18, #19, #28] Legal/subpoena/MLAT budgets and counsel (#6), PR/cover campaigns (#18), hush-money/NDAs and liability reserves (#19), and insurance premiums (#28).
Research And Monitoring $484K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #13, #20, #21, #22, #27] Managed log forwarding & storage (#3), mirror maintenance (#4), DFIR/SIEM renewals (#5), long-term archival (#13), sensor maintenance (#20), honeypot runtime analysis (#21), red-team assessments (#22), and outbound-influence monitoring/ISP cooperation baseline (#27).
Administrative Overhead $419K/yr
[#30] Finance, HR, procurement overhead allocated to the program (15% of baseline recurring operational spend per analyst guidance).
Incident Response Retainer $300K/yr
[#11] Retainer and standby costs for rapid containment, takedown, on-call cyber/field teams and routine per-year readiness.
Health And Medical Support $150K/yr
[#10, #25] Ongoing psychological/medical monitoring, counseling, health monitoring and retraining costs for exposed personnel; includes runtime memetic-safety operations costs from #10 and #25.
Facilities Maintenance $110K/yr
[#16, #12] Ongoing office/safehouse rent, utilities, and colocation/rack fees for taps and mirror hardware.
Training And Doctrine $80K/yr
[#15] Regular training, SOP development, OPSEC drills, memetics handling training, and red-team exercises.
Translation And Cultural $60K/yr
[#26] Contract translators and cultural analysts for multilingual forum content interpretation.
Supplies And Consumables $46K/yr
[#14, #13] Bandwidth/egress and routine cloud fees for mirrors/backups and consumables (DoS protection, small cloud archival costs).
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#17] Routine travel & lodging for field operations, liaison visits, and ISP coordination.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.2M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with continuous monitoring, no major incidents.
routine monitoring standard legal requests no breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $3.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized operational incident requiring expedited traces, short emergency response, and additional legal fees.
expedited domestic/international trace short takedown or emergency mirroring
🚨 Major Breach $5.4M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.2M vs baseline
Compromise or public exposure requiring emergency remediation, seizures, large legal settlements and major PR campaign.
server compromise public leak/exposure large-scale legal action
🚨 Scale Up $6.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
SCP attracts mass attention or requires rapid expansion of monitoring/containment capabilities.
rapid user growth international spread need to scale analysts and infrastructure
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Sysadmin / Network Analyst 4 [#8] Full-time staff maintaining logging, packet capture, secure forwarding, tapping, and on-call ops; salaries + benefits included in staff_wages.
Intelligence Analyst / Content Reviewer 6 [#9, #10, #26] Analysts for forum review, memetics screening, translation coordination and flagging anomalous posts; salaries + benefits included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges making relative costs and drivers clear, but wide estimate ranges for cyber-ops, legal cooperation, and outbreak/scale events create material uncertainty in point estimates.
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