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SCP-6913 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-6913
Expected annual
$30.0M
One-time setup
$103.9M
Annual recurring
$25.9M
Personnel
12
Initial capital setup is dominated by a large contingency reserve and modest facility retrofits (~$0.1B one-time), while annual operations are driven by site allocation, medical readiness and productivity losses (~$25.93M/yr). Main drivers are Site-43 overhead, medical/incident costs and MTF readiness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $103.9M
Contingency Reserve $100.0M
[#24] Policy reserve for catastrophic failure / global remediation (50M–500M recommended; set here conservatively at $100M).
Redundant Human Holding Research $1.5M
[#28] One-time R&D seed for engineering/feasibility projects to reduce reliance on single human-holder (500k–3M over 1–3 years).
Equipment $1.3M
[#6, #7, #8] One-time hardware and systems: wearable sensors, integrated alarm systems, continuous-monitoring install, OR equipment (equipment and systems install).
Facilities $925K
[#5, #15] One-time construction: anti-slip/padding/egress and quarantine bay construction (design, build, certification).
Replacement Transition $200K
[#26] One-time cost per permanent replacement/retirement transition (medical/legal/payroll/severance + training).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
Non Monetary Policy $0
[#30] Non-monetary existential risk note: CK-class outcome not meaningfully insurable; policy-level requirement for absolute redundancy.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $25.9M/yr
Facilities Maintenance $12.4M/yr
[#4, #7, #15] Site-43 allocation & overhead plus monitoring operations and quarantine bay operations/resupply (power, HVAC, classified comms, maintenance).
Medical Care $5.8M/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #12, #23] Routine & emergency medical treatment budgets, life/ disability benefits, psychological services, amnestic/memetic remediation, prosthetics and long-term care.
Mtf Readiness $2.0M/yr
[#14] Mobile Task Force routine readiness and standing deployment capability.
Staff Wages $2.0M/yr
[#1, #2, #8] Salaries/benefits/hazard premiums: dedicated custodian, proximate security guards, on-call surgical-team retainer (aggregated as personnel wages).
Productivity Loss $1.5M/yr
[#21] Site-wide productivity loss and operational impact when personnel must hold SCP-6913 or are rotated/disabled.
Cover Story And Legal $875K/yr
[#18, #25] Cover-up/public relations, disinformation budgets and legal/ethics board / oversight overhead.
Research And Monitoring $400K/yr
[#13] Controlled-testing and authorized research budgets (lab time, test subjects, safety officers, equipment usage).
Data Security And It $250K/yr
[#17] Enhanced cybersecurity, DLP, forensic IT and per-incident remediation support.
Recruitment And Clearance $250K/yr
[#22] Recruitment costs, background checks, psychological screening, and continuous clearance maintenance for backups.
D Class Program $200K/yr
[#27] If D-class are used for holding/testing: incarceration, healthcare and program overhead.
Logistics And Transport $125K/yr
[#19] Secure escorted travel and secure transport for the custodian (armored movement, medical escort).
Incident Admin And Investigation $125K/yr
[#16] Incident investigation, internal legal review, reporting, redaction and compliance administration.
Supplies And Consumables $40K/yr
[#20, #29] PPE, minor medical consumables, replacement non-anomalous training mugs and small admin/training props.
Sensors Maintenance $20K/yr
[#6] Maintenance and monitoring for wearable grip/fall/drop sensors and alarms.
Rotating Roster Overhead $0/yr
[#3] Alternative model (rotating-site roster) described in notes; costed at $2M–$8M/yr if adopted — set to $0 here because baseline uses dedicated-holder model.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $25.9M/yr
34.9% probability / year
Normal year under the dedicated-holder at Site-43 policy with routine incidents managed and no major secondary containment events.
no_major_breach routine_incident_response_only
🚨 Minor Incident $30.9M/yr
60.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Year with elevated incident rate: multiple major medical events, higher prosthetics/rehab and increased amnestic usage.
holder_injury multiple_medical_cases
🚨 Major Breach $40.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Containment-related secondary breach requiring MTF deployments, quarantine surge and significant remediation/cover-up operations.
secondary_containment_breach biohazard_spread MTF_deployment
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $325.9M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
A breach of the 360-second rule or equivalent triggering a large-scale global remediation contingency (policy-level response).
360s_rule_breach CK_class_event
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Custodian 1 [#1] Sole dedicated holder (senior clearance, hazard premium, retention incentives).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#2] Proximate response guards to guarantee immediate seizure capability (6–8 recommended; aggregated into staff wages).
Medical Officer 3 [#8] On-call surgical team / OR readiness (anesthesiologist, trauma surgeon, support staff) aggregated into personnel costs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low-confidence due to wide ranges in analyst notes, high variability in incident rates, and the presence of near-uninsurable existential risk. Many line items are scenario-dependent and subject to policy choice (dedicated-holder vs rotating roster).
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