SCP-7013 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-7013
Expected annual
$44.6M
One-time setup
$260.3M
Annual recurring
$38.0M
Personnel
68
Initial one-time setup and large reserves dominate costs (≈$260M), driven by reconstruction/contingency funds and facility hardening; recurring annual costs are substantial (≈$38M/yr), driven by dedicated staff wages, oversight directorate, training, and the opportunity cost of altered governance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $260.3M
Reconstruction Reserve $105.0M
[#26] One-time remediation & reconstruction reserve (midpoint $10M–$200M = $105M).
Contingency Fund $87.5M
[#10] Liquid emergency/contingency reserve (midpoint of $25M–$150M = $87.5M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $35.1M
[#7, #13, #24] Initial memetic-cognitive R&D ($7.0M), archival forensics/historical analysis setup ($0.6M), and disposal/neutralization R&D program ($27.5M) — midpoints summed.
Facilities $27.0M
[#1, #4, #18] Midpoint estimates for secure council meeting room buildout, redundant command-center construction, and safehouse retrofits (sum of midpoints: $7.5M + $9.5M + $10M = $27,000,000).
Equipment $3.1M
[#5, #14, #15] One-time purchase/installation of high-security communications/recording hardware ($600k), simulation compute infrastructure ($1.25M), and HPC/data-integrity cluster ($1.25M).
Amnestic Initial Stock $1.8M
[#8] Initial purchase/production of approved amnestic pharmaceuticals and authorized administration capability (midpoint $1.75M).
Organizational Restructuring $875K
[#12] One-time audit/legal/restructuring costs to avoid 13-member bodies (midpoint $0.875M).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $38.0M/yr
Staff Wages $12.1M/yr
[#3, #6, #9, #20] Protection details (~$2.6M), continuous analysis team (~$1.2M), clinicians (~$0.75M), and dedicated oversight directorate staffing (~$7.5M) — midpoints/estimates summed.
Opportunity Cost Of Altered Governance $11.0M/yr
[#27] Estimated economic/operational opportunity costs of slowed decision-making and redundancy (midpoint $2M–$20M = $11M/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $5.4M/yr
[#19, #21] Media/public cover programs and legal containment (~$2.75M) plus insurance/indemnities and liaison (~$2.625M).
Research And Monitoring $4.7M/yr
[#7, #11, #12, #14, #16, #22, #25] Ongoing memetic research (~$1.75M), rapid replacement/vetting pipeline (~$1.25M), compliance monitoring (~$0.15M), simulation ops (~$0.5M), red teaming (~$0.375M), staff training/certification (~$0.35M), and independent audits/monitoring (~$0.35M).
Facilities Maintenance $4.0M/yr
[#2, #4, #5, #15, #18] Site operations (power/generators/maintenance ~$0.45M), redundant-centers ops (~$2.5M), secure-storage validation/service (~$0.15M), HA compute maintenance (~$0.25M), and safehouse security/maintenance (~$0.6M).
Supplies And Consumables $625K/yr
[#8, #23] Ongoing amnestic maintenance/logistics (~$0.45M) and consumables/medical supplies/PPE/fuel (~$0.175M).
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#17] Secure travel/transport for personnel and sensitive documents (midpoint ~$0.3M/yr).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $38.0M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; containment and mitigation programs operate as planned.
no breaches routine audits standard operations
🚨 Minor Incident $43.0M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized memetic/operational incident requiring emergency response, temporary relocation, extra legal/media action and surge staffing.
localized breach targeted memetic exposure emergency relocation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $238.0M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Major containment failure or cascading anomalous events that requires large-scale remediation, reconstruction, and national-level emergency operations.
site-wide containment failure cascading infrastructure collapse large-scale personnel loss
👥 Personnel 68 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 13 [#3] 13 dedicated protection details as specified in analyst notes (counted as detail units/assigned security teams).
Research Scientist / Analyst 8 [#6] Continuous statistical/probabilistic analysis team (6–10 FTEs; midpoint ~8).
Clinical Psychologist / Medical Officer 5 [#9] Psychological assessment and support clinicians (4–6; midpoint ~5).
Oversight Directorate Staff 42 [#20] Permanent oversight directorate (30–60 FTEs; staff_wages allocation corresponds to ~41–42 FTEs at senior pay).
📋 Confidence Notes
Midpoint-based estimates were used for broad ranges and several high-uncertainty items (contingency/reserve amounts, neutralization R&D, opportunity costs). Many line items are organizational/political costs (hard to predict precisely), so confidence is medium.
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