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SCP-7018 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7018
Expected annual
$2.4M
One-time setup
$1.7M
Annual recurring
$2.4M
Personnel
18
Initial one-time capital and containment setup are estimated at approximately $1.71M, driven by containment retrofit, vault/reserve and vehicle purchase; ongoing annual costs are ~ $2.38M per year, driven primarily by staff wages, outsourced materials analysis, research program costs and a recurring contingency.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.7M
Liability Reserve $750K
[#20] One-time liability & contingency reserve fund set aside.
Equipment $370K
[#2, #3, #9, #11, #21, #15] EM/optical shielding and grounding (#2), high-speed/spectral camera & sensor array (#3), sedation/restraint equipment (#9), secure transport vehicle purchase (#11), backup generator/UPS purchase (#21), one-time digital/physical storage setup (#15).
Facilities $265K
[#1, #4, #24] Secure containment cell retrofit (#1), small quarantine vault construction (#4) and armory/lockbox installation (#24).
Contingency Multiplier One Time $223K
[#26] One-time contingency (15% of baseline one-time subtotal) to cover unforeseen capital/containment expenditures.
Legal And Cover Setup $75K
[#19] Initial legal retainer, cover-story setup and local liaison/startup costs.
Protocol Development $25K
[#17] SOP and protocol development one-time drafting and initial documentation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[#5] Capital materials-analysis lab purchase deferred in baseline (outsourcing used); capital purchase option not selected for baseline.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Dedicated research/medical staff and technicians plus security staffing and on-call tactical/HazMat readiness (consolidated staffing costs).
Contingency Multiplier Recurring $311K/yr
[#26] Recurring contingency (15% of baseline recurring subtotal) to cover unforeseen annual expenditures and incident-driven needs.
Research And Monitoring $250K/yr
[#16] Research program budget for controlled testing, experiments and monitoring.
Outsourced Materials Analysis $100K/yr
[#5] Per-sample outsourcing of SEM/mass spec/XRD/FTIR testing used in baseline (outsourcing chosen over capital purchase).
Cover Story And Legal $75K/yr
[#19] Ongoing legal retainer, PR/FOIA management and local liaison work.
External Consulting $50K/yr
[#25] External consulting and materials-science/anomalistics expert engagements.
Supplies And Consumables $48K/yr
[#10, #13] Sedatives, emergency medicines and general consumables / disposables / PPE replenishment.
Hazmat Decontamination $35K/yr
[#14] Contractor contracts and contingency for HAZMAT handling, decontamination and per-incident response averaged annually.
Care And Psych Services $30K/yr
[#18] Ongoing psychological care, social services and humane accommodation costs for subject.
Facilities Maintenance $20K/yr
[#12] Utilities-related facility upkeep and environmental-control operational maintenance.
Training And Exercises $20K/yr
[#22] Training refreshers, tabletop exercises and incident simulations.
Logistics And Transport $15K/yr
[#11] Secure transport vehicle fuel, routine maintenance and operational costs.
Archival Storage Recurring $10K/yr
[#15] Digital storage, backups and climate-controlled sample storage recurring costs.
Sop Updates $8K/yr
[#17] Annual updates, audits and minor revisions to SOPs and containment documentation.
Backup Power Maintenance $5K/yr
[#21] Fuel and maintenance costs for generator/UPS.
Ppe Replacement $5K/yr
[#23] Specialized PPE and clothing replacement costs.
Armory Maintenance $2K/yr
[#24] Lockbox/armory maintenance and small security-system upkeep.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.4M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; regular research, monitoring, staffing and maintenance as budgeted.
no breaches routine testing only outsourced analysis
🚨 Minor Incident $2.5M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Localized containment incident requiring tactical mobilization, limited HAZMAT response and replacement/repair of affected equipment.
single-room breach manifested hazardous item requiring decon on-call tactical mobilization
🚨 Major Breach $3.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Large-scale containment breach or weaponized manifestation event causing multi-agency response, major decontamination, legal exposure and significant equipment/sample loss.
multi-room or multi-site breach weaponized manifested objects public exposure / legal action
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Medical Officer 3 [#6] Three on-site physicians/research scientists to oversee testing and medical monitoring (approx. $140k each).
Research Technician 3 [#6] Laboratory technicians/assistants supporting experiments and sample handling (approx. $60k each).
Clinical Nurse 1 [#6] On-site clinical nursing support for subject care and emergency response.
Lab Manager / Senior Research Staff 1 [#6] Lab manager overseeing experiments, scheduling and chain-of-custody.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#7] Low-risk wing guards, rotation to ensure coverage (2+ guards per shift plus supervisors).
Tactical / HazMat On-Call Team 2 [#8] Dedicated on-call tactical/HazMat responders for rapid mobilization and incident response (salaried/retainer coverage).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide ranges for most line items and a clear breakdown of cost-drivers; however uncertainty remains around lab capital purchase vs outsourcing, probability of weaponization, and the appropriate contingency percentage, so estimates are medium confidence.
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