SCP-7187 — SCP-7187 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-7187 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-7187

Expected annual

$8.4M

One-time setup

$23.0M

Annual recurring

$8.1M

Personnel

Initial, one-time establishment costs are approximately $22.98M driven primarily by facility buildout, aircraft acquisition and a contingency fund; annual recurring operations are roughly $8.13M driven by staffing, regional long-term monitoring, data/analyst costs, and legal/cover operations.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $23.0M

Facilities $8.0M

[#8, #9] Field station network buildout and central laboratory structural/build costs (station network ~$5.0M, central lab build ~$3.0M).

Contingency Fund $5.0M

[#30] Seed contingency fund for large or repeated manifestations (recommended minimum allocation).

Equipment $4.2M

[#5, #6, #16, #17, #19, #20, #21, #26, #27] Detection equipment per hotspot, remote sensor node hardware, initial PPE for operators, non-lethal capture kits, drones fleet purchase, seismic arrays, evidence cold storage, vehicle fleet purchase, and initial comms hardware (aggregated).

Helicopter Purchase $4.0M

[#2] One-time purchase cost estimate for a dedicated rotorcraft (single airframe midpoint estimate).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.2M

[#9] Laboratory instrumentation, vivaria and research-specific equipment for the central lab (sequencers, BSL equipment, ML pipeline hardware initial purchases).

Amnestic Stockpile Initial $250K

[#13] Initial manufacture/purchase and secure storage setup for Class-A/B amnestic stockpile.

Captive Containment Setup $170K

[#12] Initial enclosures and conditioning rooms for baseline captive organisms (assumes ~2 organisms at midpoint setup costs).

Initial Training Program $140K

[#3] One-time specialized training for initial cadre (~40 operators: classroom, field exercises, instructors, range costs).

Permitting Intervention $25K

[#28] One-off permitting/mitigation cost for a site intervention (per-intervention placeholder).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.1M/yr

Facilities Maintenance $1.7M/yr

[#8, #9, #26, #21] Annual operations for field stations and central lab, utilities, security and vehicle maintenance and cold-storage power/maintenance.

Long Term Monitoring $1.6M/yr

[#32] Staffed monitoring, sensor maintenance and regular sweep patrols across recurrent hotspot sites (assumes ~8 recurrent hotspots).

Staff Wages $1.0M/yr

[#10] Salaries and benefits for principal research personnel (paraecologists, geneticists, technicians) — budgeted for a small multi-disciplinary core team.

Helicopter Ops $800K/yr

[#2] Annual readiness/operations cost for one helicopter (crew, fuel, maintenance, insurance, standing readiness).

Cover Story And Legal $400K/yr

[#23] Baseline legal/PR/cover-up operations and coordination budget (ongoing monitoring and low-level engagement).

Research And Monitoring $300K/yr

[#7] Continuous data storage, licensed analysis software, ML pipelines and staffed analysts for high-volume LiDAR/thermal/video processing (base research analytics budget).

Lethal Munitions Readiness $300K/yr

[#18] Standing budget for lethal/neutralization munitions readiness, training, legal oversight.

Public Monitoring $250K/yr

[#29] Continuous internet/social monitoring and content suppression operations.

Supplies And Consumables $231K/yr

[#11, #14, #15, #16, #17] Per-specimen analysis budget, amnestic administration per-person costs, witness medical/compensation median budget, annual PPE replacement, and per-incident non-lethal consumables (aggregated baseline).

Captive Husbandry $200K/yr

[#12] Annual care, veterinary and 24/7 monitoring for held organisms (baseline estimate for multiple specimens).

Remote Sensor Comms $160K/yr

[#6] Annual comms/data plans for remote sensor nodes (estimated for networked nodes across hotspots).

Forensic Team $150K/yr

[#33] Forensic investigation and sanitized incident reporting team staffing and ops.

Seismic Maintenance $136K/yr

[#20] Annual maintenance and calibration for regional seismic/insight sensor grids across hotspots.

Hazardous Waste Disposal $125K/yr

[#22] Standing contract and annual budget for field decontamination, hazardous waste removal and incineration.

Logistics And Transport $120K/yr

[#1] MTF rapid-response field deployment baseline (assumes ~6 deployments/yr at ~ $20k average per incident).

Psych Support $120K/yr

[#35] Psychological support and resiliency program for Foundation personnel (counselors, rotations, resilience training).

Liaison Agreements $100K/yr

[#24] MOUs, coordination funds and overtime reimbursements for local agencies and park services.

Environmental Compliance $100K/yr

[#28] Annual permitting compliance, mitigation monitoring and restoration budget.

Drones Ops $90K/yr

[#19] Operations, maintenance and spare parts for UAV fleet.

Refresher Training $80K/yr

[#4] Annual refresher training, recertification, and scenario rehearsals for field operators.

Recruitment And Clearance $60K/yr

[#31] Recruitment, relocation packages and classified clearance costs (annualized hires/turnover budget).

Archive Management $50K/yr

[#34] Secure archival systems staffing, record-redaction and long-term storage operations.

Communications Ops $40K/yr

[#27] Annual service, replacement and support for satellite phones and encrypted radios.

Area Closure Compensation $20K/yr

[#25] Annual baseline for trail/area closure logistics and small compensation events.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.1M/yr

83.0% probability / year

Normal operational year with no major incidents beyond expected deployments and routine monitoring.

routine_deployments scheduled_monitoring regular_research_updates

🚨 Minor Incident $8.4M/yr

15.0% probability / year +$260K vs baseline

One or several moderately costly incidents requiring additional deployments, contracted flight hours, extra PR/legal activity and remediation.

helicopter_extraction major_field_deployment media_exposure requiring paid narratives

🚨 Major Outbreak $18.1M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline

Sustained, multi-site manifestations requiring large mobilization, emergency research funding, mass amnesticization/compensation and contingency drawdown.

simultaneous_manifestations widespread_civilian_exposure sustained_research_emergency

👥 Personnel 34 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist	4	[#10] Senior researchers handling paraecology/genetics/pathology (salaries included in staff_wages).
Paraecologist	2	[#8, #10] Field ecologists supporting regional surveys and field station operations.
Lab Technician	4	[#9, #10] Laboratory technicians supporting sequencing, histology and vivaria maintenance.
Field Technician / MTF Liaison	20	[#1, #32] Field monitoring staff, sensor maintenance teams and liaisons for recurrent-site patrols (budgeted within long_term_monitoring).
Forensic Investigator	2	[#33] Incident reconstruction and sanitized reporting staff (budgeted within forensic_team).
Archive Manager / Records Staff	1	[#34] Secure archive and redaction operations staff (budgeted within archive_management).
Medical Officer / Counselor	1	[#35] Psychological support and medical monitoring staff (budgeted within psych_support).

📋 Confidence Notes

Item-level cost ranges were provided in analyst notes and used to produce mid-point/aggregated estimates, but key uncertainties remain (number of recurrent hotspots, exact helicopter procurement strategy, specimen census and frequency of incidents). This yields medium confidence in the aggregate figures.

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