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SCP-7199 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7199
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$802K
Annual recurring
$1.3M
Personnel
13
Initial one-time setup is modest (~$0.80M) driven by insectary/greenhouse buildout, lab & data systems, and regulatory/assessment costs; ongoing annual operations are personnel- and contingency-heavy (~$1.29M/yr) driven by staff wages, standby/remediation capability, and research/monitoring programs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $802K
Facilities $335K
[#1, #2, #22] Breeding/insectary buildout (climate-controlled rooms, flight cages, HVAC) plus greenhouse initial construction and subsidized display enclosures for partner sites.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $140K
[#5, #17] Laboratory research equipment (benches, microscopes, cameras, secure servers) and initial data protection / secure server setup.
Equipment $100K
[#12] Contingency/removal/eradication equipment (capture gear, traps, specialized equipment) initial procurement.
Environmental Impact Assessment $75K
[#11] Single comprehensive environmental impact / ecological risk assessment per region.
Marketing Cover Initial $50K
[#16] Initial cover/PR campaign and branding if Foundation involvement must be disguised.
Regulatory And Permit Initial $30K
[#9] Initial legal/regulatory consulting and permit application costs.
Decommissioning $30K
[#24] Planned decommissioning / humane disposition / facility remediation costs if program ends.
Monitoring Program Initial $18K
[#13] Enrollment incentives and monitoring kit production for partner institutions (initial setup).
Public Information Initial $14K
[#15] Design and initial print/digital package for partner outlets (brochures, signage, training materials).
Quarantine Initial Screening $10K
[#6] Initial pathogen screening and veterinary checks for breeding stock and shipments.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.3M/yr
Staff Wages $750K/yr
[#3, #4, #12, #21] Core entomology & horticulture staff, research team salaries, standby/response team annual staffing and administrative support.
Research And Monitoring $216K/yr
[#5, #6, #13, #14, #18, #23] Ongoing lab maintenance/cloud storage, surveillance/testing, partner data stipends and processing, mark–recapture/field surveys, recurring small grants/stipends for participants, and periodic external audit/review costs.
Cover Story And Legal $140K/yr
[#9, #10, #16, #17] Permit renewals and inspections, insurance premiums and legal retainers, ongoing community outreach/PR (cover story) and recurring data-protection/legal compliance costs.
Logistics And Transport $85K/yr
[#8, #20] Freight contracts, courier fees, specialized handling for live shipments and staff travel/housing for transfers and acclimation.
Supplies And Consumables $73K/yr
[#2, #7, #19, #15] Ongoing plant replacement and horticultural consumables, packaging and single-use shipment supplies, utilities/consumables, and reprint/update costs for materials.
Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr
[#1, #2] Ongoing HVAC, humidity control, structural maintenance and routine greenhouse upkeep.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.3M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, monitoring, and no major incidents.
steady distribution program routine monitoring and permit renewals
🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized problem (e.g., small inadvertent establishment, limited public complaints or one-site pathogen detection) requiring targeted response, legal & PR work.
localized ecological impact single-site recall or remediation small legal claim or elevated inspections
🚨 Major Breach $2.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant uncontrolled spread or regulatory/legal crisis requiring large-scale eradication campaign, widespread recalls, intense litigation and national PR response.
widespread ecological impacts multi-jurisdictional legal action large-scale eradication campaigns
🚨 Research Scale Up $1.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Planned expansion: large-scale research program or national rollout requiring extra staff, equipment, and increased stipends/monitoring.
major funded research initiative national program expansion
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Entomologist 1 [#3] Core entomologist to run breeding and oversee insectary (salary basis from analyst note).
Insect Technician 2 [#3] Two insect techs for daily husbandry and shipments.
Horticulturist 1 [#3] Horticulturist to maintain host and nectar plants.
Research Scientist / PI (Behavioral Scientist) 1 [#4] Lead for anomaly studies and experimental design.
Statistician 1 [#4] Analytical support for probabilistic effect quantification.
Research Assistant 2 [#4] 1–2 RAs for data collection and monitoring (midpoint used).
Standby Team Member / Capture Team 4 [#12] Standby removal/response team (4 people) budgeted as recurring contingency staff.
Administrative Staff 1 [#21] Admin support for recordkeeping, permit logs and coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item ranges for most categories, allowing reasonable mid-point estimates; uncertainty remains in contingency/eradication costs and exact staffing scale which cause moderate overall uncertainty.
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