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SCP-7221 Uncontained ~ medium confidence
SCP-7221
Expected annual
$2.8M
One-time setup
$1.6M
Annual recurring
$2.7M
Personnel
18
Initial one-time startup is roughly $1.57M driven by safehouse/containment retrofits, contingency reserve, sensors and capture/drone kits. Annual recurring operations are approximately $2.70M/yr, dominated by MTF salaries, research staff, safehouse operations, covert surveillance and administrative overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.6M
Facilities $500K
[#3, #5] Safehouse retrofit ($200,000) and containment cell/retrofit for thaumaturgical resistance ($300,000).
Contingency Fund $500K
[#22, #25] One-time contingency/reserve for rapid facility upgrades or emergency full-capture operations if SCP escalates (captures escalation risk from note #25).
Equipment $266K
[#11, #12, #14, #20, #13, #10, #19] Specialized restraints ($40,000), automated capture kit initial ($75,000), drone fleet ($40,000), secure comms/servers initial ($40,000), covert surveillance installation ($25,000), MTF personal equipment/PPE initial ($36,000), generator/UPS ($10,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $215K
[#6, #8] Sensor suite initial purchase ($115,000) and portable lab equipment for in-field testing ($100,000).
Training Development $75K
[#9] Development of mimetic-combat training curriculum and initial contractor fees/bootcamp.
Logistics Shipping Initial $15K
[#17] Initial shipping/import permits and secure shipping containers / special handling for initial equipment shipments.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.7M/yr
Staff Wages $2.0M/yr
[#1, #4, #7, #16] MTF operational salaries for 12-person Theta-1221 (~$1,440,000/yr), local guard contracts (2 × ~$30,000 = $60,000/yr), research team staffing (3 × ~$150,000 = $450,000/yr), translator/cultural liaison retainer (~$35,000/yr).
Administrative Overhead $200K/yr
[#23] Administrative overhead / insurance-like reserve (~10% of annual programmatic spend; estimated here as ~$200,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $105K/yr
[#6, #12, #13, #9, #20] Sensor maintenance/calibration (~$15,000/yr), automated-capture maintenance (~$5,000/yr), covert monitoring operational costs (~$30,000/yr) and informant budget (~$20,000/yr), recurring instructor/coaching for recerts (~$20,000/yr), secure data hosting/analysis (~$15,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $105K/yr
[#15, #21] Legal/cover-story/local liaison and baseline PR/misinformation operations (~$50,000–$150,000/yr and ~$30,000/yr baseline; combined here as ~$105,000/yr).
Contingency Replenishment $100K/yr
[#22] Annual replenishment for contingency/upgrades (recommended ~$100,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $72K/yr
[#3] Safehouse rent & utilities (~$6,000/mo = $72,000/yr).
Emergency Medical And Psych $50K/yr
[#18] On-call medical support and psychiatric care for exposed agents and affected civilians (~$25,000–$75,000/yr; mid estimate used).
Logistics And Transport $32K/yr
[#2, #17] Expected MTF deployment travel & per-diem (assumed 1 activation/yr × ~$22,000/deployment = $22,000/yr) and recurring shipping/rotation costs (~$10,000/yr).
Training And Exercises $25K/yr
[#24] Recurring live exercises and recertification costs (~$15,000–$40,000/yr; mid estimate).
Supplies And Consumables $23K/yr
[#10, #14, #19] PPE consumables/repairs (~$10,000/yr), drone spares/repairs (~$8,000/yr), fuel/batteries (~$5,000/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.7M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Uneventful year with routine monitoring, one readiness deployment, and normal maintenance/upkeep.
routine_manifestation single deployment normal maintenance and ops
🚨 Minor Incident $2.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Public manifestation or larger-than-usual incident requiring emergency PR, additional deployments, and extra medical/legal costs.
public exposure multiple small-scale manifestations rapid-response misinformation/PR
🚨 Major Breach $5.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Escalation or demonstrated new capabilities requiring rapid containment upgrade, large equipment procurement, and expanded operations.
demonstrated scaling of thaumaturgy area effects or replication need for full-capture operations / major facility upgrade
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#1] Theta-1221 12-person rapid-response team kept on readiness; salaries included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist / Technician 3 [#7] Parapsychology/physics researchers plus technician (3 FTEs) included in research staffing costs.
Local Security / Guards 2 [#4] Two local guards contracted for safehouse/perimeter security; costs included in staff_wages.
Translator / Cultural Liaison 1 [#16] Greek-language translator/cultural adviser retainer included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges for personnel and equipment (medium confidence), but uncertainty remains around manifestation frequency, escalation probability, and contingency upgrade sizing (ranges in item #25). This produces moderate uncertainty in annualized expected costs.
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