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SCP-7273 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-7273
Expected annual
$27.2M
One-time setup
$148.6M
Annual recurring
$23.8M
Personnel
33
Initial one-time establishment and containment infrastructure is capital intensive (facility/tank construction, vessel purchase/refit, containment pods, R&D), with major recurring costs driven by specialized staff, long-term monitoring, international coordination, and victim/response reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $148.6M
Catastrophic Containment Reserve $100.0M
[#29] Large reserve for worst-case containment failure / large-scale mitigation (strategic military and political costs) (~$100M).
Equipment $25.1M
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #6, #14, #24, #20, #15, #18] Vessel purchase/refit (~$10.0M), workboats (4x ~$100k = $400k), unmanned systems startup & spares (~$1.5M), containment pods and capture gear (~$1.15M), life-support primary + generator (~$750k), transport containers + crane (~$1.3M), secure servers ($300k), waste-treatment equipment ($200k), seized-vessel acquisition (~$10.0M), buoy deployment (~$500k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $11.0M
[#11, #13, #12] Antivenom R&D (~$5.0M), pharmacological countermeasure R&D (~$5.0M), initial lab instrumentation/setup for parazoology & neuropharmacology (~$1.0M).
Facilities $8.2M
[#5, #8, #21, #7] Sea-pen / large-volume tank construction and installation ($6.0M), biohazard/BSL-equivalent facility upgrades ($1.0M), physical security upgrades at Site-72 ($1.0M) and RF/hydrophone shielded room installation (~$200k).
Escalation Reserve $2.0M
[#28] Reserve for limited escalation events (task-force/day rates, localized evacuation logistics) (~$2.0M).
Legal Pr Initial $1.0M
[#16] Initial cover-up / legal / PR campaign and immediate diplomatic/legal fees (~$1.0M).
Contingency Reserve Small $1.0M
[#23] Small contingency reserve for red-team follow-ups and immediate contingency actions (~$1.0M).
Vessel Seizure Legal $250K
[#15] Legal/salvage fees and immediate seizure costs for target vessels (~$250k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $23.8M/yr
Research And Monitoring $8.0M/yr
[#3, #7, #11, #12, #13, #18, #22, #24] Ongoing research program, signal/acoustic monitoring and analyst salaries, ROV/drone ops, antivenom/trials recurring costs, surveillance data analysis, long-term monitoring campaigns and data archival/IT operations (~$8.0M/yr).
Victim Compensation Fund $5.0M/yr
[#19] Standing reserve for rapid victim compensation, buyouts, and indemnities (~$5.0M/year maintained).
Staff Wages $4.2M/yr
[#9] Salaries and hazard pay for core MTF/security, parazoologists, aquarists, vets, medics, engineers and support staff (core team ~30–35 FTEs; total wage budget ~$4.2M/yr).
Insurance And Overhead $1.5M/yr
[#26] Classified procurement overhead, shell company costs, and insurance multipliers (~$1.5M/yr).
Logistics And Transport $1.2M/yr
[#14, #15, #17] Transfer operations (sea/air) and per-transfer crews (~$500k/yr), seized-vessel maintenance/mooring (~$600k/yr), and modest reimbursements for partner naval assets (~$100k/yr).
Security Operations $1.0M/yr
[#21] Annual armed response, perimeter ops, underwater security patrols and sensors (~$1.0M/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $510K/yr
[#2, #4, #8, #20, #25] Fuel/maintenance for workboats (~$160k), nets and capture-gear consumables (~$50k), PPE/BSL consumables (~$50k), hazardous waste per-batch disposals (~$50k), spare parts pool (~$200k).
Facilities Maintenance $500K/yr
[#5, #6, #21] Maintenance and utilities for sea-pen/tanks, redundant life-support upkeep, and structural/site maintenance (~$500k/yr).
International Coordination $500K/yr
[#17] Budget for GOC/foreign liaison, classified meetings and reimbursements for joint assets (~$500k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#16] Ongoing legal counsel, media management, diplomatic liaison and cover-story maintenance (~$300k/yr).
Psychological Care And Amnestics $300K/yr
[#27] Counseling, post-exposure care, and amnestic administration programs (~$300k/yr).
Training And Certifications $250K/yr
[#10] Annual training programs: ROV ops, diver-less capture, hazardous-animal handling, amnestic protocols and drills (~$250k/yr).
Red Team And Drills $200K/yr
[#23] Exercise programs, red-team simulations and contingency drills (~$200k/yr).
Replacement Spare Parts $200K/yr
[#25] Planned replacement and spare-parts budget for pumps, ROVs, filters, electronics (~$200k/yr).
Data Archival And It Ops $100K/yr
[#24] Secure data storage operations and SIGINT capture storage maintenance (~$100k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $23.8M/yr
61.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major containment incidents; ongoing monitoring, research, staff wages and standard operations only.
steady monitoring routine research no major incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $25.8M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized escape or encounter requiring emergency response, medical treatment, a few extra sorties and legal/PR actions.
single vessel attack medevac and amnestic administration short-term public relations/legal costs
🚨 Major Incident $33.8M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Partial containment failure requiring vessel replacement/seizure, multi-day naval reimbursement, large legal settlements and expanded monitoring.
loss of capture vessel or pod cross-jurisdictional dispute with GOC costly salvage or settlement
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $223.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Wide-scale containment failure requiring naval task forces, evacuation, massive indemnities and deployment of catastrophic reserve.
uncontainable swarm expansion high-profile multi-national casualties political/military escalation
👥 Personnel 33 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#9] Armed MTF/security personnel with hazard pay for maritime interdiction and 24/7 guard rotations.
Research Scientist / Parazoologist 8 [#9, #12] Senior and mid-level parazoology researchers running behavioral and toxin studies.
Aquarist / Marine Technician 4 [#9, #5] Tank and sea-pen maintenance, husbandry and water-chemistry control staff.
Marine Veterinarian 1 [#9, #11] Veterinary oversight for captive anomalous cnidarians and treatment research.
Medical Officer 2 [#9, #11] Emergency medical and antivenom administration capability; amnestic administration oversight.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#6, #25] Life-support, pumps, chillers and generator maintenance.
ROV / UAV Operator 2 [#3] Remote system operators for capture, survey and long-duration monitoring.
Administrative Staff 1 [#16, #26] Program administration, procurement and liaison support.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#9] Program-level leadership and cross-organizational coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Large ranges and many contingencies in analyst notes, active cross-jurisdictional behavior, and uncertain swarm scale produce high uncertainty; cost estimates are order-of-magnitude best guesses.
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