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SCP-7305 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-7305
Expected annual
$62.3M
One-time setup
$483.8M
Annual recurring
$59.0M
Personnel
12
One-time capital expenditures are estimated at roughly $484M driven by aircraft procurement/modification, dedicated satellites/radar upgrades, secure facilities, and large contingency reserves. Ongoing annual costs are roughly $61M, dominated by high-tempo aircraft operations, secrecy/legal/liaison functions, and satellite/radar operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $483.8M
Aircraft Procurement And Modification $200.0M
[#3] Procurement/modification of supersonic-capable chase aircraft and tanker support baseline (~$200M chosen within $50M–$500M range).
Crisis Contingency Reserve $100.0M
[#26] Large one-time reserved contingency for crisis-scale public exposure or catastrophic event (~$100M; lower bound of extreme $50M–$1B+ range).
Smallsat Constellation $60.0M
[#2] One-time build/launch cost for a dedicated high-frame-rate smallsat capability (~$60M within $10M–$150M range).
Long Range Radar Upgrades $50.0M
[#1] One-time purchase and installation of long-range AESA/C-band/L-band radars, sensor-fusion hardware, and ATC integration (~$50M chosen within $20M–$120M range).
Facilities $20.0M
[#8, #11] Includes SCIF/hardened facility build-out (~$15M) and site infrastructure for ground tracking nodes (~$5M).
Insurance Reserve $20.0M
[#19] One-time liability/reserve fund set aside for accidental damage or uninsured exposure (~$20M chosen within $5M–$100M).
Aircraft Instrumentation Packages $18.0M
[#4] High-speed imaging, spectrometers, shielding and hard-mounted racks for an estimated fleet (e.g., ~$3M per aircraft × 6 aircraft = $18M).
Ground Tracking Sites Network $10.0M
[#8] Construction of multiple high-elevation optical/IR/UV tracking sites (network capex chosen ~$10M within $2M–$30M network estimate).
Containment Rnd Sunk Costs $2.0M
[#21] Feasibility studies and prototype containment attempts that are likely abandoned (~$2M within $0.5M–$10M).
Hpc And Storage Cluster $1.5M
[#9] On-premise HPC/storage cluster for high-frame-rate data (~$1.5M in chosen midpoint of $0.5M–$3M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#10] Initial lab buildout and directed experimental hardware for temporal/optical experiments (~$1M).
Communications Setup $750K
[#13] Encrypted/air-gapped comms, dedicated fiber/radio links and initial audits (~$750k within $200k–$2M range).
Covert Acquisition Initial Buyin $500K
[#20] Initial covert buy-in for unmarked vehicles/safe houses/black-budget asset purchases (~$500k within $100k–$2M).
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $59.0M/yr
Aircraft Operations $25.0M/yr
[#3, #6] Recurring operational cost for high-tempo sorties (fuel, maintenance, engine replacements, contracted flight hours; chosen ~$25M/yr within $10M–$100M).
Logistics And Transport $6.0M/yr
[#7, #20] Tanker support hours and covert transport/logistics (~$5M for tanker support tempo + ~$1M covert logistics).
Staff Wages $5.0M/yr
[#5] Aircrew and specialist salaries (dedicated squadron-sized team; chosen ~$5M/yr within $2M–$8M).
Opportunity Cost Replacement Sorties $5.0M/yr
[#25] Budgeted replacement training sorties / readiness offsets to compensate for diverted national assets (~$5M/yr chosen).
Research And Monitoring $4.0M/yr
[#9, #10] Data analysis staff, ML/trajectory modelling, and small experiment staffing (~$4M/yr combining data ops and research staff).
Cover Story And Legal $2.2M/yr
[#14, #24] Legal retainers, PR, cover-story maintenance, and white papers (~$2.0M legal/PR + $0.2M public-explanation support).
Airspace Management Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#16] Reserve for airline compensation, ATC staffing and disruption mitigation (~$2M/yr chosen within $1M–$10M).
Facilities Maintenance $1.8M/yr
[#8, #11] SCIF security/utilities and ground tracking site ops (~$1.0M + $0.8M chosen within listed ranges).
Insurance Premiums $1.5M/yr
[#19] Annual premium equivalents and liability coverage (~$1.5M/yr within $0.5M–$10M).
Commercial Satellite Tasking $1.0M/yr
[#2] Recurring cost for commercial optical/IR tasking when used (~$1M/yr chosen based on per-pass $5k–$50k).
Smallsat Operations $1.0M/yr
[#2] Ongoing ops for a dedicated smallsat capability (~$1M/yr chosen within $0.5M–$2M).
Covert Liaison $1.0M/yr
[#15] Covert liaison and diplomatic costs for foreign sightings (~$1M/yr as a typical mid-range annual expense).
Rapid Suppression Unit $1.0M/yr
[#18] 24/7 rapid-response unit for buyouts, takedowns, and informant payments (~$1M/yr within $0.5M–$3M).
Supplies And Consumables $600K/yr
[#4] Calibration, sensor spares and consumables for aircraft instrumentation (~$600k/yr within $50k–$200k per aircraft calibration range aggregated).
Emergency Response $500K/yr
[#17] Local EMS/HAZMAT prepositioning and drills (~$0.5M/yr within $0.2M–$2M).
Cybersecurity $500K/yr
[#23] Red-team & counter-leak cyber operations (~$500k/yr chosen midpoint).
Public Health Monitoring $300K/yr
[#22] Medical monitoring and epidemiology follow-up for exposed individuals (~$300k/yr).
Personnel Security $250K/yr
[#12] Vetting, polygraphs, counterintelligence monitoring and replacement costs (~$250k/yr within $50k–$300k).
Communications Recurring $200K/yr
[#13] Ongoing comms audits, secure link maintenance, and monitoring (~$200k/yr within $50k–$500k).
Containment Rnd Followup $200K/yr
[#21] Ongoing limited follow-up R&D or maintenance of prototypes (~$200k/yr within $0.1M–$2M).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $59.0M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring and no major public exposures or catastrophic incidents.
no major leaks routine sorties and analysis standard diplomatic/covert activity
🚨 Minor Incident $64.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized leak, minor public sighting, or equipment loss requiring extra sorties, legal actions, and liaison.
unauthorized footage leak commercial observation requiring takedown/settlement isolated equipment loss
🚨 Major Breach $196.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$137.0M vs baseline
Large public exposure, international incident, or catastrophe (air crash, EMP event) requiring crisis funds, major diplomacy, and large-scale remediation.
catastrophic public exposure large-scale accident caused by SCP-7305 effects major international escalation
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Pilot / Sensor Operators 12 [#5] Dedicated squadron-sized team (rotation, currency, hazard pay) as referenced in analyst notes.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low-confidence due to SCP-7305's anomalous/temporal behavior, large parameter ranges in analyst notes, and high dependence on political/operational choices (contracting vs procurement, cadence of sorties, and whether dedicated satellites are used).
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