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SCP-7459 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-7459
Expected annual
$17.2M
One-time setup
$15.8M
Annual recurring
$16.2M
Personnel
82
Estimated one-time startup costs are approximately $15.8M driven primarily by construction of outposts, a BSL-3 containment lab, and procurement of heavy equipment; annual recurring operations are roughly $16.2M/yr driven by on-site security and staffing, rotorcraft lease/transport, monitoring/analysis, and a standing contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $15.8M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $10.2M
[#11, #24] Primary BSL-3 laboratory construction/upgrade (~$10.0M chosen mid-range) plus compute/cluster/setup (~$150k).
Equipment $2.8M
[#6, #7, #9, #12, #18, #19] Seismic array (~$375k), river monitoring nodes (~$475k), heavy vehicles/equipment fleet (~$1.1M), on-site incinerator (~$300k), surveillance hardware/servers (~$400k), cybersecurity setup (~$125k).
Facilities $2.1M
[#2, #4, #13] Includes checkpoint/outpost construction and animal enclosure setup: checkpoint construction (~$400k), multiple outposts build/outfit (~$1.5M), and captive animal enclosure (~$250k).
River Cutoff Capability $350K
[#8] Standby modular cofferdam/pumps/retainer kit (~$350k one-time retainer/kit). Per-incident mobilization costs are modeled in scenarios, not included here.
Site Lease And Cover Setup $100K
[#1] One-time legal/contract setup and liaison office establishment for the Västerbotten Government cover.
Pr Legal Setup $100K
[#17] Initial PR/legal cover campaign setup and documentation (~$100k).
Amnestic Program Setup $88K
[#15] Initial amnestic procurement, secure pharmacy setup, and protocol development (~$87,500 chosen mid-range).
Detention Facility Contract Setup $50K
[#16] One-time contractual setup and training with the town jail (~$50k).
Training Program Setup $50K
[#21] One-time development of training/drill programs and psychological support setup (~$50k).
Rotorcraft Purchase Option $0
[#10] Purchase option exists ($4M–$8M), but baseline assumes leased rotorcraft; purchase not exercised in this baseline estimate.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $16.2M/yr
Staff Wages $7.0M/yr
[#3, #5, #11, #13, #18, #24] Salaries for on-site security and agents (~$3.75M), outpost staffing portion (~$777k), BSL-3 lab staff portion (~$600k), research/animal-care staff portion (~$750k), SOC staff (~$500k), and data analysis staff (~$225k); includes hazard pay, overtime, and specialist roles.
Contingency Fund Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#22] Annual allocation to a reserve fund intended to finance multi-week escalations or to seed large emergency responses (conservative ongoing contribution ~$2.0M/yr).
Logistics And Transport $1.6M/yr
[#9, #10] Rotorcraft lease/contract baseline (~$1.4M/yr) plus vehicle/fleet maintenance and fuel (~$250k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#6, #7, #11, #13, #24] Non-wage lab operations and consumables (BSL-3 ops ~$400k), river sampling processing and consumables (~$275k), long-term research program non-salary costs (~$500k), data analysis compute operations and archives (~$150k), seismic maintenance/calibration (~$62.5k).
Exclusion Zone Enforcement $1.1M/yr
[#2] Recurring costs for checkpoints, patrol teams, coordination with local police, fuel and maintenance (~$1.15M/yr chosen mid-range of $0.8M–$1.5M).
Cover Story And Legal $800K/yr
[#1, #17] Ongoing liaison, local payments, PR/misinformation, legal counsel and FOIA/press handling (~$800k/yr combining site liaison and PR/legal retainer).
Supplies And Consumables $608K/yr
[#5, #14, #25] Outpost consumables/non-wage operations (~$333k), sampling consumables and reagents (~$150k), and miscellaneous utilities/local costs (~$125k).
Facilities Maintenance $300K/yr
[#23] Road repair, snow clearing, helipad/outpost roof maintenance, erosion control and other infrastructure upkeep (~$300k/yr).
Cover Detention Contracting $275K/yr
[#16] Annual retainer and operations costs with the town jail for detainee transfers (~$275k/yr).
Surveillance Operations $250K/yr
[#18] Recurring comms, satellite plans, data links and non-staff SOC operating costs (~$250k/yr). SOC staff wages are included under staff_wages.
Biohazard Disposal $225K/yr
[#12] Contract disposal and on-site operation costs (~$225k/yr combined: $125k contract + $100k on-site ops).
Environmental And Regulatory $175K/yr
[#20] Permit renewals, environmental monitoring, mitigation/compensation and small remediation actions (~$175k/yr); per-major-operation costs are modeled in scenarios.
Cybersecurity $150K/yr
[#19] Secure comms plans, encryption management, and cybersecurity maintenance (~$150k/yr).
Training And Psych Support $125K/yr
[#21] Ongoing drills, hazmat training, psychological counselling, and refresher programs (~$125k/yr).
Amnestics Program $62K/yr
[#15] Replenishment of Class-A/B amnestic stocks, training, and administration (~$62.5k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $16.2M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Steady-state year with routine monitoring, maintenance, and no major contamination or large-scale response.
no significant seismic events river composition stable no public exposures
🚨 Minor Incident $17.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized contamination event requiring temporary river cutoff/pooling and multiday response.
river impurity spike localized wildlife die-off
🚨 Major Response $24.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Multi-week response to extensive contamination, larger damming operations, national-level coordination and significant public-relations effort.
widespread river contamination mass wildlife die-off intense seismic disturbance
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $166.2M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$150.0M vs baseline
National/international-scale crisis with protracted contamination or ontological hazard requiring catastrophic remediation and public emergency measures.
nationwide contamination loss of secrecy / media exposure multi-regional ecological collapse
👥 Personnel 82 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 35 [#2, #3, #5] On-site security, rapid-response teams, K9 handlers and checkpoint personnel (30–40 estimated in analyst notes).
Field Technician / Outpost Operator 18 [#4, #5, #18] Staff assigned to 6 outposts (2–4 per outpost), sensor maintenance and resupply rotations.
Research Scientist 6 [#11, #13, #24] Senior researchers for ethology, genomics and pheromone chemistry, and BSL-3 oversight.
Research Technician / Lab Staff 6 [#6, #7, #11, #24] Lab technicians for sampling, sequencing, seismic instrumentation, and sample processing.
Veterinary Staff 2 [#13] Vets and animal care staff for captive specimens and wildlife assessments.
SOC Analyst / Communications 4 [#18, #19] Security operations center analysts, comms and telemetry operators.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#3] On-site director and senior liaison for operations and O5 communications.
Medical Officer 2 [#11, #15] Medical staff to administer amnestics, handle biohazard exposures and oversee BSL-3 medical protocols.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#8, #9, #23] Civil/mechanical staff for river cutoff systems, heavy equipment maintenance, snow clearing and infrastructure repairs.
Administrative Staff 4 [#1, #16, #17] Administrative, legal liaison and local-collaboration staff managing contracts, PR coordination and detention agreements.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and a chosen mid-range operating posture (rotorcraft lease, BSL-3 build). Major unknowns (possible need for BSL-4, true frequency of SCP-7459-B activity, and political/ontological escalation) increase uncertainty; line-item ranges are reasonably grounded for Sweden/Western Europe logistics but aggregate and escalation costs retain moderate uncertainty.
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