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SCP-7469 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7469
Expected annual
$3.8M
One-time setup
$2.1M
Annual recurring
$3.8M
Personnel
20
Initial setup and contingency reserves are the primary one-time costs (notably secure storage, sensors, vehicles, and a mass-casualty reserve), while recurring costs are driven by a standing MTF unit, intelligence/recovery operations, and ongoing surveillance/cover/legal programs totaling several million per year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.1M
Mass Casualty Reserve $1.0M
[#20] One-time pre-funded reserve to enable large-scale warming/mass-casualty response (mobile hospitals, generators, fuel, triage supplies).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#14, #15] Forensic/cryogenic research buildout and secure containment/testing chamber setup (combined initial program & chamber setup).
Recovery Operation Contingency $250K
[#13] One-time contingency for a complex covert recovery operation / intelligence-enabled extraction (per-op expense reserved).
Equipment $226K
[#2, #5, #11, #12] Initial purchase/installation: inventory/access-control hardware ($1,500), cold-environment PPE/vehicle modifications ($150,000), fixed surveillance deployment ($30,000), and drone fleet procurement ($45,000).
Reputational Risk Reserve Initial $200K
[#22] One-time seed for reputational/insurance reserve (contingency for long-term PR/legal exposures).
Amnestic Stockpile Initial $50K
[#8] Initial production/stockpile and secure storage for clinically safe amnestics and QC setup.
Data Security Initial $40K
[#21] Initial secure servers/evidence-management deployment and high-assurance backups.
Facilities $20K
[#1] Containment locker and vault upgrades (tamper-evident storage, biometric locks, sensors, redundant backup locker).
Replacement And Duplication $10K
[#23] One-time cost for creating decoys/duplicate rings and safe disposal/testing of non-anomalous copies.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.8M/yr
Staff Wages $2.4M/yr
[#3] Dedicated MTF Phi-12 standing unit payroll & benefits (~20 operatives, ~$120k fully loaded each).
Research And Monitoring $180K/yr
[#14, #15] Ongoing forensic research programs, test-day operations and controlled testing telemetry/analysis (multi-year program phase funding and per-test-day costs).
Intelligence Budget $150K/yr
[#13] Annual budget for covert intelligence, buy-ins, informant payments and routine undercover operations aimed at recovery and monitoring.
Logistics And Transport $130K/yr
[#4, #24] Per-deployment operational mobilization (averaged deployments/year) and occasional rotary-wing/airlift hires averaged annually.
Cover Story And Legal $130K/yr
[#9, #10] Standing cover-story/program budget and legal/diplomatic/law-enforcement liaison retainer costs.
Administrative Overhead $120K/yr
[#25] Program management, record-keeping, audits and administrative support allocated to SCP-7469 program.
Supplies And Consumables $115K/yr
[#5, #6] Annual replacement rotation for cold-weather PPE/vehicles and per-incident portable warming supplies averaged across expected incidents.
Medical Response $100K/yr
[#7] Annualized hospital/medical surge capacity, specialist treatment and acute care expenses averaged across expected events.
Infrastructure Repair Reserve $100K/yr
[#16] Annual fund to address frozen-pipe, structural snow-load and localized repair costs averaged across years.
Amnestic Stockpile $60K/yr
[#8] Recurring production/stockpile, QC and administration overhead for amnestic doses ($20k–$200k/yr range; mid-range assumed).
Mass Casualty Reserve Maintenance $50K/yr
[#20] Annual maintenance and replenishment of the mass-casualty reserve (generators, fuel, supplies).
Reputational Risk Reserve Maintenance $50K/yr
[#22] Ongoing insurance/contingency for reputational/legal mitigation and long-term PR monitoring.
Facilities Maintenance $46K/yr
[#2, #11, #12] Annual maintenance/updates for inventory/access-control ($1,200) plus monitoring/ops for fixed sensors and drone operations maintenance.
Public Safety Fund $40K/yr
[#17] Standing allocation for evacuation logistics, temporary shelters and coordination with civilian agencies during large freezes.
Training And Drills $40K/yr
[#19] Annual mandatory training, drills, amnestic-administration exercises and staff readiness programs.
Mental Health Followup $30K/yr
[#18] Ongoing counseling and trauma therapy followups for affected individuals (annualized per-patient costs averaged across cases).
Data Security And Evidence Management $20K/yr
[#21] Recurring costs for secure telemetry storage, backups and occasional data-management specialists.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.8M/yr
72.0% probability / year
Normal year with standing MTF, surveillance, research, maintenance and routine administrative/cover operations; no major incidents or recoveries.
no activations occasional telemetry alerts routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.9M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Single localized activation/sighting requiring an MTF mobilization, limited medical response, amnestic administration and localized cover-up.
sighting in populated area small-scale activation single MTF deployment
🚨 Major Incident $5.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Large activation or urban multi-block freeze causing mass casualties, extensive infrastructure damage and large-scale public response and repairs.
urban multi-block activation mass-casualty warming required major infrastructure repairs
🚨 Recovery Operation $4.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Targeted covert recovery of SCP-7469 from third-party possession requiring intensive intelligence operations and a high-cost extraction.
opportunity to recover ring complex criminal network involvement covert extraction required
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 Dedicated MTF Phi-12 standing unit (payroll & benefits included in staff_wages) per analyst estimate (~20 operatives at ~$120k fully loaded each).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item cost ranges were provided by analysts for most categories, enabling mid-range estimates; uncertainty remains in incident frequency, scale of potential major events, and third-party recovery likelihoods, so overall confidence is medium.
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