SCP-7511 — SCP #7511 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-7511 Unknown ? low confidence

SCP #7511

Expected annual

$12.6M

One-time setup

$237.1M

Annual recurring

$11.6M

Personnel

Initial one-time establishment costs are dominated by hardened facility construction, land/control expenses, and a large worst-case contingency reserve; ongoing annual costs are primarily personnel, research, contingency retainers, and logistics. Baseline annual operating costs are roughly $11.6M, with potential episodic costs that can spike into the millions or hundreds of millions in catastrophic scenarios.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $237.1M

Worst Case Reserve One Time $200.0M

[#21] Large catastrophic escalation contingency (population relocation, military operations, mass compensation) — major reserve.

Facilities $10.0M

[#1] Hardened remote bunker, lab, comms, dorms, morgue bay, EMP hardening, Faraday cage, secure doors; midpoint estimate.

Legal Indemnity One Time $5.5M

[#13] Initial legal/indemnity/compensation contingency fund seed.

Aviation Purchase $5.0M

[#4] Purchase/helipad construction for rapid-response helicopter(s); midpoint estimate.

Land Control $4.2M

[#2] Expropriation/lease/easement, surveys, relocation/compensation for buffer/exclusion zone.

Contingency Munitions One Time $2.8M

[#16] Pre-positioned munitions, emergency logistics and equipment for escalation scenarios.

Liaison Initial $2.6M

[#12] Upfront legal/diplomatic payments, NDAs, agreements, compensation to businesses and officials.

Sensor Network $1.2M

[#6] Mast-mounted radar, thermal/IR, seismic/acoustic units, trail cams and integration.

Infrastructure One Time $1.1M

[#14] Access road work, helipad, hardened storage and staging area construction.

Deterrents Initial $850K

[#8] Initial R&D and procurement of non-lethal/energetic deterrent prototypes and field trials.

Power Infrastructure $750K

[#7] Microgrid installation: diesel gens, solar, batteries, fuel storage and spill prevention.

Logistics Fleet One Time $600K

[#15] Purchase and staging of tactical 4x4s, utility trucks, spare parts and initial stock.

Ritual Initial $525K

[#9] Procurement of relics, ritual paraphernalia and initial ceremonial engagements / specialist travel.

Environmental Fund One Time $525K

[#19] Initial mitigation/restoration reserve for cultural and environmental repairs.

Uav Fleet $500K

[#5] One-time procurement of persistent UAVs, small drones and controllers.

Data Security One Time $475K

[#18] Hardened servers, encrypted comms hardware and secure archival sealing systems.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K

[#10] Initial lab outfitting, instruments, sample handling setup for research program.

Forensics Initial $125K

[#11] Initial forensics/mortuary kit, refrigerated storage and evidence handling setup.

Equipment $0

[]

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.6M/yr

Staff Wages $3.5M/yr

[#3] Permanent 24/7 staffed garrison including security, researchers, medics, logistics and administration (~40–60 personnel, fully loaded compensation).

Contingency Retainer $1.8M/yr

[#16] Retainers and rapid-mobilization contracts (national guard/air force/support) for emergency escalation.

Research And Monitoring $1.5M/yr

[#10] Ongoing multidisciplinary research costs (theology, anomalistics, ethnography, analyses) and field excursions.

Logistics And Transport $600K/yr

[#15] Fuel, vehicle maintenance, resupply runs, drivers and transport readiness.

Legal Indemnity Recurring $600K/yr

[#13] Annual payouts/reserve replenishment for claims and compensation.

Cover Story And Legal $550K/yr

[#12] Ongoing local liaison, PR, legal work, NDAs, tourism management and payments to affected parties.

Aviation Maintenance $500K/yr

[#4] Helicopter maintenance, fuel and operational costs (per-program average).

Forensics Recurring $375K/yr

[#11] Forensic processing, pathogen screening, refrigeration, chain-of-custody operations.

Training Drills $350K/yr

[#17] Regular exercises, specialized training and mental-health support for personnel.

Supplies And Consumables $300K/yr

[#15, #8] Ammunition/consumables, deterrent consumables, rations and recurring small-parts supplies.

Deterrents Recurring $300K/yr

[#8] Consumables, field trials, continued R&D and safety testing for deterrent systems.

Insurance Audits $275K/yr

[#20] Insurance premiums, bonds and third-party audits/oversight.

Sensor Maintenance $250K/yr

[#6] Sensor upkeep, data fees, satellite tasking and telemetry costs.

Power Fuel $225K/yr

[#7] Fuel, generator maintenance and battery replacement for remote microgrid.

Data Security Recurring $150K/yr

[#18] Ongoing secure backups, encrypted comms operations and archival sealing tasks.

Facilities Maintenance $125K/yr

[#1, #14] Routine upkeep of hardened facility and access infrastructure; midpoint maintenance estimate.

Uav Maintenance $125K/yr

[#5] UAV and ground-drone maintenance, consumables and insurance.

Ritual Recurring $110K/yr

[#9] Periodic rites, clergy stipends and travel if ritual containment proves useful.

Environmental Recurring $25K/yr

[#19] Small annual fund for cultural/environmental mitigation and emergency restorations.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.6M/yr

87.5% probability / year

Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, research, and maintenance.

no breach routine operations scheduled maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $13.1M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline

Localized engagement: injured personnel, limited equipment loss, temporary sensor/road repair, targeted compensation and limited emergency mobilization.

local attack on pilgrims or staff small infrastructure damage limited evacuation/medical response

🚨 Major Breach $26.6M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline

Significant breach requiring widescale emergency response, infrastructure replacement, large legal payouts and prolonged operations to re-secure corridor.

extended daemon activity / multiple casualties damage to redoubt or sensors large-scale evacuations

🚨 Catastrophic Escalation $111.6M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline

Containment proves impossible or situation requires mass relocation/military campaign; activation of large contingency reserves and international response.

loss of redoubt / sustained daemon campaign need for population relocation international military intervention

👥 Personnel 53 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	18	[#3] Shift coverage and patrols to monitor the Via Santiago and redoubt.
Research Scientist	8	[#10] Multidisciplinary research staff (theology, anomalistics, ethnography, physics).
Medical Officer	3	[#3] On-site medics for trauma and pathogen screening.
Logistics / Driver / Maintenance	5	[#15] Fleet drivers, supply management and general maintenance.
Site Security Supervisor / Command	3	[#3] Command and supervisory staff to coordinate security and containment.
Engineer / Maintenance	4	[#7,#14] Technical specialists for power, communications, and facility upkeep.
Administrative Staff	3	[#12] Admin, legal liaisons, and local diplomacy support.
Pilot / Aviation Crew	2	[#4] Helicopter pilots/crew for rapid response and medevac.
Data / IT / Communications Specialist	4	[#18] Secure comms, telemetry and archival management.
Contractor Clergy / Ritual Specialists	3	[#9] Contracted theologians/ritualists retained for containment rituals when employed.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are rough-order-of-magnitude with wide ranges and large epistemic uncertainty (uncontained daemonic behavior, variable land/legal costs, and a very large worst-case tail). Many line items are scenario-dependent and contingent on unknown containment efficacy.

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