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SCP-7512 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7512
Expected annual
$339K
One-time setup
$160K
Annual recurring
$330K
Personnel
3.2
Initial one-time setup is modest (~$160k) for dedicated cold storage, testing, PPE and contingency; recurring annual costs are driven primarily by staffing (security + pathology oversight) and disposal/consumables (~$330k/yr). Major cost drivers are personnel wages, medical waste handling and periodic testing/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $160K
Equipment $42K
[#1, #2, #3, #5] Purchase and install -80°C ULT freezer, redundant emergency cooling (dewar/secondary freezer), dedicated UPS/building integration, and environmental monitoring hardware (cameras/sensors).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $40K
[#13] Specialized initial testing and hazard-characterization (metagenomic sequencing, prion assays, proteomics, cytology).
Decontamination Contingency $30K
[#21] Reserve fund for professional decon, HVAC filter changes and room sterilization.
Facilities $16K
[#6, #23] Locker 36 physical-security upgrade and end-of-life deep-cleaning/equipment disposal structural costs.
Legal And Permits Initial $15K
[#17] Initial legal/compliance/permitting and cover documentation setup costs.
Initial Recovery And Autopsy $9K
[#22] Historical/sunk recovery, initial autopsy and transfer costs; included as one-time budgeting for future retrievals.
Initial Ppe $5K
[#10] Initial PPE stockpile (Tyvek, PAPRs/N95s, face shields, decon solutions).
Chain Of Custody Setup $3K
[#18] Secure record-keeping servers, offsite backup and chain-of-custody system initial setup.
On Site Incinerator Option $0
[#12] Optional on-site incinerator capital (alternative). Not purchased in baseline; capital range provided in notes.
Emergency Transport Purchase $0
[#19] Emergency refrigerated transport purchase option (alternative). Baseline uses contract transport; purchase not made.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $330K/yr
Staff Wages $235K/yr
[#7, #8] Additional security staffing (2 guards) and biological containment oversight (1 pathology technician + fractional pathologist oversight).
Administrative Overhead $43K/yr
[#24] Administrative and contingency overhead (10–20% of operational recurring budget); set at ~15% of non-overhead recurring costs.
Supplies And Consumables $13K/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #15, #5] Surgical/excision disposable kits, recurring PPE replenishment, contract medical-waste disposal, sharps/biohazard disposal and environmental monitoring service fees.
Cover Story And Legal $10K/yr
[#17] Recurring counsel, records maintenance, permits renewal and cover-story/public affairs expenses.
Research And Monitoring $6K/yr
[#14] Periodic surveillance testing and recurring bioassays to verify tissue status and validate inactivation protocols.
Training And Drills $6K/yr
[#16] Annual biosafety, surgical and emergency procedure training and drills (freezer failure / breach scenarios).
Decontamination Readiness Budget $5K/yr
[#21] Recurring readiness budget for decon contingencies.
Utilities And Ln2 $4K/yr
[#4] Electricity to run ULT freezer (~10–25 kWh/day), HVAC incremental load, and periodic LN2 refills if backup used.
Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr
[#3, #20] UPS/generator integration maintenance, fuel provisioning and annual ULT freezer preventive maintenance/service contract.
Logistics And Transport $3K/yr
[#19] Contract refrigerated emergency transport on-call (baseline) and associated rapid-retrieval logistics.
Chain Of Custody Maintenance $2K/yr
[#18] Ongoing secure data storage, backups and record-keeping maintenance.
On Site Incinerator Operating $0/yr
[#12] Operating/permits cost for on-site incinerator if purchased; set to 0 in baseline (not in use).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $330K/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year: contract incineration, one ULT freezer, contract emergency transport, routine monitoring and monthly excisions.
routine_inspections monthly_excision_and_disposal no major equipment failures
🚨 Minor Incident $355K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Freeze-alarm / partial failure requiring emergency LN2 refill/contracted refrigerated transport, overtime and targeted decontamination.
freezer_temperature_excursion backup_ln2_delay rapid_protrusion_growth
🚨 Major Breach $630K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Thaw/large expansion event causing contamination of workspace, multiple excisions, full-room professional decontamination, equipment replacement and regulatory/legal response.
complete_freezer_failure widespread_contamination regulatory_inspection_or_public_exposure
👥 Personnel 3.2 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#7] Two additional dedicated guards for checks/escort duties; included in staff_wages.
Pathology Technician / Biological Tech 1 [#8] One full-time technician to inspect and excise protrusions; included in staff_wages.
Contract Pathologist (FTE) 0.2 [#8] Fractional pathologist oversight (0.1–0.25 FTE) for surgical removal and decision-making; included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item cost ranges are well-specified for physical items and personnel, but biological uncertainty (growth frequency, prion-like behavior) and policy choices (on-site incinerator vs. contract transport) create moderate variance in long-run costs.
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