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SCP-7559 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-7559
Expected annual
$11.5M
One-time setup
$12.1M
Annual recurring
$10.0M
Personnel
54
Initial capital buildout and specialized medical/research equipment drive one-time costs (~$12.1M); recurring annual operations are dominated by specialized staff wages, research/monitoring and legal/cover operations (~$9.96M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $12.1M
Facilities $6.8M
[#1, #7, #26, #29] Structural containment cell construction/upgrades, BSL-3/4 buildout components, redundant power/HVAC backup systems, and mobile surge-capacity purchases.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.1M
[#5, #7, #16, #17] Radiopharmaceutical licensing/setup and hot-lab buildout, research sequencing/assay instruments and BSL lab interior instrumentation, and animal-model startup costs.
Equipment $2.1M
[#2, #4, #13, #22, #27, #9] Endoscopy suites, surgical/microsurgery outfitting, vehicle fleet purchase, initial PACS/storage hardware, surveillance installs, and initial PPE stockpile.
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#28] Initial contingency/liability reserve fund (one-time allocation toward unforeseen large liabilities).
Radiation Safety Infrastructure $125K
[#6] Initial radiation-safety shielding, survey meters, dosimetry equipment and contamination-control storage.
On Site Imaging Install $0
[#3] On-site MRI/PET install not acquired in baseline (set to 0; prioritized external-access used instead).
Long Term Scientific Contingency $0
[#34] No mass-screening / population-level program capital budget included in baseline (scenario-driven).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $10.0M/yr
Staff Wages $5.0M/yr
[#10, #11, #12, #23] Salaries for medical specialists (surgeons, radiologists, anesthesiologists, ID), nursing and technical support staff, security guards, and research staff.
Research And Monitoring $1.6M/yr
[#3, #5, #16, #17, #18, #22] Imaging service contracts, radiopharm program operating costs, diagnostics/sequencing assays, ongoing animal-model operations, long-term host monitoring (imaging/tests), and PACS storage/analytics recurring fees.
Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr
[#14, #15, #33] Amnestic program and legal/coverup overhead, public-relations and staged epidemiology efforts, and routine covert payments/settlements reserve.
Emergency Surgical Response $500K/yr
[#19] Expected annualized cost for emergency surgeries, ICU stays and complication management (budgeted for multiple events per year).
Logistics And Transport $250K/yr
[#13] Secure vehicle maintenance, per-extraction mission logistics and covert transport expenditures (baseline mission cadence assumed).
Liability Reserve $250K/yr
[#28] Annual replenishment toward legal risk/restitution contingency.
Supplies And Consumables $230K/yr
[#8, #9, #32, #21] Sterile endoscopy consumables, PPE restock, specialist organ/perfusion consumables, and routine disposable supplies (waste disposal itself budgeted separately).
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#4, #26, #27] OR/microsurgery equipment maintenance, energy and HVAC operation costs for containment and imaging, and surveillance system maintenance.
Containment Breach Planning $200K/yr
[#31] Annual scenario planning, stockpiles of emergency antimicrobials and public-health coordination drills.
Blood Banking $150K/yr
[#20] Dedicated blood-bank services, advanced processing and rare-type supply maintenance.
Tactical Response Missions $100K/yr
[#12] Average annual budget for MTF/tactical retrieval missions beyond regular logistics (per-mission costs averaged).
Training And Exercises $100K/yr
[#24] Ongoing surgical, extraction, rad-safety and containment drills and simulation training.
Ethics Oversight $75K/yr
[#30] Internal review boards, compliance offices and legal counsel for human-research/cover decisions.
Waste Management $50K/yr
[#21] Incineration/regulated disposal, radiological decay storage operations and related throughput costs.
Surge Capacity Maintenance $50K/yr
[#29] Maintenance and readiness costs for modular surge units and rapid-conversion assets.
Psychological Support $50K/yr
[#25] Counseling, decompression programs and rotation costs to mitigate burnout.
Radiation Safety $40K/yr
[#6] Ongoing dosimetry monitoring, consumables for radiation safety, routine bioassays and regulatory compliance costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $10.0M/yr
51.0% probability / year
Normal operational year for a single-site program with a small number of contained hosts (<10); no major incidents.
no breaches routine monitoring and maintenance standard retrieval cadence
🚨 Minor Incident $11.2M/yr
40.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Localized medical emergencies (sepsis clusters, several emergency surgeries, 1–3 retrieval missions) requiring elevated clinical, legal and tactical expenditures.
sepsis outbreak among contained hosts multiple emergency surgeries increased legal/cover activity
🚨 Major Breach $20.0M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Containment failure with multiple hosts exposed/escaped, large-scale retrieval operations, substantial legal exposure and surge clinical response.
multiple-cell breach public exposure mass retrieval/surge hospitalization
🚨 Mass Screening $35.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Worst-case scientific/policy decision to perform population-level screening/endoscopy programs due to non-isolatable propagation — sustained, large-scale public-health program.
evidence of community-level transmission policy decision for mass screening large-scale public-health emergency
👥 Personnel 54 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#12] 6 guards per contained cell (baseline ~5 cells worth of coverage) counted in staff wages.
Medical Specialist (Surgeon / Radiologist / Anesthesiologist / ID) 6 [#10] Transplant/vascular surgeon, interventional radiologist, anesthesiologists, infectious-disease physician and related specialists budgeted in medical salaries.
Nurse / Medical Technician 12 [#11] Scrub nurses, endoscopy techs, radiology techs, ICU nurses and rad-pharmacy techs included in nursing/technical wage pool.
Research Scientist 6 [#23] Senior scientists and postdoctoral researchers funded under research staff salaries.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and ranges are detailed in analyst notes allowing a reasoned bottom-up estimate, but large uncertainties remain (host count growth, breach frequency, legal/coverup scale and possible mass-screening decisions), so confidence is medium.
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