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SCP-7648 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7648
Expected annual
$26.7M
One-time setup
$139.2M
Annual recurring
$25.0M
Personnel
82
One-time capital investments are large due to site construction, shaft stabilization, deep-access systems and a contingency trust; annual operating costs are dominated by staffing, long-term digital reconstruction, security, and remote operations support.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $139.2M
Projected Scale Up Emergency Excavation $50.0M
[#28] Contingency budget for large-scale excavation, new shafts, mining contractor mobilization (conditional one-time scale-up fund).
Facilities $20.0M
[#2] Site-7648 building, labs, living quarters, security vaults (construction/hardening).
Classified Operations Trust $15.0M
[#21] One-time classified contingency fund for clandestine operations, hush money, emergency relocation and buyouts.
Shaft Headhouses And Stabilization $10.0M
[#3] Surface-to-shaft headhouses & shaft stabilization for Access Points A–E (reinforced collars, airlocks, sealing systems).
Exploration Mapping Hardware $8.0M
[#9] LiDAR rigs, photogrammetry kits, tethered drones, rovers, fiber-optic borescopes and high-res imaging hardware.
Equipment $6.0M
[#4] Shaft access equipment (hoists, elevators/winch systems, emergency winches, shaft comms) one-time hardware purchases.
Power Generation Microgrid $4.0M
[#5] Diesel gensets, solar array, batteries, transfer switchgear, microgrid installation.
Redundancy And Resilience Initial $4.0M
[#24] Initial redundancy (backup power, duplicate comms, spare critical hardware) capital reserve.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.5M
[#12] Specialized materials and analysis lab (SEM, XRD, mass spec, microprobe, gloveboxes) one-time build + baseline equipment.
Remote Sensor Deployment $3.0M
[#15] Deployment of seismic, fiber-optic perimeter sensing and environmental sensor network.
Heavy Machinery Vehicles Fleet $2.5M
[#14] Earthmoving, cranes, maintenance vehicles and underground transport initial purchases or staging.
Land Control Surface Rights $2.0M
[#1] Land control / surface rights acquisition/lease/compensation and signage/cover arrangements (one-time acquisition costs).
Water Sewage Hvac Systems $2.0M
[#6] Borehole/tank potable water, sewage/wastewater treatment, HVAC and dehumidification installations.
Data Storage And Comms Install $2.0M
[#11] Onsite servers, backup hardware and secure fiber/satellite link installation (hardware & link install).
Initial Cover Story And Diplomacy $2.0M
[#20] Initial diplomacy/retainer/compensation and formal cooperation paperwork expenses.
Deep Coring Campaign Baseline $1.5M
[#13] Baseline shallow core campaign costs (contractor mobilization for limited coring programs).
Security Equipment $1.2M
[#8] Perimeter fencing, vehicle barriers, patrol vehicles, guard housing and initial security hardware.
Medical Facility Equipment $1.0M
[#17] Onsite clinic equipment and initial medevac / emergency capability setup costs.
Recruitment And Onboarding $300K
[#7] Initial recruitment, onboarding and vetting costs for personnel.
Waste Infrastructure $200K
[#18] Initial waste-handling infrastructure for hazardous disposal and wastewater handling.
Logistics Staging Warehouse $200K
[#19] One-time staging/warehouse and initial logistics staging.
Archive Records Setup $200K
[#26] Secure archives and document/censorship systems setup for cover-story management.
Legal Setup And Permits $150K
[#22] Initial legal setup, permits and compliance program startup costs.
Training Setup $150K
[#23] One-time specialized training program setup for underground ops and robotic operators.
Odor Monitoring Setup $150K
[#25] Sensor network and mitigation hardware to monitor peanut scent / atmosphere nuisance mitigation.
Cultural Archaeological Initial $150K
[#27] Initial archaeological/environmental survey and mitigation expenses.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $25.0M/yr
Research And Monitoring $7.4M/yr
[#10, #11, #12] Long-term digital reconstruction manpower/cloud compute/software licenses and bandwidth/cloud backups; recurring research consumables and specialist staff.
Staff Wages $6.0M/yr
[#7] Salaries and benefits for scientists, engineers, technicians, security personnel, medics, and admin (conservative steady-state staffing).
Security Payroll And Operations $3.0M/yr
[#8] Guard payroll, rapid response team operations, patrols and security operations costs (recurring).
Facilities Maintenance $2.1M/yr
[#3, #6, #14, #24, #15] Ongoing maintenance/O&M for shaft headhouses & stabilization, HVAC/water systems, heavy machinery upkeep, redundancy upkeep and sensor calibration/maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $2.1M/yr
[#9, #16, #18] Consumables and runtime ops for exploration/mapping hardware, PPE, lab consumables, and hazardous/waste handling disposals.
Cover Story And Legal $1.1M/yr
[#20, #22, #26, #27] Ongoing liaison with Mongolian partners, permit renewals, PR/legal costs, archive upkeep and cultural/environmental monitoring fees.
Logistics And Transport $1.0M/yr
[#19] Regular resupply runs, air freight, fuel convoys and transport logistics for remote operations.
Power Generation Maintenance And Fuel $800K/yr
[#5] Fuel, generator maintenance and microgrid O&M to support 24/7 remote power needs.
Training Rotations And Vetting $600K/yr
[#23] Ongoing rotations, specialized training refreshers and personnel security clearances.
Shaft Equipment Maintenance $300K/yr
[#4] Maintenance & inspections for hoists, winches, elevators and shaft comms.
Medical Operations $300K/yr
[#17] Onsite clinic staffing, medevac contracts and medical supplies.
Land Lease Fees $200K/yr
[#1] Ongoing lease or compensation fees where land control is leased rather than granted.
Odor Monitoring Operations $60K/yr
[#25] Ongoing sampling, sensor calibration and mitigation for peanut scent / atmosphere monitoring.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $25.0M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year: steady-state operations, routine maintenance, ongoing reconstruction work and scheduled exploration.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $27.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Localized infrastructure failure or security incident requiring emergency repairs, temporary contractor mobilization, and increased operations.
shaft_equipment_failure localized_collapse major_sensor_or_comms_failure
🚨 Major Scaleup Campaign $55.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Year in which an intensive deep-coring/mining contractor campaign or major excavation/scale-up is undertaken (specialist contractors mobilized, heavy capital deployed).
deep_coring_campaign research_breakthrough_requires_full_penetration emergency_large_excavation
👥 Personnel 82 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 20 [#7, #12, #10] Geology, optics, materials, mapping and analysis staff for ongoing research and reconstruction.
Engineer / Maintenance 15 [#4, #5, #6, #14] Electrical, mechanical, civil engineers and maintenance technicians for shafts, power, HVAC and heavy machinery.
Technician 15 [#9, #11, #15] Mapping technicians, robotic operators, data center and sensor technicians.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 [#8] Armed/cleared guards and rapid response team for perimeter and shaft security.
Mapping / Photogrammetry Specialist 5 [#9, #10] Specialists for photogrammetry, map analysts and processing teams supporting digital reconstruction.
Medical Officer 2 [#17] Onsite clinic staffing and medevac coordination.
Administrative Staff 4 [#19, #20] Logistics, liaison, cover-story administration and permits management.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#2, #20] Site leadership and senior liaison with partner government.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed ranges for most line items, enabling a reasonable mid-range estimate; however the object's anomalous scale, conditional deep-coring costs, and dependence on partner-government arrangements introduce substantial uncertainty.
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