SCP-7653 — SCP-7653 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-7653 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-7653

Expected annual

$16.9M

One-time setup

$12.1M

Annual recurring

$15.4M

Personnel

First-year capital and setup costs are approximately $12.1M, driven by reserve fund seeding, research/lab buildout, and equipment/facility purchases; annual operating costs are roughly $15.4M dominated by research programs, field teams, and ongoing intelligence/cover operations.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $12.1M

Reserve Seed Fund $5.0M

[#18] Recommended initial contingency/crisis reserve fund seed.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.5M

[#7, #9, #13] Forensic lab capacity expansion, amnestic production lab / secure medical suites, and specialized R&D equipment/facility.

Equipment $1.8M

[#3, #5, #17, #19] Mobile detection startup (drones/cameras/comms), recycling line purchase, initial secure IT stack hardware, and vehicle fleet purchases.

Facilities $1.0M

[#4] Safehouse property acquisition and retrofit buildout estimate.

Public Health Planning And Stockpile $500K

[#20] Planning and small stockpile for public-health / mass-event preparedness.

Policy And Training Development $300K

[#14] SOP and training program development one-time costs.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $15.4M/yr

Research And Monitoring $6.1M/yr

[#7, #13, #21] Forensic analysts and per-incident lab processing, long-term R&D programs (PIs, experiments), and amnestic fallout monitoring program.

Staff Wages $3.7M/yr

[#1, #2, #4] Salaries for 3 recovery/disposal teams, surveillance operator staffing capacity, and safehouse staffing.

Contingency Topups $1.0M/yr

[#18] Annual top-ups to the contingency/crisis fund to maintain readiness.

Cover Story And Legal $800K/yr

[#10, #12] Media/cover-up operations, takedown monitoring and legal retainer/liaison costs.

Intelligence And Profiling $700K/yr

[#15] Analysts, data subscriptions, and informant networks to identify likely ACCUSED.

Amnestic Administration $500K/yr

[#9] Recurring costs to administer and monitor amnestics (drug costs, med staff, follow-up tests).

Medical And Psychological Services $500K/yr

[#8] Emergency care, surgeries, rehab, and psychiatric treatment for ACCUSED/witnesses averaged annually.

Ethical Oversight $500K/yr

[#24] Internal review board staffing and administrative costs.

It And Secure Comms $400K/yr

[#17] Secure communications, encrypted databases, and redaction contractors maintenance.

Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr

[#6] Per‑instance disposal costs (power, PPE, labor, logistics averaged over expected instances).

Logistics And Transport $200K/yr

[#19] Vehicle fuel, maintenance contracts, and transport operations.

Witness Relocation And Compensation $200K/yr

[#11] Temporary relocation, housing, and compensation for displaced witnesses per year.

Training And Exercises $200K/yr

[#14] Recurring refresher trainings, drills, and memetics training for field staff.

Emergency Response Coordination $200K/yr

[#16] Liaison staff and per-event coordination capacity with emergency services.

Facilities Maintenance $160K/yr

[#3, #4, #5] Equipment replacement/maintenance for detection kit, safehouse utilities/maintenance, and recycling line upkeep.

Public Health Planning Maintenance $50K/yr

[#20] Ongoing maintenance of public-health readiness and small stockpile replenishment.

Scale Risk Reserve $0/yr

[#23] No baseline recurring expense allocated for large-scale containment failure; reserved as scenario-specific exposure.

Recycled Aluminum Revenue $-20000/yr

[#22] Revenue offsets from recycled aluminum (scrap credit; reduces net recurring costs).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $15.4M/yr

87.5% probability / year

Normal year with routine recoveries, research activity, and periodic surveillance; no major public incidents.

routine_recovery scheduled_research standard_surveillance

🚨 Minor Incident $16.4M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Single localized public JUDGEMENT event requiring expanded cover-up, extra medical care, and additional legal/amnestic actions.

small_public_event several_witnesses limited_injuries

🚨 Major Breach $20.4M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline

Large public incident with multiple casualties or visible replication requiring extensive cover operations, large settlements, and accelerated R&D.

mass_casualties widespread_media_coverage legal_actions

🚨 Containment Failure Scale Up $265.4M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$250.0M vs baseline

Replication outpaces recovery leading to national/international scale response: mass surveillance, mass medical response, and global cover operations.

runaway_replication multiple_public_outbreaks international_exposure

👥 Personnel 34 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	18	[#1] Three response teams of 6 agents each (3 shifts × 2 agents per team) deployed in baseline.
Surveillance Operator / Intelligence Analyst	12	[#2] Capacity budgeted for surveillance equivalent to two full-time high-priority suspect watches (6 operators each).
Safehouse Staff	4	[#4] On-site safehouse staffing (security/operations/support) for one baseline safehouse.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges but many quantities (instances/year, replication rate, public exposure frequency) are highly uncertain; estimates are mid-range aggregations rather than empirical totals.

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